Welcome to Part 7 of the Song of Ice and Fire thread, in conjunction with Leigh Butler’s fabulous Read of Ice and Fire. (The first, second, third, fourth, fifth and sixth threads are now massive, but you can read through them at your leisure.) Please join us below for our ongoing, spoiler-filled dissection of George R. R. Martin’s bloody fantasy epic.
(Please note that while the forums are closed for comments, you can still access them here if you’d like to read up on previous conversations in the the thread.)
Spoilers for the entire series ahead, naturally.
FIRST
Oh wait, wrong site.
YAY NEW THREAD!
@1. Aeryl I understood that reference!
For the people who hate on Meereen’s arc (of which there seem to be many, considering the comments on today’s read), I urge that they take a look at the related series of essays on https://meereeneseblot.wordpress.com/essays/ . It has given me a whole new perspective on Dany’s ADWD chapters. I won’t deny they are slow, but there’s almost no way to speed them up and still manage to build up the entire conspiracy.
I enjoyed all of Dance with Dragons, including Mereen. One of my favorite parts of this or any Fantasy series is when the author widens the larger world. I loved getting to spend more time in Essos, I REALLY wish we could get some more about Sothyros, Asshai and other rumored lands. A lot of my friends were frustrated with this book as it didnt advance “the main plot” much, but I was very happy getting to spend time in the less familiar corners of the world
From today’s read:
I don’t have ADWD handy… Was Dolorous Edd one of the pack who stab Jon when he decides to run off to Winterfell? And if so, how loudly do you think Leigh’s gonna scream? Heck, how loudly will scream about Jon getting knifed period?
I don’t remember Edd being party, but I don’t remember much of ADWD since I’ve only read it once. I remember enjoying it, but understanding why people didn’t. It took me a year after it came out before I read it, so the wait hasn’t been as long for me. Now that the Read is at it, I may read along.
No, Edd (or any of Jon’s inner crew of Brothers) was not part of it. I think Bowen and Wick are the only ones named, and just a general crowd of other brothers who came out when the Giant fight broke out.
Her cut quote actually made me laugh and think about Quentyn, although he doesn’t actually get eaten. Really interested in seeing how she takes that whole plot…
@@.-@, I agree – I like slow moving, rambling series sometimes. I have actually only read ADWD once, but I think it will be interesting to revisit. And it might be one of those cases where, once the other books are available, future readers won’t see it as so bad since they can jump to the next ones.
@2, OMG SO ADORABLE
@5,6,7
As a matter of fact, I seem to recall some dread going into that, because Bowen had ensured that Edd and Satin were elsewhere. I think that happened.
And I really enjoy the Meereen part, it’s just hard because I can’t keep anyone straight!
@@@@@ 8, Absolutely. I recall being very unhappy with A Feast for Crows. Then when I re-read it after reading Dance with Dragons I was WAY more impressed. The Prince of Dorne has so much more going on than is first apparent in book 4. Once you have a bit more to work with you can really appreciate the multiple layers of conspiracies going on. These later books are getting into a great deal of overlaping conspiracies, I definitely believe they will benefit greatly from hindsight.
I am one of those that did not take a great liking to the Meerreen story, though I appreciate it more than those that “found it too boring”. To me it is a part of the narrative that even got away from Dany when she absconded with Drogon, and now there are still how many characters on their way there? It seems to lose it’s value as a location in the series at that point.
Ahh, the Meereenese Blot has converted many a hater. I don’t dislike the Meereen subplot as a subplot; it’s exceptionally depressing but as complex and colorful as any in this story.
We’ve never yet been explicitly told that Rickon and Shaggydog are on Skagos. It’s pretty clear when one puts the clues together (especially the last line of that Davos chapter), but giving Leigh the clues we’ve gotten thus far and the conclusion seems like the kind of thing she’s known to dislike.
I am terribly intrigued by Skagos. Wild Rickon and crazy Shaggydog riding forth with an army of wild Unicorns manned by crazy brutal cannibals could be one of the greatest things ever to happen in this series. Would they fight the white walkers? The Wildings? The Nights Watch? Maybe they would just kill everything and everyone they could possibly find (seems like Shaggydog/Rickons scene)?
Its possibly the one thing that would cause even Varys and Littlefinger to say “Huh…I did not see that coming”
The Stark kids seem to have a descending order of civility:
Robb- Tried to be 100% perfect and noble like Ned (died horribly)
Jon- Tried to be pretty good and noble, but realized you need to make sacrifices and face reality if you hope to win and live long enough to actually save anyone (died less horribly, but still not well)
Sansa- Engages in the less respectable cloak and dagger way of survival, the way of the spider. “Honorable” people find conspiracy and sneaky maneuverings unbefitting, but hey, it still takes a good deal of intelligence and tact (Still alive, had a hard time but is doing better)
Arya- Has survived by taking the straight up kill-what-you-must route. Not concerned with honor or nobility, but pure brutal vengeance. (Still alive, had a fairly miserable time of things, but is soon to be a ultra-assasin so things are looking way up)
Bran- Survives by way of the dark arts, maaaaaaagiiiiic! Frowned upon by a lot of people even more than being sneaky and backstabby. Also it remains to be seen how “Good” Bloodraven is, Bran may turn into a new dark lord of magic (Still alive, has had a fairly terrifying time but may soon be the most powerful wizard in Westeros, so yay?)
Rickon- Has gone straight up batshit wild and crazy. Will presumably maim, attack, kill and eat anything that provokes him. Rickon and Shaggy Possibly being taken in and trained by savage cannibals (Alive and presumably fucking loving live, because he is insane)
I’m of the opinion Jon is older than Robb.
I agree with Aerona @12. I flagged post 32 today, it was just all kinds of blatant, and then all the following discussion of it just added insult to injury. As for Rickon and Shaggydog (my favorite Direwolf name), I’m pretty confident that they’re on Skagos. The line at the end of the last Davos chapter pretty much confirms it (there’s certainly no other place near the North of Westeros where ” men break fast upon human flesh”). However, remember that info comes from Wax, the mute ironborn that witnessed Bran, Rickon, et al emerge from the crypts. He knows where they went, but I think we can safely assume that Wax didn’t follow Osha and Rickon all the way to Skagos, so we can’t know for certain that’s where they are, though it seems likely that Davos will find something there (hopefully not just get eaten). Not sure I buy the reddit theory on there being Stark ancestry there (through Ned’s mother), I think Osha just chose it because it would be a haven from both the Boltons and from the Others.
@14 Aryl- I agree, but it’s hard to know for certain. However, it is clear that to ALMOST everyone in Westeros, Robb was older since everyone believes Ned fathered Jon after he left Cat for the rebellion, in which case the woman he fathered Jon on would have slept with him after Robb was concieved. Since they have different parents, it doesn’t really matter that nuch who is older, in the long run, but I do agree that Jon was probably conceived and born earlier than Robb.
@@@@@ 13:
Just as a comment… You mention that Jon died, and yet there is no final word as to his fate in that book. Most readers believe that I have talked to believe he is still alive, not to mention that GRRM has commented offhand that Jon will learn of his parentage in the next book (an event he would need to be alive for).
@15 I apologize for the @32 post. I certainly didnt think anyone would view it as “blatant” or “adding insult to injury”. I thought a discussion of the facts we already had was ok and tame enough. But again, I did not mean to upset anyone.
I found the theory about Ned’s mother having a Skagos connecting interesting. It is suspicious we hear literally nothing about Ned’s mother anywhere in the books (As far as I recall? Just the Flint connection when Bran is in the hills?) We learn massive amounts of information of every random person mentioned in the books and their long lines of ancestors…but nothing about Momma Stark? I found that very odd. But, the new World of Ice and Fire book has the full Stark bloodline and no apparent Skagos connections. Oh well. I suppose there could possibly be Skagos blood further out on the Flint branch.
The horn that Euron has that may possibly control dragons…that is VERY large and twisted isnt it? Not at all possibly an ancient unicorn horn. I’m wondering what kind of magical advantage unicorns could bring to this story? Besides them being on Skagos, and presumably long extinct, I’m not sure we’ve been given many other clues.
@17, and oh yeah. I 100% believe Jon will be back. As soon as he was stabbed my first thought was “well, Melissandre is right there, sooo..” I assume he is “dead” enough for the moment and she will bring him back. This also helps him get around his vows, since they are only until death, right? Though, he already broke his vows so I guess that doesn’t really matter lol.
So we have UnJon! then…. Melisandre did have one of her fire induced highs where she saw Jon becoming a wold and then being a human again, and his last two thoughts were the prhase he told Arya (Stick em with the pointy end) and Ghost. Robb was also muttering the name of his warg mate just before Roose impaled him.
@13– Bran doesn’t become a dark lord…
He uses his connection with the tree to amplify his powers and find and recruit gifted youngsters.
Still firmly believe that UnJon is the dead wolf here: “On a throne above them sat a dead man with the head of a wolf. He wore an iron crown and held a leg of lamb in one hand as a king might hold a sceptre, and his eyes followed Dany with mute appeal.”
@22: I must respectfully disagree, as the details of that vision fit more with the Red Wedding/Robb’s death – the slaughter took place at a banquet, the rumors about how Robb’s body was treated afterwards – than with Jon’s maybe-sorta-kinda death.
@16 – Jon’s and Robb’s relative ages may depend entirely on how long Robert’s Rebellion took to complete. If you are right it had to under 9 months.
@15: That line cracks me up on every reread. Men (and women) will soon be breaking fast on human flesh all over the mainland North — including the man in front of Davos.
This made me lol out loud: “I feel like this entire plot arc has been hanging fire for approximately seven billion years at this point, and I am over it.”
Hehe try waiting for the next 10 years and hoping you see book six in that time. Also:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lxR5qy-8UtU&list=UUXU7XVK_2Wd6tAHYO8g9vAA
In reference to Preston Jacobs’ theory that R+L = D, B+A = J:
“I discussed your theories on the Tor.com spoiler thread for Leigh Butler’s Read of Ice and Fire. The main complaint people had was that the authorial voice has told us Dany was born on Dragonstone. Thus, if it’s later revealed that she wasn’t, then the authorial will have lied to the fan base, which won’t be taken kindly. So my question for you is, wouldn’t you agree that there is no authorial voice in ASOIAF? Every chapter is from the perspective of a character, so the authorial voice for a given chapter is limited by what that character knows, right??”
Preston’s reply:
“Chapters are definitely from the perspective of the character at the time. For example, the first time Dany runs into a camel, it is an “ugly humped creature.” Later, it’s called a “camel” as Dany has gained the knowledge of what it is. In Arya chapter, people and things are commonly called “stupid.” They aren’t actually stupid. Arya only perceives them as stupid. A couple really weird POVs are Sansa and Areo Hotah (The Watcher). Sansa goes through the experience of the Hound not kissing her, but then remembers him kissing her later. Areo perceives Balon Swann eating spicy food, but then remembers Balon not eatingn spicy food.?”
Shiny new spoiler thread! yay?
So when do we get to the next Arya chapter, cuz that’s what I’m bouncing in my seat over.
Hi to all of the new spoiler threadsters!
I’m quite fond of ADWD. I rate it as third best, behind ASOS and AGOT, and ahead of ACOK and FFC in that order. I even like the Meereen subplots but it is my least favorite chunk because it is so darned depressing to see Dany flounder so (or founder so, depending on your preferred image).
@21 – Agree with 22 it is definitely Robb.
@18 – yeah, World OIAF seems to rule out any close Stark-Skagos family connection.
Various – yes, Jon will be back – the only question is the means (Mel alone or Mel and temporary direwolf mindsharing).
@13 I wouldn’t put Bran as less civilized/noble/moral than Arya at this point. Bran’s still a kid, still believes in happy endings, still sees himself as being firmly on the side of good. Arya doesn’t care about morals, just about revenge, and doesn’t much care how she gets it. Now, that may change over time if Bran merges more and more into the tree in TWOW…
@23 Strictly speaking, it depends on how much longer the Rebellion lasted after the Stark/Tully/Arryn double wedding. The Rebellion as a whole lasted about a year, we’ve been told, but how much of that was before the wedding? It should be at least a couple of months, since quite a bit seems to have happened by then. (Gathering of troops, travelling back and forth, a couple of battles…) Also, “about” a year doesn’t have to mean exactly a year. For that matter, we can’t rule out one of the kids being a few weeks premature. So really, who knows.
@25 Unless my memory betrays me, that seems like a very slanted description of the discussion that went on here. I wouldn’t at all say that people’s MAIN objection was Dany’s birth on Dragonstone – it was just one of several.
John has sent Dolorous Ed out earlier to be 2nd-in-command to Iron Emmett in a spearwife castle… There are no indications that unicorns are in any way magical in Westeros.
@@@@@ 3. Wilerson Thanks so much for that link! Those essays are awesome. it throws Mereen into a whole new light.
@30, Ciella, definitely read the stuff about Dorne too!
@28 Actually, what I was stating as the main sticking point was the existence and/or reliability of the authorial voice. Several people have told me that since the books say “Dany was born on Dragonstone,” it must therefore be true. That’s only the case if you’re reading a series with an omniscient narrator. I’m afraid this is not that series.
Dany remembers a lemon tree growing outside the house with the red door in Bravos. The problem is that Bravos has a climate similar to London. It’s described as not having trees, much less citrus trees that are typical in warmer climates. Thus, what the narrative voice is telling you in any given chapter is limited by what that character thinks they know. As others have pointed out, characters in ASOIAF can’t trust their own memories. How are we supposed to trust their knowledge?
The Meereenese Blot, linked by @3 above, discusses this. In the first essay:
“It shows that GRRM wrote the Meereen plotline very subtly and carefully, with intricate schemes underneath. It shows that we should not necessarily trust our POV characters’ impressions about Meereenese politics.”
And then in the second essay, the essential point is stated more succinctly:
“We also need to correct for the bias of the unreliable narrator by looking closely at the harder facts in the text.”
Preston points out in Dragonless Ambitions, Part I, that the history of the Dance of the Dragons is written by Archmaester Gyldayn, who bases much of his history on the accounts of Mushroom the court fool:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bCj4TtnmNW4&list=PLCsx_OFEYH6s7UM_QsjilOMkdCxlokWNr
Thus, I didn’t mean to imply that the fact of Dany’s birth on Dragonstone is the main point of contention. The principal sticking point, in my opinion, is whether or not we can rely on anything the text tells us. Dany was told she was born on Dragonstone, therefore believes it, and therefore her chapters are written from the perspective of a character who believes she knows where she was born.
But what if she was lied to? And this gets us back to the fundamental weakness of R+L=J. Why would Ned Stark start a war and doom his entire house for Dany’s sake when he was so unconcerned about the fate of John Snow?
Is it ok to plug the TV Tropes kickstarter project on the main thread? I don’t want to spam the boards, but since Leigh is an avowed troper, I wondered if it was appropriate. I am not associated with the kickstarter in any way except as a donor.
@13 Barristan the Bold
I think at this point I’d expect Littlefinger to be like “AHA! Good thing I brought my Anti-Wild-Rickon-and-crazy-Shaggydog-riding-forth-with-an-army-of-wild-Unicorns-manned-by-crazy-brutal-cannibals-Bat-spray! Never leave the house without it.”
@@@@@ 32 aenor,
But what if she was lied to? And this gets us back to the fundamental weakness of R+L=J. Why would Ned Stark start a war and doom his entire house for Dany’s sake when he was so unconcerned about the fate of John Snow?
You kind of lost me there. Ned Stark didn’t start a war for Dany’s sake, he threatened to resign as Hand because his king was ordering the murder of a child. That’s different. People have resigned or been fired as Hand for much lesser things, without ill consequences to their houses.
Also, Ned was concerned about the fate of Jon Snow. He showed as much concern as he’d be about a relative that went on a somewhat dangerous career path on their own will. Like his brother Benjen.
Ned Stark was a man of principles, and this showed all along his POV chapters. He offered mercy to Cersei while his friend Robert was dying, trying not to let children be harmed, even when that made his position much less favorable in the power dispute afterwards. So his defense of Dany makes sense in such context.
@33 – plug away, as far as I’m concerned.
@35 – agreed. Ned was so worried about the fate of Jon Snow he risked blowing up his new marriage to keep Jon safe. Unconcerned – hardly.
It’s completely in character for Ned to resign his position over hiring an assassin to kill a thirteen year-old Dany. He did basically the same thing during the rebellion over the death of Rhaegar’s children. His downfall in King’s Landing basically came because he wanted to spare Cersei’s children. Violence against children has always been his berserk button.
Winter Storm Damon is currently lashing the northeastern US, but although there are 10 Damons in ASOIAF/TWOIAF, I can only think of it as Winter Storm Daemon Targaryen the Troublemaker.
@38 Aerona- In NYC, it’s mostly been light rain turning to sleet this morning, and now some light snow, more an annoyance than a real “lashing”. I’d say it’s been more like Daemon II Blackfyre, rather than Daemon Targaryen, at least here in New York.
Upstate New York is getting plenty of snow and wind.
I checked out the Preston essays …. and felt like I was listening to a conspiracy theorist putting together “facts” to show that Elvis is alive and living under a new identity in Florida. But I guess everone’s mileage may vary.
@41 Alisonwonderland
Florida? BS! I have it on good authority that Elvis died in an East Texas rest home battling a soul-sucking egyptian cowboy mummy with black JFK in 2000.
@42 Nice! I haven’t seen many Bubba Ho-tep references…. ever.
Mwahahahaha! Leigh refuses to accept the name “Griff”? Wait till she meets Griff AND Young Griff.
She hasn’t quite got the Westeros people often are referred to as their sigils thing (even though she refers to wolves and lions later). She should be thinking Griffin – but, then again, she’s not going onto the Internet to see which House had that sigil.
@45 RobM- Exactly. And Connington has only been breifly mentioned so far, not enough for Leigh to get the Connington-Griffon=Griff connection. I’m sure no one made that before the reveal.
@42, @43 – Yes! I love that movie!
@44 – …and Duck. A murder of avian references.
Funny thing about Coldhands is that I don’t think that he is a Wight. Have any of you guys thought that the Wights themselves are not so much reanimated corpses but the fallen that the Others possess in a similar vein to warging?
Boo, she didn’t really comment on Bran eating human flesh in Summer’s mind or (probably) while awake. Ah well, there’s more of that to come. A Dance with Dragons could more accurately have been called A Carousing with Cannibals.
So: is Coldhands a wight that was Benjen Stark? Is this a well-known theory, or known to be untrue? Sorry, but I’ve just done one read and not explored websites much beyond Leigh’ read.
@49 Minstrel- Clearly, Coldhands is not a wight,or at least not a garden variety one. We know that he is acquainted with the 3EC, but whether or not he is Benjen is something I am really shocked that Leigh never speculated. I always thought he is, but I admit that his comments about how long he has been dead support those who argue against.
The relationship between the Others and the Wights is pretty much as you stated. I don’t remember where, but I’m pretty sure I’ve read that GRRM has confirmed that the Others control the Wights. The Others are not human, not exactly, they are creatures of ice and cold, but apparently they can turn humans into Others (e.g. the children that Craster gives them), while most of the humans they kill and turn into wights (i.e. frozen Zombies, as Leigh calls them).
Whatever he is, Coldhands is clearly something different from a wight, though that may be through Bloodraven’s influence (maybe the 3EC rescued him before his transformation into wight was complete? No idea at this point).
@52, Well some of the original person stays. Remember the wights that attacked Mormont? They knew where is chambers were, but didn’t know he’d taken a steward.
So Coldhands has probably been protected from warging by the Others by 3EC, and some of who he was remains. Bran can feel Hodor in there when he wargs him. I imagine what is left behind in a dead person a much lessor than Hodor, but it’s still there, and could act for itself, of not being dominated by the Others.
@51 It’s a well-known theory. Some people swear by it, others point to the fact that Leaf said Coldhands died “a very long time ago” (or something like that, I don’t remember the exact wording) as evidence against it. Some people think Coldhands is the Night’s King, or some ancient Stark, or whoever they can pull out of Northern history.
#32, 35, 36, 37: Ned even thinks about Jon during his last days in the cell and wishes he could have talked to him (to tell him something?):
And that was just a little after Ned had been thinking about Lyanna and his promise, before Varys arrived:
That was the point at which I slapped my forehead on my first read and went: “How didn’t I realize this before, all those times he thought about Lyanna and his promise…”
I really think that the people who are trying to come up with alternatives for R+L=J (most of which make no sense) are just being hipsters.
@52: The thing that I latch onto in the prologue is how Varamyr states “She sees me” and how quick Bran is to recognize him in the wolf One Eye. It is almost an instantaneous realization, and I don’t think we get an info dump on warging in the first chapter only to have it end with Varamyr observing the Wights.
@53: It might not be that a part of the person remains inside, but that something remains that can be read. Perhaps an Other slips into the skin of a man and reads their experiences.
Either way, we don’t know what sustains Coldhands but he is something a little like the current UnCat and the former Beric the undead outlaw in my opinion.
@28: I agree that Bran is not as dark as Arya at this point, but I don’t agree that Arya is not concerned about morality – she just has her own morality that she lives by – or that she’s living for revenge. She is not guided by revenge, but by her own idea of justice. Most people who are on her kill list were put there because of what they did to other people. She didn’t even like Lommy Greenhands that much, for instance. Dareon hadn’t done anything to her or anyone she loved, he just broke the rules she knew her father upheld (NW deserters are punished by death), and she generally thought he was a jerk. She had to convince herself that the insurance man was a bad guy. And she thought that the Faceless Men should have killed the father who was abusing the “Ugly Girl”, rather than fulfill the girl’s request to take her own life.
@54: I think HBO crediting the zombie king of season 4 episode 4 as “the Night’s King” puts a pretty big stop to the theory that Coldhands is the Night’s King. If I had to guess now, I would say he’s someone from Dunk & Egg.
But WHERE IS BENJEN STARK??!!????!!!!?????
Quentyn and baby-swapping Jon next week, then a three-week hiatus. *sigh*
Even after Bran taps into the
NorthWorld Wide Weirwood Network , he probably won’t encounter references to “informed consent” or “bodily autonomy,” concepts which appear virtually nonexistent on Planetos.@60 Aerona- I disagree. While Melisandre has no compunctions on using people’s blood for various purposes, including when the blood is taken without consent, she seems to require consent for certain spells like producing shadows. She did want Davos to willingly sleep with her to produce more shadows, so it seems like that spell, at least, does require informed consent. Then again, Meli isn’t exactly the best poster child for informed consent in Planetos, so your point still stands…. But it does exist, at least somewhere for some circumstances.
And technically, marriage requires consent, as well, Sansa just had no real option so she consented. I don’t count the Ramsey Snow- Lady Hornwood marriage, which was even less consensual than Sansa’s, for obvious reasons.
And it seems that marriage is a consensual act for most societies. Maybe not the Dothraki, but in Meereen, for example, both parties have to consent (well, except for slaves, I guess. Not sure if they’re allowed to marry, probably not). Salt wives may not count, but the Ironborn are an exception in Westeros.
#61: Marriages in Westeros are supposed to include consent, indeed – but there’s a big gap between theory and practice. Saying the vows is theoretically something bride and groom do of their free will, but there are certainly many cases when one or both parties have few options, and some cases where one of the parties has no options at all and is being forced into it – and everyone knows it, but they keep up the charade of ‘normal’ and ‘happy’ wedding anyway (as we see both in Sansa/Tyrion and “Arya”/Ramsay weddings).
It also has to be said that while marital rape is presumably not legally recognized as a crime, but we still see not just the victims (like Cersei) but also outside observers in some cases get really upset when husbands decide to violently take their “rights” – as when Jaime had to listen to Aerys brutally raping Rhaella; and the implication was that the reason why they did not intervene was because he was the king, and they were Kingsguard (they were also standing by while he was burning people), not because it’s generally considered normal or acceptable. Jaime’s first assumption was that they were supposed to protect the queen, as knights should do.
We also see that there is a lot of rape in Westeros, especially during the war, but that it is considered a very serious crime; however, many will look the other way when small folk are victims, or even encourage their troops to commit rape – but there are opposite examples as well (Stannis gelding the rapists among his soldiers). We also see the Brotherhood without Banners and the Hunstman punish rapists harshly (execution, or in the latter case, slow and torturous execution including castration). Arya has Jaqen kill Chyswick because of his gang rape story (and the gleeful way he told it).
On the other hand, there’s a lot of rape that even many Westerosi wouldn’t recognize as such – those situations when direct violence is not used, but rather coercion, explicit or implicit, including the cases when there is a huge power disbalance because of the respective social statuses.
The slaves, however, don’t even theoretically have any rights or freedom, and nobody asks for their consent.
Who in D and E could Coldhands be? Can’t think of anyone.
Obvious candidate would be Bloodraven but he had another destiny.
*checks* Actually, the next Jon chapter is “Edd, fetch me a block.” Leigh might consider it a high note to pause on, as these things go, so maybe the timing isn’t too bad.
@56
No way Coldhands is something like Beric and Cat. The latter are dead people who were revived and lived again, i.e. kept their consciousness (although lessened) could be killed again and remain dead.
Coldhands is just a walking dead corpse, wight style.
There are two possible explanations IMO:
A) It was an actual wight, controlled by Others who somehow lost their control over him in favor of 3EC et al.
B) 3EC learned the way Others created wights and did it himself (possibly through one of his minions) – took a dead corpse and animated it.
The fact that Coldhands talks doesn’t mean it is him who does it, it may be whoever controls him. And the reason that the regular wights don’t talk seems to result from the fact that they are controlled by Others who don’t seem to use human methods of communication.
Something that occurred to me while I was reading Leigh’s post…
As someone stated above, there’s a guess that the wights are just Others warging into a dead person’s body.
What’s to say that Coldhands isn’t Bloodraven doing the same thing? He is the an extremely powerful warg and might have figured out how to warg into a dead Night’s Watch ranger and just uses it as his moving avatar.
@65,
The latter are dead people who were revived and lived again, i.e. kept
their consciousness (although lessened) could be killed again and
remain dead.
Beric was killed often, and didn’t remain dead.
We also have no proof that Cat can’t be warged by someone who could do it. Hell, maybe that’s how Brienne is saved, is Bran sees what his mother is about to do, and stops her? Seven Hells, maybe BRAN IS CONTROLLING CAT???? And that’s why the threat is specifically FOR JAIME, who pushed him out the window!
Anyway, Beric was killed in a lot of ways, but he was never set fire.
Sounds like a wight to me.
This never occurred to me until just now in this reread, but could Coldhands actually be being wared/possessed by Future!Bran through the timey-wimey-weirwood-network? His insistence that he is “Bran’s Monster” put the thought into my head this time around. Then Bran is actually talking to himself.
@66, That may be the case, but I’m pretty sure it was made clear to not be the case.
Why he’s not susceptible to the Others control is related to Bloodraven, IMO, but I don’t think he’s being warged by Bloodraven.
@68, That’s interesting
And terrifying. I think more terrifying that FutureBran controlling Cat, TBH.
Aeryl @67:
Given that Beric set his sword on fire merely by spreading his own blood over the blade, I’d say that he is far less susceptible to flames than Other-made wights or Coldhands. He is a fire-wight, after all.
Re: the identity of Coldhands, he could have been one of the rangers who accompanied Bloodraven on his last ranging in 252 AC. Maybe even a former member of the Raven’s Teeth? According to WOIAF, when Bloodraven was sentenced to the Wall, some of them chose to go with him.
IIRC, at some point Coldhands’ eyes are described as black, while Benjen had blue-gray eyes.
Nor would I be so sure that despite being undead, Coldhands can’t have a consciousness of his own, like un-Beric, un-Cat and possibly Melisandre and Moqorro. Just because Bloodraven may have saved him from possession by the Others or even raised him, doesn’t mean that Coldhands has to be BR’s sock-puppet.
Nor is there any indication that time-travelling paradoxes exist in ASOIAF.
Besides, everybody knows that Benjen is Daario. : )
@71,
I think that there is more evidence that the fire sword is related to being a believer of R’hllor than being a “fire wight”. Isn’t there an indication that Thoros can also truly make the fire blade, unlike his previous imitations?
There are differences between Beric, Cat and the wights, no blue eyes and black hands. But, IMO, the black hands just indicate frostbite, and the blue eyes indicate Other warging(I can’t recall does Coldhands have the blue eyes).
There is also a scene in one of the books, where Jon thinks that Bran is speaking to him, while in front of wierwood. It’s speculated that this is Bran reaching back through time, as BR as shown him he can look through the past, and talking to him, similar to when Bran saw Ned at Winterfell, and Ned asks aloud if Bran is near, before Cat approaches him with word from King’s Landing about Jon Arryn.
Aeryl @73:
Nope, Thoros can’t ignite his sword with his own blood like Beric could. In fact, we didn’t see him igniting any swords at all or producing fire blades from thin air like Rand al’Thor ;) while he was with the Brotherhood.
Coldhands’ eyes are described as black in the very chapter that it is currently being discussed on Leigh’s re-read, IIRC.
As to the scene of Bran contacting Jon, there is zero indication of any time travel. It is just that that Bran and Summer are in different places at the time (Bran in the crypts, Summer in the woods, smelling fresh earth, etc) and Jon connects to both of them. When Bran subsequently wakes up in the crypts, he even mentions his interaction with Jon in the dream.
Isilel – the problem with that is that Bran’s skill level in ACOK re warging is very low – just riding with Summer – and what Jon sees is A-plus greenseeing (connecting minds, causing a weirwood tree to grow, reaching out and turning on Jon’s own warging activities). Also the “I like the dark” talk and crypt-like smell are consisted with Bloodraven land. So, if it is not Bran going back in time and connecting with Jon, it is a humongous cheat as Bran’s awe-inspiring abilities come out of nowhere.
“As usual, I suppose I’ll find out!” — Leigh
You sweet summer child.
@75 RobMRob, in addition to your point, it’s also highly unlikely IMO, that the scene of Bran seeing Ned and Ned sensing him would be in the series, unless it’s supposed to indicate something,
Aw, I was so hopeful that a block would be fetched today. Guess we’ll have to wait until next year.
Oh gods, she likes Quentyn (<3 Leigh). This will not end well.
/You know who else in ASOIAF was nice and not very crafty?
Leigh was brilliant in getting to the core of Q and being worried about his survival chances. Ha!
@79: Joffrey right? I remember how upset she was at his death….
It actually makes me wonder how she will continue to see his character. The next time we see him is when Astapor is put to the sword, and later when he is so traumatized by his experiences and the death of his friends that he convinces himself that he must do something to make the journey and their deaths mean something. But will she see that or will she lose this sympathy and think of him like the idiot that most readers think he is/was?
@79: Ned?
“Too trusting with his plans”? Maybe. Doran certainly mishandled communication with his children regarding the Essos mission. He impressed its importance on Quentyn so well that the kid felt a fatal need to “succeed or die trying,” (though other events contributed to this, as noted), which I don’t think Doran intended, and left Arianne completely in the dark until she disastrously tried to thwart her nonexistent disinheritance.
@81: Truth. When people talk about Quentyn’s sweetness and decency, my mind often goes to the Astapor flashbacks of butchering boy soldiers. The place was a hellhole and he had no choice, but still. Leigh’s reaction could be interesting. In the meantime, her hopes for him and Dany hurt my heart.
AG@82– Doran had no good communications options with Arianne because he was worried she’d blab the Viserys marriage option to her friends during her indiscreet teen years and, presumably, beyond into her 20s.
I agree, however, Doran didn’t handle the situation well in that he never (as far as we know) sought to address the concern about blabbing secrets to her friends. When he learned Viserys had died, Doran really needed to sit her down, have a series of talks that impressed upon her the importance of keeping Dorne-critical secrets to herself, and brought her into the conspiracy knowingly. He didn’t and Arys, Myrcella and Arianne’s friends paid the price.
I haven’t read this book for a while, since it came out. Did quentyn definitely die in the end or was it kind of up in the air. I have my doubts since POV don’t die in their own chapters (or at least don’t stay dead). Or did we see it from someone elses perspective? I can’t remember. ..
He died three days after being burned. We learn of it from Barristan’s perspective in grisly detail (ADWD chapter 70).
Its definitley not definite that Quentyn is dead. Preston Jacobs makes a great case on his his youtube videos.
I’m not counting his being dead as a sure thing.
A little something to help us through the annual Great AROIAF Famine:
http://www.tor.com/blogs/2015/01/game-of-thrones-nicknames
(Focuses more on ASOIAF than on GoT, despite the title)
I’ve begun rereading ADWD to follow along with Leigh (well, re-listening to an audiobook with a narrator who annoyingly calls Tyrion “Tie-ree-on” and Jaime “Jayme”) and was bemused in Quentyn’s first chapter by Doran’s stated intent to keep his Revenge Plot secret from Varys.
Question. Both TWOIAF and GRRM say that a “warg” is specifically a skinchanger who mind-bonds with wolves or direwolves. So when someone enters the mind of a different animal (or human), do we still say they’re “warging” it?
@88 – apparently no. Without looking back at Varamyr’s chapters, I’d guess skinchanging or “riding”.
re Lord Commander Jon Snow: But, if it means at least a few fewer people fucking with him, I’ll take it.
*Bites into fist*
“For the Watch” will be no fun for Ms. Butler.
#90: And that may be a problem with proving yourself as a total badass commander not to be fucked with unless you want to lose your head – if you also alienate some of your underlings with your radical reformist policies: they may choose assassination instead of a less radical form of disobedience.
Strange that she is so lost (distracted?) with the Griffs. Especially after reading The Mystery Knight I would think, that in AWOIAF, if it can’t be a peasant/low born and is probably not a lord either it must be a king would come more naturally, and she’s already halfway there.
GRRM Being Sneaky:
Jaime encounters Red Ronnet Connington at Harrenhal in AFFC, with his griffin-bedecked coat, and mention is made of a cousin who “drank himself to death” in exile across the narrow sea. But at the time, the scene seems designed solely to give readers the pleasure of watching someone who’d been cruel to Brienne get smacked with the Golden Hand. Most people (including me) have forgotton the other details by the time we meet “Griff,” the red-haired Westerosi lord in Essos who startles at Tyrion’s mention of “winged lions.”
Someone on TV Tropes pointed out that Aegon’s skills and life experience, as extolled by Varys at ADWD’s end, could largely apply to Arya instead. The full explanation from
http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Characters/ASongOfIceAndFireHouseStark:
“Trained in arms, reads and writes, speaks several tongues (Common Tongue, High Valyrian, Braavosi, Lysen and Pentoshi) has studied history (she adores female figures like Visenya and Nymeria) and law ( the reason she killed Daeron) and poetry (prefers songs of Wenda the White Fawn). She has lived with fisherfolk, worked with her hands, swum in rivers (like a fish according to Jon) and mended nets and learned to wash her own clothes at need. She can fish and cook and bind up a wound, she knows what it is like to be hungry, to be hunted, to be afraid. She understands kingship is a duty, that a king must put his people first, and live and rule for them (she defended the butcher’s boy Mycah from Prince Joffrey, and understands that the smallfolk deserve freely-given justice.)”
And yet Aegon’s personality and inclinations are totally different, not to mention his type of religious upbringing, professional resume, and lack of (recent) trauma. Those things matter, people.
@88 I called him Tie-ri-on in my head for years, to correspond with Tie-win, long before the tv series came out. I absolutely refuse to pronounce it as Ti-ri-on, much as I refused to pronounce Taim as Tah-eem or Faile as Fah-eel.
“Kill the boy, and let the man be born”. Forewarning? Dies at end of book and born as a man (and released from vows).
My Library of Congress audiobooks collectively have five narrators (AGOT-ASOS, AFFC, and ADWD), and each of them pronounced certain names differently from the others — and from the show. E.g. all of them call Daenerys “DAY-neris” (rhymes with “dangerous,” haha) instead of “De-NARE-ess” like most people do.
It is a bit interesting to me that a we get the phrase “Playing the game of thrones” thrown at us with a frequency to match the beginning of the series. It kind of made me think that the tone was being set to something similar at the beginning, in that long term plots are on the way and we really don’t know what is going on behind the scenes. By the end of ADWD the Lannisters seem firmly established to be brushed alongside the events that will come to pass in a similar manner that we saw the Starks in the beginning.
@95: Honestly, I have heard this reasoning before and it is really one of the weakest arguments I ever saw. I would actually like Jon to be in a position of power outside the NW, though I reserve obvious doubts, but the reality is that what would release him from those words is the de-facto reasons and not the de-jure state of affairs. Precedent can be found after the fact to justify the a situation such as Robert’s “legitimacy”, where his link to the Targs was used to justify Baratheon ascendancy that was achieved through war.
#94: Tie-ri-on sounds terrible to my ears. I’ve never thought his name was pronounced like that.
But the show pronunciation I hate is “Tie-sha”. I always thought it was Tee-sha. She says in Tyrion’s flashback in Clash that their names go together, “Tyrion and Tysha, Tysha and Tyrion” – then they should sound similar, damn it – her name should not sound more similar to Tywin! (ugh)
The other show pronunciation I refuse to acknowledge is “Marjory”. Urgh. No deeper reasons in this case – it just annoys me. If GRRM wants her to be called “Marjory”, he shouldn’t spell her name “Margaery”, because that makes no sense at all! I pronounce it “Margery”, as in Margaret, which is the only way I will read it (there’s no way G becomes “j” in front of “A”!), and it sounds much better, anyway.
Big news for some, i.e. those who believe that Coldhands is/may be Benjen… (Not so big news for the likes of me who never believed that, but anyway…) It looks like GRRM’s editor had the same idea, and GRRM straight up said: “No”. http://www.reddit.com/r/asoiaf/comments/2rtcaa/i_went_to_the_cushing_library_and_went_through/
@97 But all indications of the Rebellion show they were already considering Robert prior to his defeat of Rhaegar.
@98 You can pronounce it as you like, noone will put you in gaol for not conforming ;)
Personally, I don’t care about the “official” pronounciation and stick to whatever is most convenient for me.
Man, all the different rumors about Jon’s mother, and the fisherman’s daughter is the one that Leigh bites on? I’m so, so disappointed.
@MDNY, I think that’s a well that’s been pulled from one too many times of our Leigh. She kept blowing off the others because they weren’t good enough for Jon, but now she’s in the doldrums about the series, so OF COURSE GRRM was pulling our leg with hints that Jon would be Important.
Reek, Reek, it rhymes with next week! Hopefully!
Oh yeah, I’ve been waiting for Leigh’s reaction to the first Reek chapter. It should be… interesting. And next week also brings the Quaithe prophecy, the chained dragons, and Dany sinking deeper into the quicksand of Meereen.
yeah this whole beginning of aDwD is one slow, slogging set-up for all the “Oh Shit!” that happens towards the end.
I feel that the time between chapters is what’s hindering Leigh with the “Who is Jon’s Mom?” theories. That, and the majority of the R+L=J evidence is in book 1. I’m really looking forward to her finishing the series though so we can get her take on it. For the record, I put random fisherman’s daughter about midway down my list, with R+L on the top and N+L on the bottom. Waaaaaay on the bottom.
Re Robb and Jon’s respective ages, I’d always assumed that Jon was older, as that would make his illegitimacy more important, as the eldest male Stark would inherit Winterfell. If Jon was the second son, then there would be less pressure on Eddard to legitimise him becuase he would be unlikely to inherit Winterfell.
However, I’ve been doing some reading on towerofthehand and in their timeline of Robert’s Rebellion they pinpoint Robb’s birth by back-tracking from his 14th nameday at the start of ASoIaF.
Jon’s birthday is harder to pin down. I’ve always assumed that Lyanna died in childbirth, which would put Jon’s birth about three months after Robb’s. Otherwise we don’t have much to go on.
@108, Lyanna ran off with Rhaegar way before Ned married Cat, so it’s more likely that Jon is older.
I hate the Reek chapters and might not force myself to reread them for this, as I already get occasional nightmares about Ramsay. But I hope Leigh’s will make them better with her ragehorror, as she did with the Red Wedding, Stoneheart’s debut, and Brienne’s last two showdowns, among other terrible events.
Interesting following this as well as UNspoiled. Brendan (the unspoiled one of the latter duo) put together the evidence for RLJ before the end of GoT, and has resolutely believed in it ever since. Leigh…didn’t. And I’d given it barely any thought on a first-read.
If Jon were Ned’s bastard from the war — as everyone in the story believes — wouldn’t he be younger than Robb, who was born while Ned was away? He might actually be older if RLJ, but I’d think he would be considered younger. Or was Ned at Starfall (around Wylla) before the war? I never understood those events and their timeline well.
Rattleshirt was a clever choice for a Mance substitute. Along with being expendable, he (unintentionally) demoralized the wildlings by making the dying “Mance” look pathetic. Would all other wildlings have similarly raved and screamed while being burnt alive as someone else? Maybe, as even people resolved not to (e.g. Mirri, Alester Florent) end up doing so. Still, this one certainly worked.
But why didn’t Rattleshirt ever say “I’m Rattleshirt,” not just “I’m not Mance”?
@108: I don’t think it matters. If Jon were really Ned’s bastard, I believe he’d still be behind all his trueborn children in the line to inherit Winterfell if he were to be legitimized. As the (possibly trueborn) son of Ned’s younger sister, Jon is also behind all of Ned’s children in the line of inheritance.
Not that the line of inheritance ever stopped people from trying to get something they had even a weak claim to. Trying to think of it from Cat’s perspective: there were reasons to fear a possible claim Jon may have. Let’s say that Jon were an utter bastard in the metaphorical sense, or he has sons and they didn’t care about their cousins – they could start a rumor that Catelyn had a lover and that Robb was a bastard, the way the Blackfyres embraced the rumor that Daeron was a bastard. Or, sometimes people don’t even try to convince others that they have a better claim: as Renly’s example shows, popularity, military support and preferably some sort of a claim is enough to mount a serious campaign.
(I still think the main reason for Cat’s resentment was jealousy of Jon’s mother.)
#110 – The main difference between Brendan from UnSpoiled and Leigh is that he was reading five chapters a week, while she’s reading one or two at most. Reading chapters in close succession and finishing the book in a shorter time makes it more likely to connect the dots (Brendan really picked up on quite a few things). I read the first book in a month, and picked up on R+L=J during Ned’s last POV chapter, and then went back over the previous mentions of Lyanna and Rhaegra and became 100% convinced of it. But with big breaks between reading chapters, and without going back to check on the previous ones, it must be much harder to pick up on things when clues are so far apart. Leigh seems to forget a lot of earlier stuff (she didn’t even remember who the BwB were by the time of Storm) so she usually doesn’t pick up on mysteries – unless all the clues are within the same chapter (like the Gravedigger) or very close in the book.
I sure hope she remembers the “thousands eyes and the one” from Dunk & Egg by the time she gets to Bran II!
@112 – hell yes. BR FTW!
@112 Annara- Bran 2 is where we meet the 3 eyed crow, but only briefly at the end. It’s really Bran 3 (Chapter 34) that should let her know, when 3EC tells Bran his name was Brynden. That is, if she remembers Bloodraven’s name, and the source of his nickname (which she didn’t seem to catch on her read of D+E).
@114: Yes, but Bran II is when he says: “I have watched you with a thousand eyes and the one”, which is probably the biggest clue.
Yeah, at least four different bites at the apple – thousand eyes and one; Brynden; one eye and big birthmark; member of the Nights Watch. I’ll be disappointed if she misses them.
I’m interested to see how Leigh parses the Quaithe vision. She’ll get Kraken, Lion, and Sun’s Son right away, and surmise Griff is the Griffin, and try to remember who the Griffin was. So she’ll start pondering Dark Flame and Mummer’s Dragon, and maybe think that Pale Mare refers to a person the way the others do (or is Daenerys herself, which would be a weird warning). Will Leigh think Euron is the Dark Flame, or Brown Ben Plumm? Will she guess the Dragon reference is Targaryen, or false Targaryen? Or maybe she’ll guess we haven’t seen everyone yet, or maybe falsly accuse Daario once more. Good times.
And I while its not a book-throwing moment, it will be fun to hear her react to the end of the Reek chapter.
So, I’m thinking “dark flame” is Moqorro, but obviously Leigh can’t know that.
Yeah, the revulsion to Griff is getting old
But I just noticed that Griff and the Mummer’s Dragon are presented here as two different people. HMMMMM?
Very surprised that she missed the immediate dragon=Targaryen off the bat, being distracted by the “Griffin”. Really, its as portent at “No. There is another.” And in the same chapter Rhaegar’s babes are mentioned, too.
@@@@@ 118 Well, there could be JonCon as the griffin, and fAegon as the mummers dragon? But if those mentioned together are linked, it is weird that JonCon would be paired with Tyrion rather than fAegon.
On the other hand, if the paired ones are not necessarily linked, then “dark flame” could be a Blackfyre threat rather than Moqorro.
I was impressed with her immediate jump to pale mare = plague/death.
And awww, no Reek this time. (Reek, Reek, it rhymes with next week.)
Her reaction actually completely cracked me up!
Looking at that section again, and thinking about fAegon. First of all, as Aeryl points out, the ‘griffin’ and ‘mummer’s dragon’ are mentioned here as separate entities. But does that mean it is just referring to Griff and Young Griff?
Also, I’m not totally convinced it means Aegon is fake. Does the phrase ‘mummer’s dragon’ mean that the dragon itself is fake, or just that a mummer (Varys? Does he count as a mummer?) is controlling him?
There are probably other clues but I read the book over a year ago and haven’t re-read it since. Some of this stuff I’m remembering again for the first time.
I totally forgot about Sam’s maester. Where is he, anyway? Is he referenced in this prophecy at all? My first thought about ‘dark flame’ was the horn that burned the person from the inside out, but that could just be a totally wrong connection. But the grouping of the prophecy seems to imply that the dark flame and the kraken are traveling together.
I think the the pairings are linked to an extent, but are also a result of wanting it to sound good (“griffin and mummer’s dragon” doesn’t exactly roll off the tongue). I think it’s useful to keep in mind that this is also only what Quaithe *thinks* will happen. We know she’s fallible, because in the end two of them decided not to show up.
Like, if they don’t turn around around, probably (f)Aegon and Quentyn show up to press their suit at around the same time, so get listed as a pair of suitors who both want the same thing from her and would in fact in other circumstances probably be on the same side. So they’re linked in purpose, so a certain extent.
Of course, there is always the possibility that mummer’s dragon doesn’t have anything to do with a Targaryen, but means someone getting control of an actual dragon. (Dragon horn at Meereen, Rhaegal and Viserion…) I’m not saying it’s likely, just that it’s possible.
@@@@@ 121
The dark flame is the priest Moqorro, in my opinion. He’s travelling with Victarion at the end of ADWD.
@121
Re: mummer’s dragon
I think by far the biggest hint that the mummer’s dragon is a false dragon and not just a dragon controlled by a mummer is, “Remember the Undying.”
In the Undying, Dany see’s a mummer’s dragon (“a cloth dragon swayed on poles amidst a cheering crowd”) during the “slayer of lies” litany. She also saw Stannis claiming to be AA reborn in that section, so I think it’s pretty strong evidence that someone saying they’re a dragon is lying.
This is also why I think it’s someone claiming to be a Targ, rather than someone who’s just nabbed a dragon. Euron isn’t going to pretend to be a Targ prince. He just wants a flaming death machine to call his own.
@118 Griffin=Griff= Jon Connington. Mummer’s Dragon = Young Griff aka “Aegon” aka FAegon.
Yeah, I, too, am getting really tired of Leigh’s complaints about Griff.
NOOOOO, I want my horrified Leigh! Oh well, these Dany chapters are packed with things which need discussing. Maybe she’ll become less fixated on Griff’s name when she has someone to really be angry at (i.e. the Boltons).
Hard to be sure, though. On UNspoiled, Brendan was exceptionally and vociferously angry about this Dany chapter — especially the dragons’ “inhumane” imprisonment, which Leigh calls “ethical” — and disgusted but much calmer about “Reek,” mostly annoyed about having been made to feel sorry for Theon.
I wonder if she’ll remember the “perfumed seneschal” when learning about the boat called “Stinky Steward” (Selaesori Qhoran). I didn’t.
I don’t mind all the annoyance at Griff. I hated the Tyrion arc anyways since there really wasn’t anyone to cheer for. But, it would be nice if she would fixate on something other than the names. Luckily for us she’ll soon know who they are and then she can drop the annoyance for the names to annoyance at their characters.
Considering Leigh reviewed that chapter of Clash of Kings in June 2012, the phrase “Remember the Undying” certainly rings true.
Hi everyone, we’ve had a couple of flagged messages in today’s non-spoiler post thread, but none of the mods are 100% sure which parts of them would be spoilers. The messages are #12 (flagged by LisaMarie) and #14 (flagged by Chris). Please let us know what should be whited out and one of the moderators will take care of it. Thanks!
As I point out in the main thread, Dany’s deal in Meerreen, is really nothing more than a deconstruction of the White Savior trope.
Which is why the way the show goes with it(so far) is so disappointing.
@128 – hah. And agreed! Although I think the annoyance at the name is funny (if inexplicable), much better when she can be annoyed at the existence of the persons.
Katharine/mods – comment 14 on today’s thread says this:
That to me seems to come too close to confirming death and plague as the right interpretation. Am I being too picky, or is “you’re not clueless and your interpretation is impressive” spoilery?
@130, #12 ws probably flagged for trying to lead Leigh to JonCon’s identity.
#14, Probably for implying too much about Griff’s identity.
Re: the spoiler comments. I’d consider taking a closer look at comments hinting about a reveal regarding the Griffs or saying they’re not what they seem. On the one hand, if you don’t know, you could well be innocently wondering why they’ve been introduced and if they’re important. But there’s a seriously major reveal coming up with respect to their identities, so I’d keep an eye out for hint-dropping.
Very disappointed that the moderators whited out most of my post, especially considering that ChaplainChris explained why he flagged it and that wasn’t what ended up whited out.
Preface….I try to read all of your comments, but admittedly, I’ve missed a lot. But here’s my question…and pardon if there’s already been a big discussion of it…just direct me there, please.
The dragons need to be trained, as they were in the past, and Dany hasn’t done that, and doesn’t seem to have a clue how to do it, or anyone to teach her.
Do any of you think the dragons are really only controlled by a Warg? Other than that, I have no clue how you’d ever control such a beast! Especially, training it to selectively kill who you wish it to. You could have one person Warging the dragon while another actually rides it, too. Couldn’t you?
@Tektonika
I agree the dragons will be warged. But we do see Dany gain some marginal control over Drogon without warging, but all the other wargs we’ve met have all had some minor control over the companions without full on warging. Robb was able to command Grey Wind without ever abandoning his body, Jon orders Ghost around, and Bran can command Summer.
So how much control Dany(and the other heads) will need to exert is really the question.
Yes – I had flagged comment 12 because it seemed to be very wink wink nudge nudge about Griff’s identity.
@127 – when we watched the GoT TV show episode where the man brings in his daughter’s bones, my husband was so upset he could barely watch it. Later we rewatched it with my sister and a friend and he might have just refused to watch. My sister and her friend (who are only 19) had pretty much no reaction. But when she put the dragons in the cave, they got super emotional and almost started crying. I had a kind of WTF moment in my head…but at any rate it’s kind of funny how age, perspective (we have a child the same age as the one killed in the show) changes things and causes different things to resonate emotionally. Her friend had actually flat out stated at one point that she cared more about what happens to animals than to people.
@138, I was upset for both. I can grieve for the child, and for Dany at having to chain up her “children”(especially because of the wonderful animation in that scene). In some ways, the dragons treatment reminds me how certain breeds of dogs are viewed through a skewed lens as violent, and people get those dogs especially to condition them to violence(or fail to train them at all, like with Dany).
Oh, yeah, me too. But I feel more sympathy for the father (and child), naturally. And then for the dragons (who are basically neglected). And then for Dany, who is somewhat in a mess of her own making (although not without reason…).
@122 “…So they’re linked in purpose, so a certain extent.”
This got me thinking and I think that may be exactly how they are linked:
1. Kraken and Dark Flame: So we don’t know Moqarro’s actual motivations but it would not surprise me if he viewed Dany in a similar way to Victarion and is looking to forcibly bind her to his cause. They are also both viewing things through the lens of their religion.
2. Lion and Griffin: Both are looking to join Dany’s cause in order to return home and claim their birthright/castles
3. Sun’s Son and Mummer’s Dragon (fAegon): Both are looking to marry Dany and view it more as a mutal support situation. Both also have a family history that would support marriage of Dany as the expected way of things (Dornish had several Targaryen marriages and Targaryens often married each other).
I wonder how Leigh will feel when Victarion trades “douchetastic mangst” for sheer emotionless brutality. Not an improvement, IMO.
Re controlling dragons: I believe it is more mystical and symbolic, and I am not sure that any training can help. In Astapor the Dragons obeyed Dany’s orders (“Dracarys!”), and then with the Yunkai envoy when they set his tokar on fire (which is exactly what Dany wanted, to leave him alive but scared). But now Dany wants to make peace, and the dragons don’t like that, so they stopped obeying. I believe that in TWOW Dany will be able to control them again since she has now embraced “fire and blood”.
@143, But the Targaryens ruled Westeros in peace for hundreds of years.
@144
The Targs never went long without war, actually. Aegon went to war with the Iron Islands the year after he was crowned, and started fighting Dorne again two years after that. The fighting lasted nine years. Aegon himself had around 25 years of peace afterward, but that’s up there for the longest stretch for the Targs.
The very next king faced a rebellion by the Faith. When the next king got involved, the peasants rebelled as well.
At this point, we’re approaching 100 AC, during which time the Targs participated in the mostly foreign war of the Triarchy, including fighting Dorne on the Stepstones. Their involvement lasted about nine years.
The Dance, which was a major civil war, happened about 20 years after that.
The last dragons die around here, and the way it’s written really makes it seem like poison.
About 20 years after the civil war, the Young Dragon conquered Dorne and promptly lost it.
The Blackfyre Rebellion was fewer than 30 years after that–and then there were the subsequent invasions, culminating in the War of the Ninepenny Kings. There are characters in the books old enough to have fought in it.
The longest stretch of peace the Targs had without a major rebellion or foreign war was something like 30 years, and mostly they were fighting themselves. Not that bad if you look at our own history, but certainly not hundreds of years of peace.
Not that I’m really sold on the hypothesis you were addressing, either.
So the Pale Mare: is there a family that has a horse as it’s sigil? Gotta be, right?
@146, No the Pale Mare is the flux that is coming to Meereen, Leigh’s actually on the right track.
@121
Varys was oringally a mummer. Like that was actually his profession. So that is a completely valid interpretation of that line.
@148
I think that interpretation is true–Aegon is a dragon put forward by an ex-mummer–just not complete.
Quaithe just told us to remember the Undying. The Undying told us the mummer’s dragon is a lie at the same time they told us Stannis as AA Reborn with Lightbringer is a lie.
@142: I dunno, I found ADWD Vic to be a massive improvement over AFFC Vic in terms of suddenly becoming much more unintentionally (on his part, not GRRM’s) hilarious. The parts where he’s “saving” the slaves are some of the best dark humor GRRM has done.
@150: Leigh’s reaction to it will hopefully be hilarious, but it’s on my list of Most Awful ASOIAF Chapters (many of which are in ADWD). Not the writing, but the events.
@145: Right. Keeping the throne isn’t the same as keeping the peace.
Tomorrow on AROIAF: Reek, Reek, it rhymes with “Oh, look, it’s a Monkey’s Paw wish in textual form.”
@152
One thousand eyes and fun, hype!
That poster, #16, seems to be going too far when with his hints. In the last paragraph “There is a reason we wanted you to read D&E…”. Wasn’t it mentioned some time ago that we weren’t supposed to try to steer Leigh in a paticular direction?
@154 – I just whited out that part of the message. Better safe than sorry!
Is it OK to ask here for opinions on the HBO portrayal of Theon’s torture? In case it isn’t, mine is whited out below:
////I approve. In the book, we mostly learn about it afterward from his memories, mangled body, and beyond-traumatized mindset of terror and identity loss. The show managed to convey his physical and psychological tormentation from the outside rather well, with a minimum of onscreen simulated maiming. It didn’t need to be in every Season 3 episode, though.
I was disappointed when the “guess where you are” game didn’t contain his realization that he’s in the Dreadfort. So I imagine his thoughts instead: “Not Karhold. Not the Last Hearth. Not Moat Cailin. So it must be…oh no. No. NOOOOOO!!!”///
OMDG, I just discovered that clicking Leigh’s name in the tor.com blogger list leads to a listing of her recent posts, each with an enjoyable new quip or quote. Maybe I’m not the last to notice…
are we supposed to be surprised that Bran has a crush on Meera? After all, she is the only girl around AND she kicks ass. Of course he would start to develop some kind of feelings towards her.
Was it in this chapter that we get a physical description of the CotF or is it the next one. I was a little suprised that there was no reaction on the appearance here.
Edit: By that I mean more than “they have cat eyes”.
Anyone seen the leaked HBO season 5 trailer with Sansa as Bullwhip Griffin? Anyone care to guess how the series will now diverge with the books as Jamie seems to be in Dorne and the Sandsnakes are loose.
I couldn’t really tell with Sansa was wearing (and I have no idea what you are referencing) but the thing that caught me was Varys referencing Dany as the leader he intends Tyrion to help, which makes me wonder if the whole Griff/fAegon storyline is going to be cut (hah, Leigh will be happy!).
LM – I had the same thought.
I’m seriously afraid for the deviations and already sad about some of them. Making Trystane as crown prince of Dorne is bad on several fronts, including cutting out an opportunity for another female leader in the show. Reducing the sand snakes and cutting out Tyene in particular is disappointing. Really looking forward to north of the Wall stuff.
Tyene is in there. She’s just nothing like Tyene in the books.
My only hope for the Arianne cut is that her plot goes to Myrcella.
LisaMarie, I don’t know if you’ve ever checked out the Meerennese Blot, but he has a good theory for what FAegon means for the series, and if Arrianne has been cut, it makes sense he goes too.
@160: “Anyone seen the leaked HBO season 5 trailer with Sansa as Bullwhip Griffin” – what does that mean?
All that Sansa is doing in the trailer is 1) crying, while listening to LF talk about revenge and enduring his creepy touchy behavior, 2) apparently lying in a bathtub (?), though I thought at first she was in a sept praying, the scene is really dark and it’s hard to see what’s going on.
@161: There are other reasons why I think fAegon is getting cut (such as the cutting of Arianne, the reports and photos from the shooting, lack of casting announcements, and the probability that the showrunners would decide to a) cut a storyline with such complicated background, and b) not make it appear they’re doing bait and switch with the secret Targ reveals), but this line proves no such thing. Illyrio said more or less the same to Tyrion in the book; he was told he was sent to Dany, nobody told him about Aegon, and Illyrio and Varys didn’t reveal their plans to him.
@164, that is true, I don’t think it’s definitive proof (nor do I completely trust trailers to be hinting what it looks like they are hinting). But – yes, I have read the Mereenese Blot, awhile back – and I actually forgot that particular point, but yes…that does make a lot of sense…hmm…
The problem is, if FAegon, Myrcella, Arianne, and Quentyn are all just peripheral to the real story, why the hell did GRRM spend a thousand pages on them?
I’m probably not going to watch this season, regardless of what changes from the story or how true it remains. I didn’t even finish the last season, I feel like the TV series has been going downhill basically since season 2 and I’d rather just remember the story in the books, which is richer and more complex.
@166 What is “the real story” exactly?
If it’s “how the Others are defeated” or “who will sit on the Iron Throne at the end” then yeah, it wouldn’t surprise me at all to hear that fAegon and Quentyn are cuttable, and Arianne’s story can be told by someone else. But if that were the only “real” story, this could be any cookie cutter fantasy series, just with more blood, betrayal and deaths.
There are all those other stories, the ones about family, about thirst for revenge and what it does to people, about differences between fairytales and reality, about the destruction that war causes, about the nobles playing the game of thrones while the smallfolk starve and die, about missing the very real threat to all mankind because you’re blinded by the perceived threat to yourself… all those stories. Arianne, fAegon, Quentyn, etc have important roles to play out in those areas.
You can tell so many more side stories, with so much more depth and so many more nuances, in a series of novels than you can with ten hours a year. That’s why people who started by watching the show still find themselves unable to put the books down when they read them, despite already knowing the important beats of the “real story” from the show – because there is so much MORE.
Will this thread continue to be a free for all in regards to the show this season?
I,for one, won’t be watching anymore of the show until the books are finished. As much as I don’t like many of the deviations (the actual choices, not necessarily that they deviated), last season got too far into potential spoiler territory for me. I’ve got 15 years into these books and I’m not willing to let the show spoil anything.
Just curious since I’d like to keep reading these threads.
I haven’t seen any of the show. But then, I haven’t been playing in the spoiler thread either. Why not? I didn’t really realize you guys were having fun over here!
I also didn’t know that Bloodraven was our three eyed crow. Very interesting. I might have to read the last Dunk and Egg story after all. I’ve been refusing on principle. “Finish the real story, George!”
Re: the question of how the Targaryens controlled their dragons, I’ve sort of been assuming they warged them. Which has Implications for R+L = J!
I don’t understand Leigh’s antipathy for Griffin (which I much prefer to gryphon, so I can be irrational too) but it’s fun to read.
Last stream of consciousness thought, how sure are we that fAegon is fake/ mummer’s dragon/ Etc.?
@167 Lyanna Mormont-
The “real story” is the Song of Ice and Fire ;)
There are a lot of clues that Aegon is fake and probably a Blackfire:
1. Dany’s visions/prophecies (“mummer’s dragon”, “slayer of lies”)
2. Illirio has a statue of a boy in his manse, he gives Tyrion boy’s clothes and then later tells him a story of how he loved his wife Serra (who he describes as having Targ eyes/hair). If Illirio had a son from Serra then who he is and why is his identity important?
3. Aegon being a Blackfyre (and son of Illirio) would actually give Varys/Illirio a very good motive for their complicated and dangerous scheming.
4. While it was said that most mercenaries from the Golden Company don’t really care about Targ vs. Blackfyre rivalry at this point, and just want to go home no matter who wins, the guy who actually signed the contract with Varys and Illirio (Myles Toyne) has a very good reason to hate the Targs (his father was executed by Aegon IV).
Neither of these clues is conclusive on its own, but when taken together it is rather convincing. Also if Aegon was real, i think he would have been introduced somewhat earlier then in book 5.
But even though he is most likely fake, I think he will play an important role in the books. (F)Aegon will probably take the iron throne in book 6. Martin has said in one of the interviews that many different people will sit on the iron throne before the end of the series. Also if you still haven’t read it, i advise you to read the Meereenese Blot essays about the Dornish arc – they are quite good and the speculations about where the Dornish/(f)Aegon is going look very convincing to me.
For the show all the Blackfyre backstory is too complicated, so they will likely remove it. But i don’t think they will change the major plot points. If (f)Aegon will take the capital in the books, he must also take it in the show, or someone else who will take his role. We’ll see. Jaime in Dorne is fine. His travel to the riverlands is not a major plot point and having Jaime in Dorne will make it easier to introduce the dornish characters.
I knew most of those clues… 1 & 2, certainly… just wondered if there was any confirmation outside the books. But that is good information, thanks.
and certainly, if he is the mummer’s dragon, then this plot isn’t the detour that it felt like when I read book 5 the first time.
The Mummer’s Dragon is the big reason that I never bought FAegon as real. Everything else is circumstantial, but we know the Mummer’s Dragon is real (Quaithe said it, and while she is wrong about some things, the existence of a mummer’s dragpm seems to be ensured). If there IS a mummer’s dragon, who else would it be?
@169: Skinchanging/warging (the latter is specifically a word for skinchanging into a wolf one is bonded with) seems to be an exclusively First Men thing. The Targaryens aren’t skinchangers, and to the best of our knowledge, other than Bloodraven (who is a Blackwood on his mother’s side and therefore has First Men blood – incidentally, the current generation of Starks also has a Blackwood ancestor; I don’t know if that is relevant, just as I don’t know if the fact that Dany’s great-grandmother was a Blackwood is relevant, but I suspect it might be), none of them have ever been able to skinchange/warg into anyone/anything. They bond with dragons, but they certainly don’t warg into them.
The Princess and the Queen and The Rogue Prince offer more information on their relationships with dragons and ways to become a dragonrider; but there are lots of things that are not clear about it. Supposedly, Targaryen or at least Valyrian blood in general is necessary to become a dragonrider, but that’s not exactly proven, and there are some interesting cases that call that into question (i.e. people who became dragonriders when given the opportunity, but whose ancestry is questionable and who may not have had any Valyrian blood for all we know). On the other hand, we have an example of someone with Targaryen blood who spectacularly failed in his attempt to tame dragons – Quentyn (which may have something to do with the fact that 1) he had no idea what he was doing, 2) he was terrified and insecure, and 3) he had two dragons there instead of just one – Viserion didn’t do anything while Quentyn was trying to tame him, but Rhaegal burned him; I don’t know of any case where someone managed to tame two dragons at the same time).
What we do know is that, as a rule, Targaryen children were all given a dragon egg since early childhood, even to the point of having it placed with them in the cradle, so they could bond with the dragon early on. Some of them had bad luck that the egg never hatched – and they weren’t given another egg. People who managed to tame and ride adult dragons are rarer cases (and it seems the one thing they all had in common was that they were really bold). One person, Nettles, even tamed a wild dragon – not by magic or whips, but by offering him food he liked. One thing that’s certain about dragonriding is that, once a dragon has accepted a rider, he/she will not accept another, not while the first dragonrider is alive. Prince Joffrey Targaryen, Rhaenyra’s son, didn’t know that, unfortunately – let’s say it did not end well for him (even though he was trying to ride his mother’s dragon).
@171: I’m positive Aegon is fake, and I agree he’s probably a Blackfyre, but the point about Miles Toyne doesn’t work for me. I see why he would hate Targaryens, but why would he like the Blackfyres? The Blackfyres are also descended from Aegon the Unworthy, in fact they are descended from Aegon’s favorite son, Daemon, who he preferred him to his heir, Daeron the Good (because Daeron criticized Aegon and called him on his crap).
In addition to this, according to the Blackfyre propaganda, Daeron the Good was not even Aegon’s biological son. So, if Miles Toyne is buying that, that’s even less reason for him to support the Blackfyres. Or even i he doesn’t buy it, why would you support the side that prides itself on being descended from Aegon the Unworthy and tries to deny the other side’s legitimacy by claiming they are not?
@175: We can probably assume that Myles doesn’t really care about his forbear’s death (with more than a hundred years between their deaths, we can be pretty certain Terrence was not his father), but his family was driven into exile. The ascenscion of any king that has goodwill towards them would allow him to return to Westeros and reclaim his lands; the Blackfyres just happen to fit the bill.
“Aegon” is definitely a pawn of Varys the (formerly professional and still skilled) mummer. He could well be a fake — the baby swap always seemed so improbable to me — but that isn’t yet my default belief.
If we’d been told how long ago Serra died, it might’ve given us a better idea as to whether he could be her son. But we weren’t. Hmph.
@177: A mummer’s dragon is a dragon made of cloth – i.e. a fake dragon. Mummers don’t use real dragons in their shows, obviously.
From Daenerys V, ACOK:
“A dead man in the prow of a ship, a blue rose, a banquet of blood… what does any of it mean, Khaleesi? A mummer’s dragon, you said. What is a mummer’s dragon, pray?”
“A cloth dragon on poles,” Dany explained. “Mummers use them in their follies, to give the heroes something to fight.”
Makes sense. I’m just wary of prophesies being Not What They Seem.
Since the story is based on the War of the Roses I assumed Faegon is like the Yorkist pretenders Perkin Warbeck or Lambert Simnel who were claimed by Yorkist rebels to Henry Tudor to be the younger son of Edward V. Things will not end well for Faegon
I mistook Sansa for one of the Sandsnakes. I am wondering though if she is going to take the Lady Stoneheart role.
I was really hoping we’d get a guess on Bloodraven. It was the first big “fan theory” I’ve ever had and had get outright onfirmed, so it’s a favorite of mine.
@179
My wariness of prophecies not being what they seems in this case comes up against my equal wariness of Hidden Foretold Heirs not being what they seem.
Though actually part of the reason I like the fAegon hypothesis so much is that it gives the prophecy a double meaning instead of just one.
@181, I have a hard time understanding how that works plot wise.
I have to admit – the Reek & Ramsey scenes, combined with Meereen, is where I really started to get frustrated with the series. I get it’s a deconstruction of high fantasy, but past a certain point it just feels like grimdark for the sake of grimdark. It’s almost to the point of self-parody.
IndependentGeorge@184,
Interesting. I really liked the Reek & Ramsey scenes. And I don’t think it is grimdark. At least not in its goal. It is a story of redemption of the unredemable. Theon, who was arrogant, vain, foolish, cruel, and weak, is being remade by GRRM. All of that was completely and utterly stripped away. His defining characteristic, his arrogance, is gone. And now his character is being rebuilt with real strength, courage, wisdom, and humility.
And the reader is taken from absolute hatred for Theon, to disgust and even pity, and then to a kind of respect. In most literature, a character like Theon would be killed by the hero and everyone would cheer. I think this is much more interesting.
I don’t get why people say the fact Aegon was introduced in book 5 is evidence of him being fake. It’s a plot twist. I like the fact there is another contender introduced later on. I have been 50/50 on whether he is fake or not. The biggest thing that makes me think he is real is why would varys need to lie to Kevin when he was dying. But the fact that arrianne has not been included in the show makes me think Aegon might not be real as I thought she would have a big role with him. If he doesn’t show up in this season we can probably unfortunately conclude he is fake. which is a shame. I liked the idea of Aegon. Westeros was conquered by an Aegon. Only seems right it’s put back together with one.
The most likely possibility is that Varys knew someone else was listening and his conversation with Kevan was for the benefit of that listener.
@kiwifan.
Lots of people think Aegon is Jon’s birth name.
@188 haven’t heard that one before. So did Rhayger had 2 sons named Aegon? Can’t be same person surely.
@188: That would be ridiculous. Who gives two of their children the same name?!
Anyway, Jon was named by Ned, so he doesn’t have another birth name. I doubt that Lyanna named him a Targaryen name while asking Ned to hide his true parentage, why would she do that? But as for what name Rhaegar wanted to give the child if it’s a boy: the logical assumption is, anything but Aegon.
Personally, I like the idea that he was planning to name him Aemon.
@185: For me, it’s both. Theon’s arc is impressive and well-written, but the settings and people around him are so horrific that his chapters are grueling to read and I now skip the first two. Kinda the opposite of Jon Snow and Davos — their personalities don’t interest me much, but through them we experience fascinating places, people, and events. (I’m adoring the Davos chapters in ADWD on this reread, mostly for oceanic reasons)
@188-190 Given that he had a Rhaenys and an Aegon, I tend to think Rhaegar was expecting a Visenya next…
(And that makes me wonder how the Stark family life would’ve been different if Jon had been a girl.)
@192: That’s the popular assumption in the fandom. Though I’ve seen people use the counter-argument that there haven’t been any girls named Visenya in the Targ family tree and that nobody would name a child after her because of her being a suspected kinslayer/kingslayer – which I’m not buying, because it was never proven; the exact same thing is true of Viserys II and it didn’t stop the Targs from recycling the name; there is no evidence that Visenya is hated by the Targs or the rest of Westeros like Maegor is; and I can’t think of any other Rhaenyses, either, in the Targ family tree between the conquering queen and Rhaegar’s daughter. (Someone correct me if I’m wrong.)
I think Rhaegar probably did intend to name his next daughter Visenya, but even so, he should have prepared for the possibility of it being a boy.
Well it would have started with an “A” probably.
If Aegon is blackfyre should he be named something starting with “D” lol. Not very blackfyreish being called Aegon haha. Guess that would be giving the game away too much. Also if he is blackfyre is he still Aegon VI or does he become Aegon I Blackfyre. How does numbering work if it a different surname.
#194: The numbering refers to being the king of Westeros, not the dynasty you’re from. If there had been a Targaryen king called Joffrey, the Joffrey we know would have been Joffrey II. The current queen of England is not a Tudor, but she’s still Elizabeth II.
Aegon is called Aegon because he’s supposed to be Rhaegar’s son Aegon. As for Blackfyre names, of course there have been Blackfyres with names on A. Daemon Blackfyre’s eldest son was actually called Aegon – obviously, after his father king Aegon IV the Unworthy. (And why wouldn’t the later Blackfyres name their sons Aegon, especially considering the fact they descend from Aegon IV and exist due to the fact that he gave his eldest bastard son the Blackfyre sword, and later legitimized all his bastards?) His twin brother was called Aemon. There’s also Aenys Blackfyre, another one is Daemon’s children, who may have ended up as king Aenys II if Bloodraven hadn’t had him murdered. We also know of Blackfyres named Haegon (another one of Daemon’s kids, he doesn’t seem to have been very imaginative) and Maelys.
The only “D” name the Blackfyres like to recycle is Daemon, for obvious reasons. I can’t see any of them naming a son “Daeron”, though, for as obvious reasons – just like none of the Daeron the Good’s descendants are likely to name a son “Daemon”.
@190, We don’t actually know that Lyanna wanted to hide his parentage. We assume that’s the promise Ned made. But it’s just as likely she made Ned promise to tell Jon the truth, and to make sure he knew his heritage and that’s why the promise plagues Ned, because he wasn’t going to fulfill it.
Also, you have to assume that Jon was born after Rhaeghar died for Lyanna to feel that way, and Dany’s HOTU vision indicates that Rhaegar was present at least once after Jon was born.
@195. Thank you, but it was clearly a joke.
But thank you for clearing things up with numbers. I was unsure if westeros went with normal numbering for royalty or some unquie system as we haven’t had an overlap. A different family takes over could have wanted to ignore what came before and start from stratch.
For some reason I associate blackfyre with D and forgot about the others. Must be since there are a lot of prominent ones.
@193: Rhaenyra named her stillborn dragonish baby Visenya, but there have been no others. There was one other Rhaenys Targaryen — granddaughter of Jaehaerys I and mother of Laenor and Laena Velaryon, who died in airborne battle during the Dance of the Dragons. But neither of them are mentioned in the main books. Rhaenys definitely seems to have been honored more than Visenya, with all the Targs named Rhaena, Rhaenyra, Rhaella, etc etc.
@196, I would think the only thing that could have prevented Ned from at least confiding in Cat about Jon’s parentage would have been a promise to his dying sister.
Yes. I view the promise as one to keep Jon’s parentage secret and raise Jon as Ned’s own child. Otherwise, Robert (or another Targ-hating ally of Robert) would find out and exterminate him.
D’OH! I don’t know how I forgot the Queen that Never Was. I also forgot the name of Rhaenyra’s daughter. Which, anyway, disproves the idea that the Targs wouldn’t name a child after queen Visenya.
@196: Dany’s HOTH vision indicates no such thing. It merely indicates that Rhaegar was present when Aegon was born, which we would have assumed anyway, since there was no reason for him not to be there with Elia.
@201, I don’t mean Lyanna wanted his parentage announced to the world, just that she wanted Jon to know the truth, which Ned had no intention of ever doing, which is why his promise plagues him. It’s been awhile, but isn’t one of his last thoughts being upset that he failed Lyanna. To me that indicates he didn’t actually keep the promise. If the promise was what you say it is, then Ned certainly fulfilled it, as putting him on the Wall was the best way to do that. But it seems to me that in Ned’s own mind, he failed that promise.
@196 When Dany sees Rhaegar with a woman holding a baby and he says “His name is Aegon,” I’m inclined to believe that it’s his wife holding the son we know was named Aegon. I’m less likely to assume that it must be Lyanna and Jon (somehow also named Aegon) even though we have no indication that Rhaegar ever met Jon, and several indications that Lyanna died in childbed, at a point when we know Rhaegar had already been dead some time.
@204 No, the person Ned thinks of failing at the end is Robert. He thinks of Lyanna too, but it’s just a memory of the Tourney of Harrenhal, and then her dying with “Promise me” and winter roses.
@205, Yeah, but the dwelling on the “promise me Ned” is the giveaway that he didn’t keep the promise. If he had, he wouldn’t be thinking about it so much.
And aren’t we given a description of the woman holding the baby that rules out Elia?
The woman holding the baby in Dany’s vision was almost definitely Elia holding Aegon, because Rhaegar then says “there must be one more”. It can’t be Lyanna holding Jon, or Rhaegar would never say that (not to mention I don’t believe he even survived to see Jon).
@206 Or he could be thinking about the price he paid to keep that promise.
And the woman in the vision is described simply as “a woman nursing a newborn babe in a great wooden bed.” All the description is of Rhaegar. And he specifically says Aegon is a name fit for a king – it would make no sense to use that argument for giving that name to his second son, even if he didn’t already give it to his first son.
#206, 208: Ned did keep his promise, and paid the price for it (such as the strain it put on his marriage, and the coldness between Catelyn and Jon), as the text explicitly says:
I don’t see how the woman in the vision could be anyone but Elia. Rhaegar names his son Aegon, “a name fit for a king”, and says “there must be one more. The dragon has three heads”. That makes it clear it’s the birth of his son and heir/presumed future king Aegon, who is also his second child.
Rhaegar was definitely long dead when Jon was born, since Lyanna apparently died of consequences of childbirth. It also makes zero sense that someone would give two of their still living children the same name. Aegon was definitely alive when Rhaegar was killed on the Trident.
@190 – That would be ridiculous. Who gives two of their children the same name?!
I think all of George Foreman’s sons are named George Foreman 1-5.
Yeah, I mean the implication we’re given is that he found out his children with Elia would not produce the “prince who was promised” and all that jazz, which is why he pursued Lyanna. So if Aegon is “a name fit for a king” and Aegon, son of Elia is defective, well then the functional has to be named Aegon too.
@210 IG- LOL yes! But they are George II-VI (George I is him). The 5 sons are George Jr, George III, George IV, George V, and George VI. Talk about lack of imagination! However, I believe he does have 7 daughters, all with different names.
@211: No, we’re given no such implication. Rhaegar says “there must be one more. The dragon has three heads”. One more what? One more Prince that Was Promised? That makes no sense. If he had somehow decided that his children with Elia were “defective” (what a terrible idea), and that child was somehow meant to be Jon (even though he was not going to be the king), he would be thinking that he needs two more.
The implication is that he needed “one more” to complete the trio with Rhaenys and Aegon.
@210, 212 – and one of those daughters is named, I kid you not, Georgetta.
It’s the prince that was promised not the king that was promised. So I assumed it is Jon and Aegon would rule as king (or dany as queen if Jon chooses to stay with the watch after his rebirth and Aegon dies/fake). In my mind the person who fights back the others doesn’t have to be the same person on the throne. That is what any other author would do. Martin breaks tropes.
Fair enough it’s now been years since I read those older ones. I still need to reread them.
Maybe it was a compound promise. Keep it secret until such a day, and then tell him the truth.
Maybe it’s just me, but I really like Ageon and hope he’s not fake. I think Ageon winning in the end would be fine with me (though I like Danny and Jon and Stannis and even Tommen). In some ways Ageon coming out of left-field to win the whole thing is strange and maybe unexpected enough for Martin to try it?
Not having him in the show, if true, is disapointing, but I will not give up on him until season 5 is finished. He just seems too important to cut. I hope they’re just being super secretive to shock new fans.
Me too.
Interesting post on reddit. A letter GRRM wrote in 93 outlining the story he had planned when it was a trilogy. A lot has changed and not relevant anymore but interesting to see who he had planned to live until the end.
http://www.reddit.com/r/asoiaf/comments/2urteh/spoilers_all_so_i_just_saw_this_tweet/
#220: I don’t think that can be taken as relevant either, since most of these characters seems to have been completely changed from their ur-versions.
In today’s chapter, Tyrion isn’t afraid of slave catchers, “not being an escaped slave.” HAHA. How your fortune will change.
I’ve started my first reread of ASOIAF, but this time in chronological chapter order according to a thread on reddit. So far the order holds up well for the main Westeros events, but trying to synch Dany’s storyline is awfully dicey.
The reddit timeline compilers put the Prologue first, followed by Dany’s first two chapters, then Bran I and Catelyn I where Ned learns Robert is on his way to Winterfell. A rider comes with news of Dany’s marriage when Robert, Ned, ect. are on their way back to King’s Landing much later. TBH, I think Dany I & II could be slipped into the gap between Catelyn I & Eddard I.
Here’s my reasoning (and keep in mind we don’t actually have any hard travel times, so these are just my personal estimates):
Some time passes between the end of Catelyn I and the beginning of Eddard I since Ned says “we’ll have more time to prepare.” Catelyn II comes “a few days” after Robert’s arrival and establishes that Ned will depart in a fortnight. Bran’s fall comes the day before they are supposed to leave. The actual departure comes close to a fortnight after his fall, so the King’s party was at Winterfell for about a month.
Robert recieves the news of Dany’s marriage while in the Barrowlands on the journey back south. World of Ice and Fire places the Barrowlands as beginning eight days south of Winterfell. Sansa I mentions “12 days crossing the Neck,” Ned’s men hunt for Arya for 4 days after Nymeria bites Joffrey, and they reach King’s Landing a fortnight after Lady’s death. So they were on the road for around six weeks, possibly longer depending of how long it took to cross the Barrowlands, which unfortunately is never stated.
I think Mormont would have written his letter to Varys and entrusted it to be sent before they left for Vaes Dothrak the day after Dany’s wedding instead of waiting until later. I would guess, factoring for adverse weather, that it could have taken three or four weeks for his letter to reach KL. Varys would likely have sent the rider out ASAP once the letter was read by the council. A lone rider might, perhaps ,have covered 26-30 days distance (excluding the time from edge of Barrowlands to Winterfell and four days at Darry here) in only half the time, 13 to 15 days. If 15 days is the upper limit, and the royal party was a day or two’s travel into the Barrowlands, he would have left KL about a week after Bran’s fall. Working back from that and assuming four weeks for the letter to reach Westeros, Dany’s marriage would have occured around the time Robert arrived in Winterfell, perhaps a few days before.
Plausible, or am I overthinking too much and missing important info?
How long did Robert’s Rebellion last? I’m thinking that Lianna had time to give birth to Jon well before Ned found her on a bed of blood. I’m thinking the bed of blood is not a birthing bed but a wounded warrior bed. I think Lianna in her knight of the laughing tree armor was defending the citadel against Roberts forces not knowing Ned was among them. She was sorely wounded in the fray(Maybe by Ned!).
@223 It’s hard to know for certain. The Tournament at Harrenhall occurred in 281 (presumably late in the year). A few weeks later, possibly a few months, Rhaegar abducted Lyanna. Robert’s rebellion officially began in 282, and ended in 283 (battle of the Trident, sack of Kings Landing). Lyanna died in early 283, probably a little over a year after her abduction. I tend to believe that the “bed of blood” is a birthing bed, and she died in childbirth. She was only 16 years old (though she was born in 266, so it was early in the year 283 when she died). As has been discussed earlier in this thread, medeival women did bear children as early as 13 (when they first “flowered”), but it was really women who were 16 or preferably 17 who were encouraged to bear children, even if married at a younger age. We don’t know the details of her death, but I always equated “bed of blood” with death in childbirth, among the most common causes of death for women in the middle ages who survived childhood (except in years of plague).
I have to admit I kind of like the idea that the assumption (which is a perfectly reasonable and likely assumption) is actually being totally subverted here though…
@225: It’s not an assumption. There are other instances in the books where bloody beds are used to refer to childbirth:
@182: So a real Aegon would conform to a cliche, and a false Aegon would conform to many readers’ expectations. GRRM’s in a bit of a bind there.
“Promise me, Ned” does not imply he only made one promise to Lyanna. He actually uses the plural when he reminisces about that:
“He thought of the promises he’d made Lyanna as she lay dying, and the price he’d paid to keep them.” So he could have promised her to raise him as a Stark and keep him safe, but also tell him the truth once he’s grown up.
And I also don’t think he had no intention of telling Jon about his parentage. He actually promises him to tell him about his mother when they see each other again. He had no way of knowing that would never happen.
@228 That’s a showism. In the books, we don’t see anyone
actually leaving Winterfell – it’s Jon saying goodbye to Bran and Robb then giving Arya Needle, cut to Dany, and back to Ned on his way to King’s Landing.
@223, 224 TWOIAF says the abduction of Lyanna happened at the very beginning of 282. “With the coming of the new year, the crown prince had taken to the road with half a dozen of his closest friends and confidants, on a journey that would ultimately lead him back to the riverlands. Not ten leagues from Harrenhal, Rhaegar fell upon Lyanna Stark of Winterfell, and carried her off […]” No word on when in 283 it all ended, though, so it could still be anything from one year to nearly two.
@227 – hence my question @169. I could easily see GRRM going either way with Aegon – hence my discomfort calling him fAegon, since he might end up being Aegon the Authentic.
re: Mummer’s Dragon – it could mean a fake Dragon, or it could mean Varys’ Dragon. Again, fake or authentic? Varys only makes sense to me as a Targaryen loyalist. If he’s gone through all his decades of machinations just to put a pretender on the throne then…well, surely there are easier ways to win the game of thrones.
@174 Annara Snow – where does your very detailed info on warging/skinchanging come from?
If Aegon is real, then what is the significance of Illirio’s wife and the statue of a boy in his manse? Varys believes that power is “a mummer’s trick, a shadow on a wall”, so I don’t think he is a Targ loyalist. Now a Blackfire loyalist make a little bit more sense, since it could indeed provide Illirio and/or Varys with a bloodline motive.
@229, true, my bad. but I still feel would have told him the truth later on, given the chance.
Re Aegon, the way GRRM portrays him would make it very frustrating if he actually became king (no matter if he is Targaryen or Blackfyre).
Jon and Dany learn leadership the hard way, Aegon is being spoon-fed it. He’s more interested in earning glory than thinking about consequences and making sound decisions. Cockiness should not be rewarded a throne (at lease not for long).
@229 Lyanna Mormont,
I don’t think you understand what I’m saying. The King’s party and Night Watch’s party do leave Winterfell at the same time and Jon II hints at it. There’s clues scattered in later on to give a rough estimate of how long they were on the road.
The wider point is, the chapters as structured are not in chronological order. The switch from Dany’s wedding to Ned and Robert getting the news makes that abudantly clear, and I’m trying to pinpoint a possible time frame for her marriage in relation to main Westeros events. Please go back and read my post @222 again. The timeframes I’ve given do absolutely come from the books; I don’t even watch the show.
@@@@@ 233 – Ah, well, my comment wasn’t aimed at you. I was replying to the assertion that Ned promised Jon when they parted ways that he’d tell him about his mother the next time they met. That didn’t happen in the books, because we weren’t shown anyone actually leaving Winterfell. I made no comment on the timeline there, because I haven’t studied in enough detail to have an informed opinion.
@231 – re: Illyrio’s wife and son, I’d have to go back and reread those sections, which won’t happen soon – so I dunno. I assume you’re referencing the theory that Illyrio is (f)Aegon’s actual father? That’s certainly possible – but it’s unclear to me what Varys gets out of that arrangement. Wealth and power as rewards, yadda yadda – but he’s already on the highest council on the land, doesn’t have a family to support or angle for, etc. So, again, he only really makes sense to me as someone who is doing what he believes is best for the Realm, by restoring the ‘rightful’ king. I suppose he could believe the Blackfyres are ‘rightful’ moreso than Dany’s line, or he could want to unite the two blood lines to have an unambiguous Targaryen heir. But a cynical attempt to put Illyrio’s son on the throne? I just don’t see what Varys gets from that.
Re: his views on power, does that necessarily impact his loyalties? I guess it could mean that, contrary to my read on him, he’s not interested in the Targs as ‘rightful’ rulers, and just wants to get ahead. But I’m not sure why you’d say his view that power is a trick makes him more likely to support the Blackfyres than the Targs.
I doubt that someone who believes that power is a shadow will actually care about abstract stuff like the line of inheritance, he is not Ned or Stannis. If his motive is really “what is best for the realm” (which is doubtfull) then there is no difference between a “rightfull” heir and one believed to be “rightfull”. So I cannot see any motive for Varys to be so fiercely loyal to the Targaryens.
Putting Illirio’s son on the throne is not necesserely cynical: the Blackfyre clan actually believe that their claim is more legitimate then the Targ claim, and (if the Blackfyre theory is true) Illirio is doing it because of his love for his wife Serra (a Blackfyre descendant who dreamed of restoring their dynasty) – a perfectly good motive. Varys is (a) helping his best friend and (b) might also be related the Blackfyres. Also having a son of your best friend on the throne obviously gives you more power then just being a member of the Small Council of a random monarch.
I love the theory that Lyanna was wounded in battle instead of birth, the main problem seems Jon’s age. He can’t be much older than Robb, as he’s being passed (as a baby) as younger. If you have the two babies in the same room, such a lie would be pretty obvious if Jon is really months older.
I suppose she could have had an easy birth, and perhaps the baby was a bit premature. So she, optimistically, got back in armor after only a few weeks and found herself pretty outmatched. Or Jon isn’t hers, but she was hiding him for some other woman. (A lover of one of her brothers?? This is getting too complicated methinks.) It could have been another baby switch and the ‘real Aegon’ (Elia’s) with her in the tower. Problem there: I do not think Ned lied when he said Jon was ‘his blood’.
@237 Aegon was born before Lyanna’s abduction, so that switch wouldn’t just have a couple months of age to deal with. Trying to pass off a one-year-plus kid as a newborn… Nope. Only someone who’d never seen a baby up close before would fall for that one.
All these switches and mistaken causes of death or times of birth just seem so over the top to me. I mean, really, we were told Jon was Ned’s, then many of us began to suspect he was actually Lyanna’s – which hasn’t been stated outright by anyone, and there are plenty of readers (who don’t spend time on ASOIAF sites) who haven’t thought of the possibility. And then you want to throw an extra switch or misunderstanding on top of that? Bad enough that (f)Aegon turned up out of the blue – more confusion about who’s who and who’s really a Targaryen and who’s the “true” heir… It’s not going to fly with anyone except possibly some of the most devoted conspiracy theorists among the readers.
Jon’s paternity and Aegon’s identity are going to be quite enough of a sell for most readers (and that’s without considering casual GOT viewers). It only seems “too obvious” to those of us who have spent ten-fifteen years re-reading the books and discussing them on the ‘net. Most people haven’t. Adding more false identities and secret heirs would be overkill.
A pretender to the throne appearing in a time of turmoil or civil war, claiming to be a long lost son or descendant from a kingly line that disappeared, is something that repeated itself in the history of several countries. What surprised me was how it took so long for that happen in Westeros. For real life examples of fake pretenders, see Dmitry I , II and III in Russia, Perkin Warbeck in the English War of the Roses (possibly one of the main sources of inspiration for Aegon, considering how much ASOIAF is similar to the War of the Roses), and others that appear in this page:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Impostor_pretenders
My reading is that Varys is very well aware of the Others, and wants a Targaryen on the throne to have dragons to face them.
Don’t forget that Arya believes him to be a wizard.
So that lends his statement that he wants what’s best for the realm some credence, IMO.
I’ve also seen various (heh) theories that Varys is a Blackfyre or related to them (perhaps even to Serra).
As far as the Perkin Warbeck analogy goes, Ann Wroe argues in The Perfect Prince that Warbeck was Edward IV’s bastard (?) son.
@238: Aegon turned up “out of the blue” (hair) indeed. X-D
This week: Leigh likely laments dangerous, difficult, and debatable decisions by Davos and Danaerys. *wriggles with anticipation*
She has forgotten who was impersonating the Hound in the last book. I wonder if it’s necessary to force Leigh to do a read of one-two chapters each week anymore. The big WTF moments have passed, and we have seen her reactions to them. What great reveal is there to wait for now? That Young Griff is Aegon. I think that’s it. Maybe she should be allowed to read (and re-read) normally, and just give her normal review of each chapter from now on. Just my two cents.
Ryamano
We still have quite a few big reveals left in the book:
-Dany at the fighting pits
-Melisandre’s chapter
-Reek’s journey and the Manderlys at Winterfell
-Everything with Jon
-Arya becoming a badass assassin
-The Walk of Shame
But I still strongly dislike this book, so I’m largely indifferent to whatever she decides to do. That said, I do love her commentary, even though it’s not making me like the book any more.
Do we ever learn, perhaps in some reference material, which Targaryen prince had the ape? I skipped most of the Targaryen section in TWOIAF, using my brief time with it to focus on Essos and other interesting places.
The Merry Midwife‘s captain is the son of an Ibbenese whaler and a Sisterton whore. According to TWOIAF, the children of Ibbenese men and non-Ibbenese women are “often malformed and inevitably sterile.” Guess he got lucky on at least one count.
For me, this Read is somehow making ADWD much more enjoyable. Her reactions aren’t as dramatic as I’d hoped for, so she might be wearying of it, but I still like what she’s doing and think there are plenty of surprises ahead for her.
@245 Aerona- There’s a whole post on Westeros.org about the Ape Prince and who it could be, with no real conclusions ever drawn. It’s definitely never spoken of in the TWOIAF. Just another of those little historical details that are almost impossible to verify so many years later.
@245: Reading TWOIAF I found that I distrusted a lot of what is thought of as matter of fact by the Maester’s. I know that the book is meant to showcase new material and reveal minor mysteries, but we all know that some of the stuff that has been presented as fact in that book is misdirection. While it is possible that the offspring would be sterile, I cannot fully consider it a trustworthy source considering we really should not trust GRRM with how much he utilizes his unreliable narrators.
@246: It would make sense if it is nothing but an uncorroborated story. “Let’s tell about such and such that I heard years ago, but let us add new and scandalous details that probably didn’t exist”. I would almost think that it never happened in the first place, though I felt that the story fit Axell better than Davos. That scheme he and Selyse try later in the book with dressing up that wilding as a noble and trying to make him appear kingly always made me think back to this.
Lots more revelations – location of Rickon; Mance hiding as Rattleshirt; Girl on the horse heading to the Wall; identity of f-Arya; Manderly working behind backs of Freys; Manderly’s meat pies (oh so yummy and Titus Andronicus-y)!!!!; the Knight with the Dallas Cowboy star on his shield getting crunched by a Giant; etc.
I was impressed that the Dustins/Ryswells were brought in this early. Nicely done, given Lady Dustin’s importance later in the book.
@247: True. I just like to believe in those rumors of monsters and magics. I spent most of the “Ib” entry cracking up over the obvious Lovecraft tributes.
@248: Sadly, I don’t know if Leigh will never realize the (probable) truth about Frey Pie, since it’s never made explicit and the feast is eight chapters after the clue to Davos and nine chapters before the clue-dropping confrontation. Though I like to pretend otherwise, and often give myself fits of laughter imagining Wyman saying outright “Your relatives? I ate them. So did you.”
Titus Andronicus is one of my favorite movies, haha. I definitely had thoughts about that scene.
It’s been a while since I read DWD so even I’m forgetting a lot of what happened. But as of now the two things I’m kind of excited for her to read about are:
1)Quentyn’s fate
2)The fact that Melisandre gets a chapter
I’m really interested in her reactions to both of those things.
I think she’ll have some interesting stuff to say about the Tryion/Penny dynamic too, and definitely about Cersei’s downfall.
I think there’s lots of good stuff to come in this book, even if it’s not as plot oriented.
@240 & 241
I think Varys may have the realm’s best interests at heart (as he sees them) and/or he may be a Blackfyre supporter. Varys as a supporter of the Targaryens doesn’t make much sense to me since he seems to have let Viserys & Dany wander the free cities poor and paranoid without any real education or support. Have to think he was involved with Illyrio taking them in eventually but I think he’s been trying to set up Viserys & then Dany as the terrible conqueror’s and fAegon as the savior for awhile. I also think that the idea of marrying fAegon to Dany was an adaptation to the plan that came about once she got dragons.
@251, There was a member of the KG who took care of them for some time. I just guessed it took some time for the news of his death to reach Varys, and by the time he could get more financial support for them, they had moved on. So I imagined his people were chasing them around teh Free Cities, until they got to Pentos, where Illyrio snatched them up.
Willem Darry wasn’t KG. That was his brother (?).
I wonder if, once the Read is over, Leigh will just jump into ongoing discussion here on spoiler thread, or if she will read back through the past threads to hear the echoes of the million facepalms and thousand headdesks that accompanied her forgetting some important detail and missing a crucial connection.
Was going to say the same thing, Sophist. Willem Darry wasn’t KG. All of Aerys’s KG except Barristan died by the end of the ToJ incident. That’s also why I think that Rhaegar & Lyanna were married & Jon is legitimate. None of the KG went to protect Viserys and the only way he wasn’t king at that point was if Jon was legitimate.
I didn’t get the impression that Varys had any particular difficulty tracking the Targ kids and I have trouble believing that a couple of kids were able to successfully evade Varys for years on end if he was actually looking for them.
@255, Two homeless kids in the Free Cities, and you don’t think they’d get easily lost in the shuffle? Especially considering the time delay in communicating for Varys’ spies?
I’d go further: there must be evidence that convinced the 3 KG beyond a reasonable doubt that Jon is legitimate. Otherwise they’d have been sacrificing their lives to no purpose.
We don’t know what that evidence might be, obviously, though I favor the idea of a decree of legitimation by Aerys.
Mod here: can someone let us know what needs to be whited out in comment #46? Thanks!
@258: Pretty much the entire last paragragh it seems to me. It is the only part of the guy’s writing that touches on events to come.
@259 Thanks!
Wait, what?
Yeah, things I can’t wait to see Leigh’s reaction to:
Cersei’s walk of shame.
Arya gets her eyesight back
Griff is f?Aegon
Quentyn gets BBQ’d
Dany rides a dragon
Jon gets stabbed
Sneaky Ver…ys
Ser Patrick (the knight killed by Wun Wun) has a star on his shield. GRRM said that the star was there because a friend of his was a Cowboys fan.
Oh, hold on, I think I actually know this one!
*takes off moderator hat*
This was the result of a football bet between GRRM and Patrick, the person responsible for the Pat’s Fantasy Hotlist blog. If GRRM lost the bet, he’d write Pat (who’s a fan of the Dallas Cowboys team, which has a star as its logo) into the novel.
*firmly screws moderator hat back on and goes back to work*
OK I have caught up on almost 4 years of Leigh’s reads and posts from this thread in just a few weeks. Let me first say that those of you who have been following along and posting dozens of comments for years are clearly insane geniuses, with more patience and knowledge of ASOIAF than I will ever have in a lifetime.
I have witnessed discussion, debates, and outright arguments over broad topics like feminism, and minute details over family trees of these made up characters and the empires they are fighting for. I have seen incredibly researched treatises on theories, speculation, and pure crazy talk.
This has been quite an experience to jam in so much information from a passionate group of readers/show watchers/ASOIAF junkies. Especially for someone like myself who has only read the books once and is watching the HBO series.
Just wanted to pop in and say hi, and that I’ll ride along at Leigh’s glacial pace to finish DWD, and perhaps join in a bit if you all don’t mind. I don’t find her comments/analysis all that illuminating but enjoy the summaries of the chapters. I think it would be have been more interesting as a re-read with more open discussion on the main thread so readers could really go deep.
The most interesting thing about this most epic of stories is I have absolutely no idea how it’s going to end. That is truly rare and I’ve been cherishing the feeling. Let’s hope GRRM is up to the challenge to somehow wrap up so many story threads in to an over-arching arc.
BTW, referring back to the interesting discussion about LF’s sigil and motto. It seems obvious to me that it should be “chaos is a ladder” with a dude climbing out of a pit as the sigil.
Sorry for the long initial post, but looking forward to engaging with this group of Westeros Savants.
Oh we all know how it ends. All the characters have all been dead this whole time and this is their subconscious way of processing it before going on to the afterlife.
GRRM loves that trope, donchaknow?
Hey! I was just reminiscing through Spoiler Thread 6, and got to the part about House Codd’s motto, “Though all men do despise us”, and it hit me.
Did GRRM do a stint as a database developer?
@265, Welcome and thanks(I assume my posts weren’t among those “pure crazy talk”
If you’re going to stick around, take the Black!(sign up for a Tor.com account. It changes your name to black, and lets you follow threads from your profile page!)
@268 I do remember some of your leaps of logic being pretty out there, but also very creative! Lots of assumptions that people are wizards ;-)
I seem to remember you also battling GoldforPeytr quite a bit.
I’ll look at Taking the Black, thanks for the tip.
What is everyone’s take on how magic works in this world? It seems some power is tied to specific religions, while other folk just seem “magical”? Is it actual gods from different belief systems influencing human events in these lands, or one universal power that shadowbinders, warlocks, maegi, priests, COF, Others, wargs, etc… all tap into in different ways?
GRRM seems to leave it deliberately vague but there can be no doubt these powers exist and affect the characters.
This is coming from a single-time reader so any insight from veterans would be welcome.
Taking the Black will also allow you to edit your posts, which has been very useful to me.
If Titus Andronicus didn’t also partake of the human pie he made, then WyMAN the MANderly outclasses them in twisted awesomeness. (In awesomeness, anyway. TA was a brute, and the people who comprised and ate his pie were twisted and vicious. It’s a very messy play). I looove me a gluttonous cannibal. *waggles imaginary trident*
Also in ADWD: Brienne turning up alive. And luring Jaime away, presumably toward Stoneheart, exactly as Legh unhappily predicted.
I am actually looking forward to the next Davos chapter (which might happen as soon as two weeks from now). The Frey envoy saying that it was Robb Stark himself who is responsible for the Red Wedding and then everyone at court going “oh yes, so true” should provoke some reaction. And we also get that speech from Manderly’s great-daughter.
I highly suggest reading TWOIAF if you haven’t yet. It is a wonderful resource and provides thorough background and perspective on the history leading up to GOT. Plus dozens of amazing illustrations. It really helped me understand a bit better all the tangled lines of succession, wars, rebellions, and rulers of the 7 kingdoms.
“That’s also why I think that Rhaegar & Lyanna were married & Jon
is legitimate. None of the KG went to protect Viserys and the only way
he wasn’t king at that point was if Jon was legitimate.”
Question: Was Areys killed by Jamie before or after Rhaegar was killed by Robert? I may be misremembering, but I thought the sack of Kings Landing happened after the Trident. The wiki just says they both died in 283.
(Reads more about Areys death)
Okay, so Rhaegar died first. Wouldn’t that make Visery king? It is, however, reasonable for the Kingsgard to protect Jon as the next potential male heir.
@272: Wylla is Wyman’s granddaughter (Wyllis’s daughter), not his great-granddaughter. Otherwise, I thoroughly agree.
In the meantime, the UNspoiled episode for this week’s Jon chapter is exceptionally hilarious. Check it out.
No. The line of succession runs through the oldest son to his children before reverting to the uncles/aunts of that oldest son. The Walders explain this in a conversation with Bran, and that’s the general rule for Medieval inheritance.
This means that when Rhaegar died, Aegon was next in line for the throne. When Jaime killed Aerys, Aegon was probably king for a few minutes (or is still if you believe fAegon is real), though it’s possible he was killed before Aerys. Jon, if he’s legitimate and if Aegon’s dead, would be the Targaryen heir at this point.
Damn, that should have read “The line of succession runs through the oldest son to his children before reverting to the brothers/sisters of that oldest son.”
@270: From the perspective of those that use magic we get a picture that they almost don’t know what they are doing. Melisandre is not nearly as confident in her powers as she pretends, and she even admits to herself that she use uses fake tricks to “make others see the truth”. Thoros does something and he brings Beric back to life, in a manner of living, but he has no idea how these come to pass. They attribute these powers to their god, but still GRRM is vague on what is supposedly the “clearest” depiction of godhood.
Moreover, I have seen GRRM state in interviews that magic can never be part of the solution in a fantasy because it seems like the author is swirling writer magic to bring things to a close or advance the plot. Magic and sorcery can only serve to make things worse in this setting, and we see it in the form of Beric’s eventual passing and Cat’s resurrection. One of the interviews that I came across a couple years ago mentioned that Dany in Drogo’s pyre is a form of blood magic where literally anything can happen (I would like to find it again).
So my take on magic is that it is very unlikely to create a resolution, and that those that see magic and attribute it to some god is only them creating a god in writing when there is no proof of one, just some vague concept magic.
This week, Leigh will hopefully begin to learn The Truth about both of the Griffs and the source of their nicknames. Maybe she’ll stop grousing about them. (And maybe Stannis will dance a jig. :-P)
@279: Jon Con of Griffon’s Roost. wasn’t there some irrational rambling attached to how it was spelled originally?
I don’t remember. But in the books, it’s always spelled “griffin.”
Didn’t Leigh grumble that the proper spelling is gryphon? But not in ASOIF….
And if f-Aegon is truly f-, then Jon if legitimate was king not just the heir upon Aerys’s death. If people knew about it, of course. I agree that the fact that no kingsguard attended Viserys when he left for Essos is telling, if not dispositive, that Rhaegar considered Jon to be legitimate and in need of protection.
Interesting post on reddit this week about the identity of the tattered prince (I actually don’t remember this character as I have only read ADWD once). His conclusion was that the tattered prince was a blackfyre decedent. If this is the case then Aegon may be real as there wouldn’t need for two Blackfyres (well in my mind anyway).
http://www.reddit.com/r/asoiaf/comments/2vviwp/spoilers_allthe_tattered_prince_identity_varys/
Tinfoil needed but some of it is an interesting read.
@284: Forget tinfoil, I need more iron in my will to read it all. That was one of the biggest wall of text I have read in a long time, had to stop part way because I can only give so much to crackpot.
I’m glad Leigh picked up on Rattleshirt, it went right past me.
She did? What do you mean?
She picked up on that something is going on with him, not precisely yet what that something is….
Jon Connington, though a perfectly good name, sounds tackier than Griff in its triple-rhymeyness. But if Leigh likes it…*shrugs*
@289, Well I never pronounced the “ton” with the same vowel sound as “Jon” and “Con”, but I can see that.
@289 You can lose the third “on” by just calling him JonCon (and, like Aeryl, I never mentally pronounced the “ton” at the end as rhyming with the first two- I pronounce it more like “con-ing-tun”)
@256, iirc they weren’t exactly keeping a low profile. They were staying with prominent citizens all over the Free Cities and only got the the homeless, paranoid wandering once everyone realized there wasn’t going to be a Targaryen restoration and stopped supporting them.
Also, in Game of Thrones we find out that Jon Arryn has repeatedly talked Robert out of sending assassins after the Targ kids. Presumably if he was going to send assassins he had some idea where they were and I have trouble believing that was through any source but Varys
re: Rattleshirt, anh-anh. If I’m reading her comments right, she’s picked up that Mel has some kind of control over him, but isn’t exactly sure what.
But she hasn’t got the slightest suspicion that Rattleshirt isn’t really Rattleshirt.
@293: There is no real reason to suspect that Mance survived in the first place. The only tie in that we get to the Glamours is in a Arya chapter all the way back in AFFC, and it was instructional material that, if it wasn’t glossed over in the first place, it has been long enough since it has been mentioned that it not would give an indication to most.
Would explaining the history about the Dance of Dragons war and how Targs almost did away with male-only primogeniture be a spoiler? I think Leigh would be interested in, but I can’t recall her stance on out-of-books cannon.
I have no idea what the hell is up with Rattleshirt and Melisandre. Is he a convert, or a thrall, or what?
This is what she said. I noticed it, because other than knowing Jon doesn’t want Rattleshirt, I paid that part no mind, until the later reveal. But Leigh picked up that’s SOMETHING is going with him, which is a lot considering the other stuff she never mentions.
Ciella – she’d view it as too spoilery. I’ve kept my comments to bare minimum to avoid trouble.
Re my comments in the main post, I view Aegon as the “mummer’s dragon” in the House of the Undying Chapter, of course. This works both if he is f-Aegon or (less likely) legitimate but controlled by Varys.
The other funny thing – what are the odds Leigh will realize JonCon is gay and was in love with Rhaegar? I’d put the odds at … nil.
@@@@@ 282, I’d state it even stronger than that. The KG are loyal to the King and at no point was Rhaegar actually king. Even if we suppose that those 3 KG were going to join Rhaegar in setting aside Aerys, Rhaegar dies before Aerys. To me, that means that it couldn’t just be that Rhaegar viewed Jon as legitimate and orderd the KG to protect. The KG themselves must have viewed Jon as legitimate; otherwise, they would have been duty bound to go to Viserys and based on Ned’s dream they were well aware of that. Rhaegar & Lyanna being married and the KG knowing that they were married is the only thing I can come up with that would give that level of certainty to the KG
@297, agreed on all counts.
Regarding JonCon, if she didn’t pick up on Renly-Loras then the far more subtle hints on JonCon are likely to go over her head. Though I guess there’s a chance now that she knows that Martin doesn’t just ignore the possibility of characters being gay
I actually think there would be a better chance of it being picked up compared to the Loras-Renly affair. Jon Con does actually grouse about what Rhaegar looked like, and his mentioning “being worthy of his love” is something that really stands out. Passing interactions and offhand comments are what we got to Renly and Loras, so far it seems Leigh has been able to pick up on things pretty well about a character when she is in their head.
@298 Unless they were as convinced as Rhaegar that his son would be TPTWP, and put the responsibility to save all of mankind above their oaths. (Rhaegar was apparently very charismatic, and he’d had years to work on convincing them.) With Rhaegar and little Aegon both gone, Jon would’ve been their last hope, short of believing Viserys was the chosen one. And really, who’d believe that? IIRC, nobody knew yet that Dany was on the way.
Also, do we know how long they’d been at the Tower of Joy? Did they even know what had been happening in the rest of the country? I don’t consider Ned’s fever dreams to be reliable evidence, especially not 15 years later when I’d have trouble believing he remembered all the details even awake and clear-headed. Perhaps they were only following the last order given them by their prince, and weren’t about to take Ned’s word for anything, given that he was a rebel.
@301, it’s tough on the fever dream reliability but it’s the only source of information we have on the ToJ and the only source we can have unless Howland Reed shows up & starts talking. I’ll admit that Martin does enjoy using unreliable narrators and that a fever dream is obviously suspect but given the distinct lack of other options for that information to be made known I’m taking Ned’s fever dream version of the KG as mostly accurate. While I’m not likely to remember any random day 15 years in the past, I do have some pretty vivid memories of defining moments in my life. I’d say that that day at the ToJ was a defining moment in Ned’s life.
The KG, as presented in the dream, seem to know what has been happening in the rest of the world and confirm that their place is at the ToJ when Ned is basically questioning why they weren’t at the various places you’d expect the KG to be. They then state that KG do not run, which really only makes sense if they are guarding the king since their duty is to protect the king, not Rhaegar’s love child.
As to TPTWP, I was under the impression that Rhaegar thought Aegon was the TPTWP and that he needed Lyanna/Jon because the dragon has 3 heads. Maybe he changed his mind on who TPTWP was but seems like he was convinced on it being Aegon. And if that was his reasoning to convince the KG, well his interpretation sure seemed to have been wrong at that point since he was dead and 2 of his kids were dead (I’m assuming that if fAegon is real then they couldn’t have known about the baby switch).
As far as following the last order Rhaegar gave them, that would be in direct contradiction to their duty as KG. The heir’s order to protect his kid wouldn’t override their duty to protect the king. In Jaime’s memories we learn that the KG didn’t even consider it their duty to protect the Queen from the King. I can’t see that line of thought meshing with the idea that they should protect baby Jon because dead Rhaegar said so instead of going to the new king (Viserys) and protecting him. They leave Viserys’s protection in the hands of a non-KG. That just doesn’t make sense to me unless they believe Jon to be king. Finally, if the thought Jon was the TPTWP and the savior of humanity, then you’d think they would have made some effort to convince Ned of that in case the 3 of them failed to defeat 7 men in battle. Seems like a pretty big risk to take with the savior of humanity without at least trying to convince Ned of their beliefs.
Is strong skepticism of Aegon’s background really a spoiler at this point that needs to be avoided in the main thread? I don’t recall it being based on anything that’s ahead of the current point in the read.
(Will it still be off-limits when we get to the Epilog if Winds isn’t out by then?)
#303: Avoid it is what I would suggest. The idea is for Leigh to draw her own conclusions, and “helping” her along is something that will probably be looked down upon. Keep in mind that he hasn’t revealed his “backstory” to Tyrion in full yet, and that we have not seen him and Jon Con interact with the Golden Company. Both of those events give some inclanation to supposedly doubt his authenticity. Even after those events have been covered I would still avoid it.
@304 in that case a few earlier comments need to be whited in parts. Few hinting that Aegon might not be who he says.
@305: You can also “take the Black” yourself and then you would be able to flag the comments as to catch a moderator’s attention. I’m not as familiar with these posts as you would be I think.
I don’t think you have to take the black to flag posts, just to edit.
#306: I took the black a few months ago, but at some point I wasn’t able to login anymore, so I just kept on posting as guest.
Next week: Manderlys and Reek! Next week: Manderlys and Reek! Whoo!
*flourishes non-imaginary trident/frog spear, actually a giant three-pronged serving fork bought for that purpose because I am metaphorically “drunk on saltwater”*
OK, I’ll shut up now.
@309, Seen our Khal Drogo as Aquaman? Since your so into the aquatic people?
I just heard about that today. I’m not familiar with Aquaman (or his collegues), but it could be interesting.
309. AeronaGreenjoy *flourishes non-imaginary trident/frog spear, actually a giant three-pronged serving fork bought for that purpose because I am metaphorically “drunk on saltwater”*
~~~~~~~~~~~~That’s hilarious. I really need to work on my weapons cache for these readings.
@303: Hinting that he’s a Blackfyre or hinting at things revealed in later chapters may be a spoiler, but I don’t see what’s spoilery about, e.g. pointing out the obvious: that the baby swap story is convoluted and unconvincing, and that there’s no evidence he is who he says he is.
@302 – Whoever was really the king at that moment, is irrelevant. What ther duty really was is irrelevant. One of major plot points in the first Dance of Dragons, is that the kingsguard divided itself. Rhaegar is depicted as extremely carismatic, and that almost all the realm looked upon him as the perfect prince.
I think that at least those 3 would follow Rhaegar till the seven hells
@297 – “The bells tolled for all of us that day. For Aerys and hisqueen, for Elia of Dorne and her little daughter, for every true man and honest woman in the SevenKingdoms. And for my silver prince.”
I think that the ‘my silver prince’ part will do
@302 Yes, there’s a distinct shortage of info on TOJ besides Ned’s dream. To me, that doesn’t say “well, I have to go by a fever dream, then” it says “I guess we have no reliable evidence for any specifics.”
I think the concept of the Kingsguard having to be with the king tends to be overstated in this King Jon theory. Yeah, their job is to protect him – but it’s also to follow his orders. If Aerys sent all of his KG except Jaime off with Rhaegar, when Rhaegar went off to fight Robert, and they were told to follow Rhaegar’s orders, and then Rhaegar ordered three of them off to Dorne… they’re following the king’s orders. (Probably not what Aerys was expecting to happen, but that’s not the KG’s job to decide – they follow orders.)
As for being by the king’s side, it’s not as if no KG has ever been sent on another mission before. Arys Oakhart in Dorne with Myrcella, and then Balon Swann is sent there as well. Following orders, not refusing to leave because their place is with the king and nowhere else. Jaime went off to tour the Riverlands, and in TWOT5K he was off with an army. So were several KG in Robert’s Rebellion, including Lewyn Martell being sent to Dorne to gather up an army.
Yes, at the time we’re speaking of, they were the only KG left except for wounded Barristan and Jaime, who had switched sides, so they should probably return to protect the king. But did they know that they were? The Dornish mountains might not be all that up to speed on the latest news (especially if Rhaegar was trying to keep Lyanna away from it all so she wouldn’t go running off when she heard what happened to her father and brother). We only have Ned’s fever dream to say that they did, and again, that’s not reliable. Maybe those are all questions that Ned has been wondering about in the years since, and so in his dream he actually asks them. Remember Jaime’s weirwood stump dream in ASOS, where his sworn brothers confront him about his betrayal of the king? Nobody ever claims that as proof that such a confrontation must somehow have taken place.
In short, we don’t know why the KG were there, therefore we cannot take their presence as proof of anything.
It’ll be interesting to see Leigh’s opinion of Tyrion right after his next chapter, with the infamous brothel scene.
@@@@@ 315 I would agree with you that in RL we couldn’t rely on anyone’s dream as being a reliable source of information. But we’re not talking about RL, we’re talking about a story and so we have to think about why the author would place the dream in the story. And since this is really the only information that the author has given us so far about the ToJ I tend to agree with @@@@@ 302 that it should be taken as an accurate depiction of what happened. At least until we get something in story to dispute the events in the dream.
I think that the KG at the ToJ believed that whoever was inside said tower was king, be it Jon or Aegon or whoever. I am just about through with my first reread of ADwD and have been thinking a lot about what happened at the ToJ. Earlier today I just read the chapter in which Barristan thought about how Prince Rhaegar had loved his Lady Lyanna, and thousands died for it.
And yes, I am thinking that maybe Aegon could be the son of Rhaegar and Lyanna. Maybe Jon and Aegon are twins, one of which looked like the mom and one of which looked like the dad. Ned knew that he couldn’t pass off a targ looking kid as his own (or thought it would be too dangerous?) so he sent him off into hiding with Ashara Dayne (Septa Lemore?). I dunno, just kinda thinkin out loud, lol.
Or here’s something I was just thinking of while I was lifting weights out in the garage. Maybe Varys had Aegon smuggled out of KL and sent to Starfall on his way to Essos. Ned shows up with yet another of Rhaegar’s heirs (Jon) while Aegon is still there. A plan is made that Ned will take Lyanna’s son back to Winterfell with him as his bastard son while Ashara pretends to kill herself so she can go into hiding with Aegon in Essos as Septa Lemore.
Re: ToJ
Whatever or whoever was in the tower had to be incredibly important. It’s not just that the Kingsguard were hanging around following the orders of a dead king. In a vacuum, this seems like a normal thing for the Kingsguard to do. It’s that they were doing so instead of going to help out the boy everyone else believes is the next heir to the throne, who is under siege and running out of food, who doesn’t even have a Kingsguard with him.
In fact, they characterized what Willem Darry was doing in protecting Viserys as *fleeing*–but not them, because”Kingsguard do not flee.” This is super telling, IMO. If the guy protecting Rhaegar’s younger brother is fleeing, and the Kingsguard are doing something more important than fleeing, what could they possibly be doing? What’s more important than protecting Aerys’ eldest surving son?
@319 Again, that’s from Ned’s dream. We have no reliable evidence that any of that conversation actually took place, and wasn’t just something Ned’s fevered brain supplied. How do we know the KG even knew Viserys was alive and had fled? Memory is a tricky thing, especially 15 years after the fact; dreams don’t typically replay things the exact way they actually happened; and then throw in a fever on top of that.
Who would have married them, anyway? No septon would do that since Rhaegar already had a wife. No local from Dorne would help, because Rhaegar was married to their beloved Princess Elia. Did they somehow bring someone all the way from the North to get married in an Old Gods ceremony, in Lyanna’s faith? (Are there weirwoods in the Dornish mountains?) Who would agree to perform a bigamous marriage?
And where is Lyanna in all of this? Rhaegar did this, Ned did that, the KG did something… but what about Lyanna? Her father and oldest brother were murdered by Rhaegar’s father in a situation that was prompted by her disappearance. Did she just shrug when she heard the news and go back to planning her wedding? That doesn’t mesh with the Lyanna who was the TKOTLT. Did Rhaegar keep her so isolated she never heard about their deaths? (That wouldn’t have sat well with free-spirited horse-loving Lyanna, either.) We don’t even really have much evidence to suggest that she would actually want to marry Rhaegar – she cried at his singing, that’s pretty much it. (I don’t count “Promise me” because that could just have been about her baby, not necessarily to do with Rhaegar.) There are plenty of characters talking about Rhaegar loving Lyanna, but very little about what Lyanna may have thought or felt.
I’m not saying it’s impossible for them to have been married. I’m just saying we have no proof. And quite frankly, I think it’s unnecessary for the story, because the end game isn’t going to be about who the “rightful” heir is – according to medieval-ish patriarchal inheritance laws – but about defeating the Others. Which may make it important that Jon has Targaryen blood, but legitimacy or heirship don’t matter much to dragons.
@320
I’m not certain they were married either, and it’s probably worth wondering what marriage would even mean. Married in the Faith? Vows said before a heart tree? Would there even have been witnesses? Would Lyanna have willingly done it before her father and brother will killed, and found herself pregnant soon after? Could she possibly have agreed if it were after? Would Rhaegar have forced her into marriage like Tywin forced Sansa? (Probably not?) If it’s not “official” in the Faith, or the witnesses are dead, would it even matter to the plot at all, except for some cute one-liners and a nod to the astute reader? Could the Kingsguard have just considered Rhaegar’s bastard more important than his legitimate younger brother? There are open questions there; I certainly don’t think the marriage question is settled. And I think it’s completely possible that even if they were married, it could end up not mattering at all–hidden prince wins the throne in the end is more a little too on the nose.
But I think discounting the actual dialogue we get in the dream is a pretty sketchy move itself. It’s one thing to wonder when we have ambiguities–does bed of blood definitely mean what we think it does, who are “they”, etc.. It would be one thing if we had contrary information and we had to decide whose account to believe. But we have neither of those things in this case. Ned actually mentions Viserys. The Kingsguard actually say “We do not flee.” Ned hasn’t been an unreliable narrator before this or after this. Slow to interpret, yes, but not confused by what he sees.
As for it being a dream, I don’t think that casts doubt on even it speaking generally–Stark dreams nearly always ring true in this series. Speaking specifically to this event, the dream is described as an old dream, its contents are familiar to Ned, and he specifically thinks that events in the dream are as they were in life. If that’s not authorial shorthand for “flashback”, there is no such thing. And waking, he gives us corroborating details, like Martyn Cassel having been there. Furthermore, what pieces of information we’ve gotten about the ToJ from outside sources all agree with what Ned has told us; there are no discrepancies to cast doubt on his account. Given all this authorial effort, I don’t think we have any reason to discount Ned’s recollection here.
I agree we can’t say they were married. There is not a lot of evidence for it, and there is no direct evidence. But the ToJ dialogue supoprts the idea, and we don’t actually have a reason to discount the ToJ dialogue.
I found an interesting bit of possible foreshadowing in TWOIAF today under the Vale chapter. Describing the Eyrie the book says:
“The maesters who serve House Arryn, students of the art of warfare all, have been unanimous in the belief that the castle cannot be taken… save perhaps with dragons, as Visenya Targaryen once proved when she landed in the Eyrie’s inner yard on her dragon, Vhagar, and persuaded the mother of the last Arryn King to submit to House Targaryen and yield up the Falcon Crown.
Almost three hundred years have come and gone since that day, however, and the last dragon perished long ago in King’s Landing, so the future of the Lords of the Eyrie may once again sleep secure in the knowledge that their spendid seat remains forever invulnerable and impregnable”
Now of course this book is written for Tommen by maesters of OldTown, so they don’t know that Dany has 3 dragons yet, but wouldn’t it be interesting to see her take the Eyrie from LF by riding Drogon into battle?
What excellent karma that would be for Baelish if Dany decided to invade the Vale first like the Andals of old.
@317: Why? What would be the point of that, both as storyline and in-universe? Why would Varys or Illyrio or anyone need to pretend that the boy is his own dead elder brother, instead of simply telling the truth? Why would they lie about him being Rhaegar’s dead son, if he’s Rhaegar’s son anyway?
@320: I really don’t understand why so many fans assume that Lyanna and Rhaegar immediately heard the news about Brandon’s and Rickard’s deaths. Haven’t you noticed how slow the news usually travels in the books, compared to the amount of events that happen in the meantime?
As for how Lyanna felt about Rhaegar, “well, we just know she cried when he was singing, that doesn’t have to mean anything” is an argument that works in real life, but not in fiction, where things are usually there because they mean something, especially when it’s one of the few pieces of info we get about a long dead character. This is where such a thing as Lyanna crying while Rhaegar is singing (which doesn’t seem to be something she often did, going by Benjen’s mocking and her reaction to it) while Robert is having a drinking contest with his buddy, is a pretty big hint, especially in this series, where songs and singing are constantly used as symbols of romanticism, romance and eroticism. Just like the fact that Lyanna was holding dead withered roses in her hand while she was dying, while blue winter roses also happen to be what Rhaegar gave her at the tourney of Harrenhal (where he may have discovered she was TKOTLT and been impressed with her – speaking of which, I love the idea that he charmed her by singing a sad song, while she charmed him by being a brave knight protecting someone who had been bullied). Blue roses are, generally, a symbol of impossible dreams and unattainable love.
Now, none of this means I’m convinced they were married; I was never particularly invested in the issue. I think they probably were going by the behavior of the KG – I’m not convinced they would have died to protect crown prince’s bastard, no matter how much they liked Rhaegar (Arthur Dayne may have, but there’s no evidence that the others were Rhaegar’s close friends). It’s really not hard to find a septon in Westeros, and I don’t think every septon would be adamantly against polygamy; or there could have been a weirwood tree at the ToJ, and the religion of Old Gods has no priests – they wouldn’t need someone to marry them. But I also think that the marriage may not be recognized as legitimate by a portion of Westeros, both because of polygamy and probable lack of witnesses. Furthermore, I don’t think R+L being married means Jon will become king – or would even want the IT.
One theory (which I doubt mainly because it’s too obvious a trope) is that evidence of Jon’s legitimacy is hidden in Lyanna’s tomb. That would be why Ned insisted on entombing her there (which was only for Lords of winterfell!) and why Starks keep dreaming about the tombs.
In conclusion, I don’t know what’s going to happen, except that whatever it is, I am unlikely to enjoy it.
Well, won’t she be pleasantly surprised.
Wyman didn’t stab the Freys with a trident in this chapter…but he will eventually take a fork to them. As the hyenas sing in the stage version of The Lion King:
Say it again
Gee, it’s so incredible
That you’re so rude
When you’re so edible
When. You. Are. Food.
*doubles over, laughing*
I’m really looking forward to Leigh’s response to the next Davos chapter, given the general vibe she picked up on here. The mummer’s farce is almost done.
Ah Wylla, how I love you. You and Arya should be besties and yell at stupid people together.
Does anyone know if she has to marry that Frey before he gets turned into pie? Or is he turned into pie first?
Wynafryd was the one engaged to Rhaegar. I hadn’t remembered it from the next Davos chapter, but The Wiki sez “Wynafryd pretends to be pleased with her betrothal to Rhaegar Frey. However, her grandfather, Lord Wyman Manderly, had already revealed his plans to her and she knows the marriage will never take place.”
Wylla was engaged to Little Walder. No wonder Wyman didn’t object to the kid’s death.
@329 Ciella- I’m sure that the Frey Pies are made before any marriages. Lord Wyman wouldn’t make his granddaughter marry a Frey.
The next Davos chapter will be fun. A Quest! A Quest! Rikon and Shaggydog gamboling with cannibals and unicorns!
I still think that Rhaegar was planning his own rebellion against his father and that setting Elia aside in favor of Lyanna was a big part of that. (I’m less certain, but I think that the main motivation for this was his finding out that his son would be extremely important, prophesy-wise, and that Elia’s kids were actually fathered by Aerys and thus could not qualify.)
In this theory, Rickard was his main co-conspirator. (Tywin Lannister may have also been involved, and I want to think Walder Frey as well because it would explain so much.) But Rickard neglected to tell Brandon what was going on, and didn’t realize Robert actually loved Lyanna that much and would be so effective and competent at leading his own rebellion over the matter. Also, the idea of a full-on dynasty-changing rebellion may not have even seemed possible enough to think about. Anyhow, these two mistakes quickly led to the enitre thing falling apart.
@333 I don’t buy Elia’s kids not being Rhaegar’s. In Dany’s vision in THOTU, she sees Rhaegar holding Aegon up and saying “there must be one more”. That indicates that he believed Elia’s kids were his, but he needed another child because “the dragon has 3 heads”. Then we get to the speculation about Elia’s frailness, and how another child would kill her, so he found Lyanna instead.
@334, But that doesn’t mean that Elia’s kids couldn’t be Aerys’ and that Rhaegar just didn’t know at the time. I agree it’s farfetched, yet not outisde the realm of what Aerys might do.
I disagree that Rickard would be the conspirator though, because then it makes little sense that Brandon wouldn’t be in on it.
I’m in the “that was Lyanna and Jon” camp on that vision. (“Jon” is likely a Westernization of “Aegon”, isn’t it?), and that the one more is in the vision context rather than the historical one, one more beyond Dany and Jon.
There is no possible circumstance in which Rhaegar’s plan is going to go at all well for Elia and those kids, and Rhaegar is more than bright enough to know that. If he was rebelling against Aerys, they’d be instant hostages. If not, Elia was never going to put up with being set aside like that (and even if she did, the church never would go along) and they’d either end up as the focus for a new line of pretenders or, more likely, preemptively slaughtered to stop just that. So one has to conclude that Rhaegar had no particular warm feelings for her or those kids at all at that point.
(Anyways, the original point that I forgot to add was that in my scenario Rickard would almost certainly have been able to find a Septon who could be convinced to consider the previous marriage void and perform the new one.)
@336 The vision makes no sense if it’s Lyanna and Jon. Why would Rheagar say “there must be one more” ? The whole point of that statement is that he has 2 children now, but still needs another child to get 3 heads of the Dragon.And Rhaegar calls the baby “Aegon”. He wouldn’t name 2 different sons Aegon.
@337: Again, because Rhaegar is talking to Dany. This is a vision, not literal time travel like we’re getting with Bran.
And if he knew that the first wasn’t actually his and that this particular child either must or at least really should be named Aegon given his role in the future he absoutely would go to that name again.
@337, Aegon is the most common of the Targ names, and if Rhaeghar intended to set Elia’s kids aside, well he needed an Aegon as his heir.
@338, 339: This is all ridiculously convoluted and unlikely, even without the idea that Rhaegar would need his heir to be called Aegon (no, he wouldn’t). Not to mention the random insertion of more rape into the storyline (because this is just what we need!), which Rhaegar supposedly somehow completely failed to react to, like trying to protect his wife, other than supposedly wanting to disinherit her children?
All because you just can’t stand the idea that Rhaegar was not referring to Jon as “the Prince that was Promised” in Dany’s vision? Which doesn’t even make sense on the basic level, since, if he had just one child he considered one of the dragon’s “heads”, he would have said “there must be two more”.
@340, I’ve already stated I think the idea of Rhaegar setting Elia aside because she was raped by Aerys as farfetched. I’m just pointing out there are legit excuses for why Rhaegar would name two sons Aegon, namely he was going to disinherit one for reasons that were his own.
Just because Aerys was more than a little rapey in other circumstances doesn’t mean that he and Elia couldn’t have been in a perfectly consentual affair.
And if you want the vision to be Elia, all that is required is for Rhaegar to have found out about it sometime later. But you have to wonder why Dany would have the vision about a long-dead and non-signficant baby’s birth.
Also, if Rhaegar was counting kids like that, then the whole world is in trouble since there’s no reason whatsoever to believe that at least one of those absolutely necessary kids isn’t dead, even one believes Faegon isn’t.
@342 Just because Rhaegar believed the prophecy was about three kids of his, doesn’t mean he was right. (Since it’s obvious he wasn’t counting Dany, and she’s fairly essential…)
As for Elia – Aerys was insane, repulsive, racist against the Dornish (AWOIAF: when he met little Rhaenys for the first time, he wouldn’t touch her because she “smelled Dornish”), and never left the Red Keep, while Rhaegar and Elia lived on Dragonstone. Not only is it incredibly absurd to assume that a Dornish princess would willingly sleep with such a man, not to mention sleep with him again after he talked about her daughter that way, but there would’ve been very little opportunity for such a thing to take place.
@336 Or Rhaegar never had any intention of setting Elia or her children aside. He just needed a third child, which she couldn’t give him. Elia was Dornish, she might not have objected to a paramour. In which case Elia is still in line to become queen one day, little Aegon is still the heir to the throne, and Rhaegar could have it all – or so he would believe.
(Except, of course, that Rhaegar had to go set off a rebellion by his abysmally stupid behavior.)
@343: Except that Rhaegar is presented as being smart, not, as you say, abysmally stupid. And since we’re talking about him being motivated mostly by the prophesy thing, this isn’t some love-struck folly going on. He’s going to need to have run the whole thing by Elia and Lyanna at the very minimum, and either one of which are going to have told him that this is an extremely stupid idea. If he hasn’t made some kind of arrangement with at least Rickard, he’s likely to greatly offend two major houses in one stroke, creating exactly the kind of situation that he knows full well is going to trigger his dad’s already dangerous paranoia, which he ought well to know means a very strong change of the city going up in flames. And they’d see it all coming miles away, so why in the world wouldn’t they arrange for Elia to visit relatives in one of the strongest castles in Dorne before the trigger is pulled?
And there are any number of easier ways for Rhaegar to father a third, bastard child, if that was all that was required…
@344 Rhaegar is presented as smart by people who liked him. It’s very possible that they’re not entirely objective. And it’s not like smart people never do abysmally stupid things.
I must admit I’m not sure what your argument is in the most recent post. That Rhaegar must’ve had a plan, but didn’t implement it because…? (It’s late here, and I’m tired, so maybe I’m just missing something.)
To me it’s pretty simple. If the vision was Elia and the Aegon we know about, then it makes perfect sense. (It’s just that Rhaegar thought he knew what the prophecy meant, but was mistaken. He wouldn’t be the first or the last.) In order for it to be Lyanna and Jon, you have to make a lot of assumptions and guesswork not supported by the text.
@Lyanna What hes saying is that the HOTU vision wasnt Dany seeing something that actually happened but instead just a vision. One that showed her the 2nd head, Jon, while the VisionRhaegar blatantly tells her she needs to find the third. That the vision isnt about what Rhaegar thought of the prophecy just a message for Dany. Can we all agree that Jon isnt his birth name since Lyanna had no reason to name her son after the Lord of the Vale.
@346: Jon is his birth name, because he was named by Ned. GRRM confirmed it.
http://www.westeros.org/Citadel/SSM/Entry/1202
Why would Lyanna name Jon and give him a Targaryen name, anyway? Might as well put a big target on his head.
The vision was there to introduce the concept of “the dragon has three heads” to Dany, since she’s one of the dragonriders, and to make her wonder who the other two may be. That’s why it’s relevant, not because Rhaegar was right – he clearly was wrong, since he thought the dragon’s “heads” would be his children, two of which were murdered, and didn’t think it would be his sister, who was only born after his death, and who he had no idea would even exist. It doesn’t have to mean that there’s going to be someone called Aegon who’s going to be Aegon the Conqueror come again, or king, or Prince Who Was Promised. Jon was definitely never named Aegon, and Dany is the Aegon the Conqueror equivalent in that she’s the one riding the biggest, most dangerous, black dragon who’s often getting compared to Balerion.
I didn’t say that Ned didn’t give him Jon his name. As a matter of fact that is exactly what I said. But again Lyanna would have had a different name for him because she doesn’t have an emotional connection to Jon Arryn. Depending on when she died either in childbirth or weeks/days later Jon probably had another name. Whether it was Aegon or not I don’t have an opinion*. Ned naming him after his foster father is the best thing Ned could do to convince people that Jon was his bastard.
*Lets not forget that Aegon wasn’t just a popular name but an one that is iconic, the name of the Targ that conquered the Seven Kingdoms. And honestly I don’t get the hostility. Of all the people in this story we know the least about Rhaegar is the most significant and all kinds of speculation and conjecture is fair game IMO because we don’t know enough about him to accurately guess what he was thinking.
It’s been awhile and it’s certainly possible that Danys eggs she got from Illyrio were eggs meant for Rhaeghars children stolen by Varys but is there any indication aside from the HOTU vision that Rhaegar thought three kids were significant? Because I always thought it was the song of ice and fire(a child from both Targ and Stark houses) that was significant to Rhaegar And nothing to do with the fact that he thought he needed three children children specifically.
YAIIISSS!
New reader has made the connection between the Rat Cook and the Freys!!!
Leigh noticed the Rat Cook connection in the Bran chapter, and said “Take that, WALDER, you giant poop splash!” But I’ve expected that she won’t remember it by the time Wyman calls for the song at the Pink Wedding. Maybe this week’s non-deliberate reminder will help.
Yeah, us old hands can’t prod her that way, because it’s usually OBVS that we are trying to lead her somewhere. So someone who’s where Leigh is, but read that more recently to do it is wonderful.
Why would R and L need to be married in the eyes of the Seven in order for Jon to be heir? Rhaegar could’ve been planning to legitimize him like Aegon IV did…
#353: If that’s what he was planning, he didn’t get to do it. If Jon is indeed a bastard, he’s not heir to anything. Some monarch would have to legitimize him for him to even be in the line of succession.
If Jon isn’t legitimate somehow — marriage, decree of legitmation — then it’s hard to explain why the KG would not only stay with him instead of Viserys but defend him to the death.
@355: He could only be legitimate if they were married. Only a king can legitimize a bastard, which Rhaegar was not, and I don’t think you can preemptively legitimize un unborn child, anyway.
Yes, Aerys would have had to legitimate him, and probably to have done so in utero as well. I don’t know if that’s possible, but it could be.
What is this legitimate heir nonsense? Was William the Bastard the legitimate heir to the English Crown?
The winner of this story will have dragons and armies to make him/her legitimate.
I also have a feeling that Stannis may yet make Jon a “legitimate” Stark.
Oh, oh, oh…
“Bowen Marsh and/or the other brothers mutinying over ICKY GIRL COOTIES, and/or ICKY FREEDOM COOTIES”
*bites fist*
Depending on how you feel about what Robb wrote on that piece of paper that’s still out wandering the Neck, Jon may already have been legitimized by one “King.”
I do wonder whether this is the sort of story where the actual claim is even going to matter in the end, though.
My husband is currently reading the series and basically finally got caught up to Leigh. Once he found out Young Griff’s identity (he doesn’t seem to be questioning it at the moment) one of his first questions was, “Do you think Stannis would stand aside for that claim?”
Maybe he would have at one point, although now he seems pretty deep into it all, especially with Melly building him up as some kind of savior.
But as for legitimacy…at what point are the Targaryen heirs even still legitmate? After all, when the first Aegon took over, it was by conquest. So…perhaps at this point the Baratheons are the ‘true’ rulers…until somebody else takes over, that is.
@359
She picked up on a few cool things this week. Mutiny, Jorah, and the fact that Tyrion gave his advice sandwiched between admonitions not to trust anyone (IMO it’s worth noting that his advice was to run ahead of the dragons, while his game advice was to keep your dragon close, though who knows what will come of it).
@361: Why would he recognize House Targaryen’s right to the throne now, when he has denied it for years? Stannis thinks that Robert was the rightful king and that he’s the rightful king now. He never thought that Robert was a usurper and that the crown should go to Viserys or Dany. Why would he change his mind for Aegon now? What’s the difference? He doesn’t recognize the rights of any of Aerys’ progeny to the throne. He doesn’t even consider them.
The only people who would recognize Aegon’s right would be the Targaryen supporters (if they believe he is who he says he is, obviously).
@360: Robb’s will wouldn’t matter to Stannis, who considers Robb a traitor. In Stannis’ mind, Robb had the right to be Lord of Winterfell, but not to be King – so Robb legitimizing Jon would not mean anything to Stannis, since he wouldn’t think that Robb had that authority.
“I guess I should keep an eye out to see if Dany ends up acquiring any flaming swords.”
I’m partial to the theory that dragons count as flaming swords.
@363 – yeah, he is probably pretty comitted to the Baratheon line as ‘legitimate’. Which is itself kind of interesting mental gymnastics. Although maybe for him straight up coups can count, but illegitmate children can’t, since that’s more dishonest.
Given Stannis’s reputation for being so law abiding, I wonder what got him to agree to rebel in the first place (perhaps this was mentioned somewhere and it’s slipped my mind).
@366. I don’t remember exactly where, but Davos does ask him how he justified rebelling against his king and Stannis said that he thought family loyalty was more important than loyalty to a lord.
@@@@@ 365
Me too, especially when acquiring those dragons has a proccess that’s similar to the legend of Azor Ahai and Nissa Nissa, with several tries until the sacrifice of the loved one is discovered to be the true key. In this case, Khal Drogo was Nissa Nissa. I wonder what he would think about that.
Me too. Only issue is that Aemon was convinced Dany was PTWP rather than AA.
Drogo and Mirri together could constitute Nissa Nissa — Dany destroyed her (already-dead) beloved and killed someone (else). But now one of her dragon/swords is missing, and she’s keeping the other two sheathed. Sort of like Ser Galladon the Perfect Knight and his rarely-used magic sword of invincibility.
@369: Unless they’re different names for the same thing.
Annara – that is the issue, isn’t it? My gut feeling it is going to end up one for each, so the puzzle remains which one for each one. Since Aemon is right about everything, I’ll vote Dany for PTWP and Jon for AA… but it could be flipped around.
@371-72 Or they’re the same, but “have three heads” so that there are three people who are AA/PWWP. Jon, Dany, and… possibly Bran, possibly Tyrion, possibly Aegon if he’s somehow not fAegon. Perhaps even Stannis…
(It could be Varys or Melisandre for all we know. Or Sam! Jaime! Sarella!)
I’d vote for Sarella! ^_^ But not if she doesn’t want the job. The Podcast of Ice and Fire crew made her Grand Maester when composing Queen Sansa’s all-female council (and Queensguard), which I rather like.
#373: Bran seems to be the most likely candidate for Last Hero.
@374: Do you remember which episode it was, or when it was recorded? I would love to listen to it, but I’d have to go through many, many pages of descriptions to find out which it is. I do intend to listen to all of them in time, though.
@375: Episode 113, Guys Night Out V. It included one of the Boiled Leather Audio Hour hosts, so I looked it up on the BLAH website, where I’d first discovered it. Still one of my favorite APOIAF episodes, along with the one discussing The Mystery Knight.
@376: Thanks!
As much as I love Dany, I don’t think she survives the series. Nor do I think she outranks Jon in importance. Jon is from both bloodlines, Ice and Fire, and we’re told that’s importance.
I think Jon and Dany will struggle for control of the dragons, each assigning their own heads. For Dany, Tyrion and fAegon(Fire if rumor/speculation is right), vs Jon, Arya and Bran(Ice).
Ice and Fire doesn’t necessarily mean a person from both bloodlines, it can very well be the ultimate battle between the Others and dragons. We know songs are written about great battles, and Martin seems to like giving poetic names to wars :)
I think Azor Ahai = PWTP = Last Hero. Mellisandre uses them interchangeably. But I also think “the dragon has three heads” means it will take 3 to fulfill the prophecy. Dany, Jon, and Tyrion, with fAegon-really-real-Aegon as an outside possibility.
I’m afraid Bran’s horrible fate of letting a tree grow into him lets him out of getting to *literally* fly by riding a dragon.
379 – GRRM doesn’t go for the one shot. It is go big or go home. So I’ll bet A Song of Ice and Fire refers to each of Rhaegar-Lyanna, Jon as an individual product of Ice and Fire, Jon as Commander of the Wall having a future relationship with Dany as Queen of Dragons, Old Gods v. Rhillor and Others v. Dragons.
@381 That’s my feeling too, but I can only hope at this point :)
In this week’s JonCon chapter, the griffin and the mummer’s dragon decide not to go to Dany as they had planned and Quaithe had foretold. They could still mess things up for her in Westeros, but this may indicate…something…about the mutability of prophesy in ASOIAF.
Is that what Quaithe foretold though? I forget the exact warning, but the set up now, where Arianne will have Dorne throw their support behind the Mummer’s Dragon so she can be queen instead of Quentyn king. This seems right in line with Quaithe’s warning to beware the Mummer’s Dragon.
#384: Her exact words were:
“The glass candles are burning. Soon comes the pale mare, and after her the others. Kraken and dark flame, lion and griffin, the sun’s son and the mummer’s dragon. Trust none of them. Remember the Undying. Beware the perfumed seneschal.”
Which may mean they were all going to come to her, or were on their way, or simply that she’ll have to deal with all of them. I personally think it’s the latter – she’s still going to meet Tyrion and have to deal with Aegon and JonCon when she gets to Westeros.
I also don’t think the perfumed seneshal referred to the ship, as some believe (which would have been unnecessary anyway, since she’s already warned Dany about Tyrion and Moqorro). My money is on Varys.
Great reaction to Daario. But I expected Leigh to be more annoyed about JonCon:
~Letting his greyscale progress, despite its contagiousness and the eventuality of a slow and maddening death, rather than chop something off now and possibly save himself but become weaker. Manliness before Sensibility isn’t her thing. But maybe this is more sensible…I dunno.
~Being grumpy about everything and everyone
~Having his own chapter, thus forcing her to read and write “Griff” a lot. I’m pleased that instead she’s thinking of forgiving him.
@381:
Also, doesn’t the text say somewhere that that The Prince Who Was Promised” IS the “Song of Ice and Fire”?
I think “Beware the perfumed seneschal” is repetition to drive her point home, that it means the same as “Trust no one.” All the people she describes are perfumed senechals; they pretend to serve her and smell sweet, but each of them has their own agenda. The fact that a ship is named this shows that it’s a common phrase in the east, which Danaerys doesn’t pick up on (so that Martin can show her paranoia growing).
I’m going to assume that the greyscale is more of a systemic infection that affects the extremeties first rather than the localized sort of thing that spreads from a point and can be combatted by amputation. Because if it worked it would be the standard treatment and it would be a “lose a finger or a limb” kind of thing, not a gauranteed lingering death kind of thing.
According to Tyrion’s thoughts, cutting off the first-visibly-affected parts can sometimes — but not always — stop the spread. Kind of like cancer, maybe?
Since we know the course can vary from 2 to 10 years with no particular treatment whatsoever, amputation probably is having no effect other than inducing a bit of confirmation bias.
In Dany’s vision in the HOTU, Rhaegar says “This is the Prince that was promised. His is the song of Ice and Fire”.
Did that off memory, but it’s roughly correct.
Regarding Dany’s affection to Daario, I urge people to read this: https://meereeneseblot.wordpress.com/2013/10/06/untangling-the-meereenese-knot-part-v-hizdahr-and-peace-or-daario-and-war/ (and the whole series of essays is awesome. I have just noticed that I had already pasted it here before. Oh well). Dany is being seduced by Daario, who represents (and actually advises) all-out war and aggression, while being nonplussed by Hizdahr, who might bring peace.
@392:
Thanks. I thought I read a theory based on that somewhere, and the implication was that Jon WAS the Song, that the whole series is named after him.
@393
That’s a really nice series of essays. However annoying it may be that the characters are separated the way they are, I think the thematic arcs of AFFC and ADWD are really nice–the price of war, and then the price of peace.
Rhaegar said that line about Aegon, but most theories regarding Jon assume that Rhaegar was wrong about the application of the prophecy to Aegon, but not right that the song of the PTWP is one of ice and fire. Thus, Jon would be the PTWP, and the song of ice and fire (that is, the whole series because that’s the formal title) would be about him.
Rhaegar said that line about Aegon
I don’t buy that. Why would he say that about a kid descended from lines associated with Fire and the Sun?
@397
Even if he did say it, it’s not like people in this series are known for their skill at interpreting prophecy.
@396, @397, @398:
Remind me of the scene where Rhaegar is saying that… who was the POV character?
Dany PoV, in the House of the Undying.
I interpret it as Rhaegar being wrong about the prophecy and realizing later that your point is correct.
@@@@@ 397 I’m guessing because the prophecy says the PTWP has a SOIAF, and so once he assumed his son with Elia was that prince, the song would by definition be his? There’s no suggestion that Rhaegar at this time thought ‘ice’ and ‘fire’ were about pedigree. He may have thought so later, thus Lyanna, but we don’t even know that for sure. And given that Rhaegar once thought he himself was TPTWP, it’s not like changing his mind about what the prophecy meant would be out of character.
For all we know, the prophecy talks about a battle between ice and fire, and a prince who will be the hero of that battle. We already know that Melisandre equates ‘fire’ to ‘good,’ and she thinks TPTWP and AAR are the same prophecy, so… why couldn’t Rhaegar have thought the same thing?
My assumption has always been that Rhaegar initially thought Aegon was TPTWP. In Dany’s vision, he says “there must be one more. The dragon has 3 heads”. We know that Elia was frail and in poor health, and presumably was informed that she could have no more children, which led to Rhaegar’s courting/abduction of Lyanna. We don’t know why Rhaegar chose Lyanna, other than the possible Knight of the Laughing Tree appearance, but it’s possible that he realized that to have a child whose song was of Ice and Fire, he needed a Stark. This is conjecture, but I believe Rhaegar later realized that no only did he need a third child, but to get the song of Ice and Fire he needed Lyanna’s child, rather than Aegon.
Or Jon’s also named Aegon and it’s Lyanna he’s talking too.
I don’t why this has to be so complicated
Or the scene Dany sees never did happen, because it’s a vision.
@404 See, I think your suggestion is way more complicated, and based on a lot more assumptions that don’t match up with what we actually know. To my mind, Rhaegar thinking that his and Elia’s son (who we know was named Aegon) was TPTWP makes perfect sense, and is not complicated at all. There was a woods witch saying TPTWP would be born from the union of Aerys and Rhaella. Rhaegar at first thought it was him, then when he realized he wasn’t, he shifted it to his son Aegon. What’s complicated about that?
Because neither one of them have anything to do with Ice?
But the Others do. There’s nothing to say that the prophecy specifically says the Prince has to be of Ice and Fire, just that his Song is. He could be Fire fighting against Ice. You know, like Dany.
I can buy that the scene never actually happened; as you say, it’s a vision. But I’m more inclined to think it did happen and the issue for all of us is how to interpret it.
I’m disinclined to accept the idea that Rhaegar wanted 2 sons named Aegon. I can’t rule it out, of course, but I’m more inclined to think that this was Aegon and that it’s part of the misdirection in the vision.
The key point is that I believe that the prophecy ultimately refers to Jon.
@404:
This quote is from Maester Aemon, who kept in correspondence with Rhaegar via raven messages. At one point, Rhaegar thought his son Aegon was the prince that was promised, and this perfectly fits with what Dany saw in the House of the Undying. There isn’t any reason to doubt that the woman in the vision was Elia. In fact, we can entirely rule out Lyanna as a candidate because:
Rhaegar was not present at the Tower of Joy at that time, so it cannot be Lyanna and Jon in the vision. There also isn’t any reason to doubt that the vision actually happened either, as immediately before that Dany saw Aerys on the Iron Throne, saying, “Let him be the king of ashes,” which we know did happen.
@409, But while Grey Wind’s head was sewn on Robb, he didn’t preside over a hall of feasting that way.
The vision she recieved used actual and upcoming events to give her a picture, but we have no way of knowing how accurately the events being portrayed related to their actual circumstances.
I read somewhere, westeros probably, that Martin confirmed that the woman with Rhaegar in Dany’s HotU vision was indeed Elia but I have never been able to find the quote. Maybe someone who is a better interwebs detective than me can find it.
Also, I don’t think that Rhaegar had any idea what the song of ice and fire was or meant. I’ve read all kinds of theories about how Elia couldn’t have any more kids so he needed another wife or that he needed to find the ice equalivant to his fire so he sought out a Stark, etc. I don’t think Jon was planned at all. I think Rhaegar just fell head over heels in love with Lyanna.
“Prince Rhaegar loved his lady Lyanna, and thousands died for it.”
-Barristan Selmy, ADwD page 958 (paperback edition)
I think Jon as TPtwP just kinda happened, a happy accident so to speak.
I wonder if Dany’s attraction to Daario will make Leigh worry that she could go for Victarion too. Probably not after Vic really gets recklessly brutal.
@411:
I found this answer from Ran on an old webboard:
@413. *bows* Nice work.
I’m firmly of the camp that Aegon is f-Aegon, so I’m all on board with the above confirmation from Ran (aka Elio, the c0-author of Worlds of Ice and Fire).
Interesting question for me is – who is f-Aegon, really? Needs to be someone with blood that comes from Essos in order to get those distinctive eyes.
I’ve always been interested in the theory that it’s Ashara Dayne’s child (with either Ned or Ned’s brother). She hid the baby’s birth, Varys told her he’d get it adopted by a good family, and then someone told her the baby died, leading to her jumping from the tower. Or …the jumping was fake and she is actually Septa Lemore….
@415 Apparently Lys, especially, is full of people with Valyrian coloring, so he could just be the Lysene equivalent of the Pisswater Prince.
Yes. Lys has a bunch with Valyrian blood, same with Dorne, same with the Island families near Dragonstone.
From Stefan on last week’s post: Today’s post is cancelled due to technical difficulties.
Should be very interesting to watch next season of GOT on HBO, as I have no doubt we’ll get huge clues as to the direction of the story. I say this simply because the producers know the author’s plan, so anything they keep in 10 hours of programming is essential, and anything they disregard should be unimportant in the long run.
Of course there is the possibility that the show has decided to go way off the rails and completely disregard the author’s vision but that would be pretty strange. I have to think that overall the main characters would need to end up in the same place, and the conflict would have to resolve itself essenetially the same way in both mediums.
I wish the books were still far ahead of the show, as seeing it unfold in reverse starting in 2016 makes me uncomfortable.
Re: 419
Really, really wrestling with whether or not to watch the new season for that reason. I DO NOT want to have the books spoiled by the TV Show. Especially since we know the showrunners aren’t necessarily staying true to everything. So you’ll get a sort of half-spoiled version that might ruin some great moments coming in the books but leave you uncertain as to whether what you’ve seen unfold is the real GRRM plot. Ugh. The publicity photos they’ve released don’t help – they show Tyrion with Dany, and Sansa in the North. All of which makes me really leery of watching any more for now.
I’m definitely out on the rest of the show until the books are finished.
I’ve got 15+ years into the books and not risking any show spoilers, especially since I really dislike the direction they’ve gone with several of the arcs
I didn’t think it was possible to come across a new GOT theory at this point, but I’ve never heard of anything regarding Lewis Lanster. Wow!
@@@@@ 420 @@@@@421 There is no way to avoid GOT while GRRM finishes the books over the next 10 years. If you’re a fan that will seem an eternity while you avoid all mention of the show. Just reality.
But as I posted earlier, it will be interesting to see where the show goes as it will definitely provide clues as to where the greater narrative is headed.
I don’t think the HP books were ruined just because I saw the movies first. The books were so rich in detail and had so many side-stories/characters that were never revealed in the films.
Would you not read LOTR if you saw the movies first? Same idea, at least to me.
Anyway, if you manage to not watch subsequent GOT seasons you are truly a dedicated book fan and I totally respect that.
I guess it’s just different b/c I started with the books so long ago. I tend to want to experience a story in the medium I first discovered it in. As an example, The Walking Dead. Never heard of the comics, didn’t start watching the show until 3 seasons in or so, then binged to catch up. Now I’ve started reading the comics just to get more WD, but I’m purposefully not going to let myself get too close to the TV show’s timeline so as to avoid spoilers. With ASoIaF, I’m so invested in the words on the page version I feel compelled to not let the TV show spoil it, even if it means waiting another decade to finish (ugh).
Oh good, I won’t be the only one missing out on GOT next year. I normally watch it when my library gets the previous season’s DVDs each February, but next year I expect to live in a town whose library never gets them.
I think this week’s Quentyn chapter has the first mention of refugees with the bloody flux. They’re on their way…
424. @CT12
For me it was the opposite. I had read The Walking Dead comics well before the show, and the first season butchered the characters so much that I haven’t watched since.
As far as the show vs. the books. I’ll keep watching the show. I would prefer to read the books before the show, but I’m not so invested that I’ll delay watching the show with my friends when they want to keep watching.
@@@@@ 423, it will be challenging but I don’t think it will be that difficult. I’ve managed it with a number of series that I didn’t watch until much later. I wasn’t spoiled on Breaking Bad and I didn’t start watching it until a few month ago and finished it 2 weeks ago. I still have no idea what happens after season 1 in the Walking Dead though it is on my to watch list. In fact, I usually don’t watch shows “in real time” and have thus far been pretty successful in avoiding spoilers.
It probably helps that I’m not particularly involved with social media and I work from home. It’s sad that I’ll have to unfollow Angrygotfan on twitter and if this thread is going to continue being a spolier zone for both books & show then I won’t be coming here anymore either.
I understand people that aren’t willing to abstain to the same degree but I’m just not willing to experience the story for the first time in any other way. As someone else said, I’ve invested a lot of time and energy in the books and for me it would ruin some of that to experience the rest of it through the show. Even if I loved every direction the show had taken, I think I would still be unwilling to continue watching at this point. I almost quit halfway through last season when we started getting the Whitewalker King or whatever that was and getting into Dance with some of the storylines.
As far as HP, I saw the first 2 movies then read the books before watching any of the rest. I read LOTR well before the movies ever came out. For me, once I become invested in a book I’m not willing to experience the rest of the story through movies or TV first.
I guess I’m somewhat special, as I tend to prefer watching the movies or TV first. If I do the books first, I’ll just end up raging at the screen that “IT DIDN’T HAPPEN LIKE THAT!” and “How could they skip that part!?” and so on. Reading the books after a movie/TV is better for the blood pressure.
“Hopefully for once what looks like a golden opportunity for Quentyn really is a golden opportunity and not a way for things to go horribly south, as is far more the usual in this series. I’m seriously rooting for Quentyn to get to Dany and un-Daaaaario her brain, stat.” — Leigh
*lolsob*
Next week: Penny debuts, Tyrion makes his most infamous statement, the Widow of the Waterfront is quietly badass, and Jon’s most recent bad day includes a beating from “Rattleshirt” and the news of “Arya’s” marriage. In other words, happy fun times across the hemisphere as we bounce between tropical and polar climates again and again.
@430: And after that, we learn the truth about what happened to Davos, “the North remembers”, and the beginning of Frey Pies.
I can hardly wait. :-)
Aww, now I have to wait three weeks for my favorite chapter, rather then one week.
Which chapter is that — the one where the pale mare arrives in Meereen?
I recently watched GOT season 4, along with the POIAF discussions of it, and was interested and kind of gratified that the rape scene caused so much public outrage. Cersei’s a villain and many viewers presumably wouldn’t object to her death, but having her appear to get raped (the directors claim this wasn’t their intent) was Really Uncool.
I could be wrong, but it seems less controversial than the Walk of Shame was for ADWD readers. That scene got a lot of approval, disapproval, and feeling-conflicted-ness. Because Cersei wasn’t physically touched, there’s less agreement over the acceptability of the violation she suffered.
Ugh, I hated the Walk of Shame.
Anyway…after Leigh’s rant, I am so interested to see how she reacts to Melly’s chapter (I can’t remember how far we are from it).
I wonder what Leigh will do when she realizes the girl who arrives fleeing her marriage isn’t even Jeyne?
She seems to be imputing more power to Mel’s visions than Mel does, which is strange.
Rattleshirt’s also staring her right in the face, LOVE IT!
And no, Leigh, Jon’s NOT gonna do the thing. He’s gonna die, and Mel’s gonna TAKE the thing. So, stop worrying!
“Because, would Martin pass up a chance to make us read about people eating other people, I ask you? No, I answer, no he would not. He’s a giver that way.”
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!! Leigh inadvertantly predicted the Frey pies!
@435 LisaMarie, not very. If she does two chapters when she gets back from JordanCon, it will be in there, after the next chapter, which is Dany’s.
@434
I think a lot of people’s issue with that scene was not that it was a rape scene, but that the director maintains to this day that it was not a rape scene. It’s a double helping of squick.
Re: the walk of shame. I didn’t mind it from an in-universe perspective. It’s the kind of thing a batshit religious zealot would do. The thing that would have made it unacceptable to me were if the author’s voice were supporting it (like, say, the assault of Nurse Ratched) or if it had been done to titillate. But it’s clear that Cersei is tortured into her confession from sleep deprivation. It’s clear that this is something done to humilate and shame. And I thought Cersei’s viewpoint made it torturous and frightening, not titillating. It was hard to read, though, certainly.
However, I’m totally prepared for the show to fuck it up and make it “sexy.”
@437, I totally missed that! And it’s kinda brilliant of GRRM to bring back the cannibal island right before Manderly makes cannibals of them all!
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA whoo heeheeheeheeheehee…*wipes eyes* Oh man. Oh, Davos. The Skagosi may or may not eat human flesh, but THE MAN TALKING TO YOU soon will, and it is a tragedy that you’ll never know about this. Ahahahaha…
Now get to Skagos and tell us what’s happening there already.
(That’s how I always react to this chapter)
I too look forward to Leigh reading the Melisandre chapter. She might not feel miffed at losing the mystery-fueled enjoyment she never had, but might be miffed that the woman is not only messing things up but basing her actions on really flawed interpretations of prophecy.
I enjoyed this week’s duel more on a first-read, when I thought Jon was really getting trounced by Rattleshirt. I don’t like Rattleshirt one bit, but it pleased me to see a scrawny little person who’s been thought of only with contempt reveal some badass fighting skills. Arya’s been doing that for us all along, of course, but still.
@439, oh, my guess for the show effing it up is to make it seem like a satisfying comeuppance (similar to how you know everybody was cheering Joffrey’s wedding – despite that really being quite a disturbing thing to cheer for on an objective level). On one hand…it is satisfying to see Cersei finally fall down and go boom. On the other…that is not how I would have chosen to experience that. And I’m not sure I trust the show will be very nuanced in conveying those conflicting reactions.
@442
but might be miffed that the woman is not only messing things up but
basing her actions on really flawed interpretations of prophecy.
I’ve yet to see proof that Melisandre is messing ANYTHING up. That’s what’s so fascinating about her character. That chapter finally reveals how badly she misinterprets the events of her visions, yet that interpretation has led her to be exactly where she needs to be.
@442 Also, “I pray for a glimpse of Azor Ahai, and R’hllor shows me only Snow,” the certainty with which she claims it’s Eastwatch even though the towers in her vision didn’t look like Eastwatch, and so on. Yeah, I think we’re likely to get quite a rant on misinterpretations being presented as facts by religious zealots…
And the Melisandre chapter is where we get the revelation of Rattleshirt as Mance.
Oy how will the show handle the walk of shame? I really wouldn’t be surprised if they replaced it with something completely different.
@446, It’s on. There was a big kerfuffle with the church they wanted to film it in front of
And what they’ll call it, since they’ve already had an episode called “Walk of Punishment.”
Leigh currently thinks Mel is up to no good and I doubt that the chapter will incite much more confidence in her wisdom.
@443: I disagree about Joffrey’s wedding. I think that, objectively, it was a very good thing that Joffrey was poisoned – even with the fallout which was bad for some people (mostly Tyrion*), Joffrey being dead is a very good thing for the world.
*Come to think of it, even that bad thing – Tyrion being blamed for it – sort of lead to Tywin being murdered, and Tywin being dead is definitely another good thing for the world…
Oh, yes, I can’t disagree with that, I just mean taking a huge amount of glee at watching a young teenager die in a horrible fashion.
@450, I get ya, but when that young teenager is a psychopath? Na
To elaborate on what everyone keeps asking me about in the thread, it’s obvious from Jaime’s flashback of Rhaegar that Rhaegar was GOING to dethrone his father when he got back. Which means the Rebellion was BUNK and by that time ONLY being fought because Robert LURVED Lyanna *warglebargle* and Rhaegar couldn’t HAVE her, never mind what the fuck she wanted(to not marry Robert, to start with). Now we don’t know if she was with Rhaegar consensually, but Ned’s guilt indicates she was and I find it all too easy to believe that the narrative that Rhaegar kidnapped her just the winners writing history.
So, no, I see nothing in that behavior that tells me Ned cared one way or the other if Ramsay went on a rape spree, so long as it didn’t effect Cat, Sansa or Arya, and even then if had been part of a treaty, he’d have honored it as he expected Lyanna to.
@451
It seems possible, from Jaime’s flashback, that Rhaegar had plans along those lines, yes. (I wouldn’t go so far as to say obvious, but Rhaegar did have some plans that he thought would change things, and knowing what we do of Aerys I can’t think of anything else that would’ve changed things. I’m just not sure Rhaegar saw it that way.)
However – there’s absolutely nothing at all in the story so far that suggests Ned knew/believed that Rhaegar had such plans, or anyone else on the side of the rebels for that matter. Which means it has no bearing at all on Ned’s motivations.
@451: Where is the evidence that Ned or Robert or any of the rebels actually knew about the changes Rhaegar was going to make? Do you think he sent messages out to the very people he was planning to defeat at the Trident?
People who are in war actually do this thing called “negotiating”. You think, if Rhaegar was going to dethrone Aerys he wasn’t going to tell the rebels that in hopes of averting a battle?
@454
You’re taking the quote out of its context. Rhaegar said there would be “changes” (you’re assuming those would be exactly what you want to be, by the way, he just said he was calling a council) after the battle. This was as he was leaving for the Trident. So the context is that first he was going to go crush the rebels, and then he’d deal with his father. There’s no indication that he’d tried reaching out to them, which you’d think would be a pretty important thing to note. If anything, it seems that his plan is to deal with the looming outside threat *before* revealing the schism (and thus weakness) on their own side.
In fact, there’s no evidence from any single character that the rebels talked to Rhaegar about *anything* during the Rebellion, let alone about as monumental a bombshell as Rhaegar’s supposed desire to just up and make peace. Not from Ned, who should have been privy. Not from the mouth of Robert, who definitely would have been. Not even from Barristan and Jaime, who of all our PoVs would have been in the best position to know what was going on with the loyalists. (Jaime was even on the topic in his PoV, and he has no love for Ned or Robert. Why would he leave that piece of information out? And Barristan’d probably rack up some brownie points for giving Dany more things to hold against the usurpers; he’s got no reason to hold that information back.)
There’s absolutely no textual support that anyone on the other side knew, or that Rhaegar had any intention of letting them.
There’s no indication that he’d tried reaching out to them, which you’d think would be a pretty important thing to note.
It’s not on Jaime’s mind, but that doesn’t mean it doesn’t happen.
In fact, there’s no evidence from any single character that the rebels talked to Rhaegar about *anything* during the Rebellion
I’m aware of that, which goes to my point that this wasn’t about anything ETHICAL, but now about the charismatic Robert’s butthurt feelings that the pussy he was promised had a mind of it’s own, and how he persuaded other people. Because people who rebel? Are always looking to negotiate.
And yes, there is EVERY reason for “Barristan” to hold that back, because Martin is the one who controls what these character think and say and he’s not ready to reveal this in the narrative yet. This isn’t a documentary where people openly and honestly talk about how this went down, but a fictional story about deluded unreliable narrators looking to justify their own actions to themselves.
In addition, Barristan is attempting to temper Dany’s vengeance when she returns to Westeros, so he has legit reasons to not what to inflame her anger at the usurpers. He doesn’t want to get bogged down in a war of retribution against everyone she feels slighted her family, and he’s having a hard time being honest to her about WHY the Rebellion started in the first place.
Lyanna @445:
I think this is Martin being clever and hiding things in plain sight. Note how the Snow is capitalized?Prior to this thought, Melisandre had the following experience:
I think it couldn’t be more plain that Martin is telling us [Jon] Snow is Azor Ahai.
As for the non-stop foreshadowing in this chapter ….
@451-455,
You do realise that Lyanna’s situation, whatever the truth of it, had almost nothing to do with the rebellion?
It was the initial spark, but almost entirely unrelated to the actual causes.
Clearly, though not explicitly, Lyanna’s situation was what caused Brandon to do what he did – ride to KL with a
band of warriorsgroup of friends and demand the crown prince “come out and die”.Thats treason, punishable by death.
At that point, Lyanna and Rhaegar become virtually irrelevant to the procession of events leading up to the rebellion.
Aerys rightfuly arrests Brandon and his friends and demands all their fathers come to KL.
He legally, if harshly (but what would one really expect from a highly paranoid king closing in on outright madness, faced with a highly public death threat on his heir) executed them all (nearly), blaming the fathers for their son’s sins as well. Its going well beyond the bounds of fair and maybe even legal to kill both fathers and sons though.
Rickard demanded trial by combat for Brandon, and got it. Rickard named himself Brandon’s champion.
Aerys cheated the trial.
None of that had anything to do with Lyanna or Rhaegar. It was all about Brandon’s treason.
There was still no rebellion. Aerys went past the line of fair or legal probably in multiple ways, but not so far past the line that anyone was willing to rebel.
Then Aerys demanded Jon Arryn send him the heads of two uninvolved and innocent High Lords.*
THEN he went far enough past the line that Jon Arryn raised his banners in rebellion. Note though that the Martells and Tyrells stayed loyal to the King even after that, the Lannisters didn’t join the rebellion and stayed away (and eventually joined after it was won) largely due to Tywin’s other unrelated, personal issues with Aerys, and the Tully’s required an almost unprecedented double-dynastic marriage alliance to join up (consider that Hoster Tully’s grandsons would have ruled over nearly half the continent, 3 of the seven Kingdoms). If you consider that Ned and Robert were basically Jon Arryn’s family, being both fostered with him for many years, almost nobody else signed up (and even they had internal battles to fight against royalists initially).
Robert and Ned joined in to Jon’s rebellion of course – their alternative option was to send their heads to KL.
The only part of that that Lyanna had anything to do with was (we believe) Brandon’s first reaction (and notably he didn’t even mention her in the account we have.
And Rhaegar? He wasn’t even around. Aerys asked for him when Brandon did his thing and no one knew where he was.
Once Aerys had called for Ned and Robert’s heads, after the way Rickard and Brandon (and the other sons and fathers) died, there was no negotiating possible really. Not with the Mad King in charge – and Rhaegar couldn’t afford to divide the Targaryne House by acting against his father with an active rebellion already in progress.
The show scene with Tyrion in his father’s military command council after they get the news of Jaime’s defeat and capture comes to mind. When he slaps his glass of wine off the table onto the floor and says something like “that for your negotiations. When Joffrey cut of Ned Stark’s head the chance for negotiations went with it.”
Now Robert later (15 years later) tells us that he went to war to get Lyanna back. But Robert is a first class fantasist who ignores and/or refuses to face reality any time he doesn’t like it. That actual evidence we have says that Jon went to war to keep Robert’s (and Ned’s) head on his shoulders. Robert may have claimed even then that why he went to war, and even beleived it right form the start, but the truth is that Jon went to war, Robert followed, and Robert had no real choice anyway regardless of the fate of Lyanna.
So who should we believe? The unreliable fantasist or the cold hard facts?
*Note that seems to be an indication that there was some knowledge of the Lyanna situation involved by now, else why would Aerys call for Robert’s head? But still, the deaths of Rickard and Brandon are directly due to Brandon’s treason, not whatever happened with/to Lyanna.
That actual evidence we have says that Jon went to war to keep Robert’s (and Ned’s) head on his shoulders.
A lot of the actual evidence we have says Jon Arryn was neck deep in plotting rebellion anyways. Which also informs my thought processes here. The whole reason that Aerys insisted on attending the tourney at Harrenhall was his fear that Rhaegar was plotting against him. Which again indicates that by the battle of the Trident Robert was the driving force behind this war because if Jon was plotting with Rhaegar there is NO WAY they didn’t have a way of communicating, and that it was no longer about stopping Aerys’ madness but about overthrowing the Targs. Remember the decision to crown Robert king hadn’t been made at this time, but in addition to his tangential relation to the Targs the deciding factor to put him forward was the fact that he was a dashing charismatic and tragic figure. So even if Jon wanted to end the war, by the Trident he couldn’t because it was Robert’s Rebellion instead of Jon Arryn’s.
Again I recognize that Lyanna is barely talked about. That’s because this is a sexist society that disregards women not because she and her actions have no bearing on history.
@456, 459
It doesn’t mean that it did. And there’s no indication of that.
1) We don’t know if anyone on the rebel side actually knew that Lyanna went of her own accord (in fact, we the readers are not even sure of that, while we do strongly suspect it), and
2) While this may have been Brandon’s motivation, and may have been Robert’s (though it’s unclear to what extent he has romanticized his “righteous” motivations after the fact), there’s no indication that this is why Ned went to war or why Ned kept fighting. What we do know is that if they hadn’t rebelled, they’d have died. Jon Arryn raised his banners after Aerys killed Brandon and Rickard and demanded that Ned and Robert be next. This was about their lives.
They rebelled after an insane king with a penchant for treachery and torturing people to death demanded both their heads over something neither of them did. That insane king was still in power. (Rhaegar was actually mysteriously absent for most of the fighting.) This is the man who said Rickard could have a trial by combat. Could they even trust any negotiation? And we have no evidence that any such negotiation occured, with either Rhaegar or Aerys. It is the purest form of speculation to say that it did.
So, your hypothesis is that we have no evidence that this happened, and that the author had ample opportunities to reveal it to us or drop hints about a meeting or a messenger but is instead hiding from us even the smallest hint that this happened for his own reasons, but it totally happened?
We have no evidence that Jon Arryn had anything to do with Rhaegar. We have some evidence that four, perhaps five other houses were considering fairly unprecedented marriage alliances, though we don’t know the endgame. We know that Aerys was paranoid. But we have absolutely *no* evidence that Rhaegar was specifically in with Rickard and Jon, rather than having concerns about the king being nuts in a time in which Rhaegar was convinced the end of days were coming. That’s made up out of whole cloth.
Again, there is no textual evidence that Jon was plotting with Rhaegar. Please pull a quote that connects them if I’m wrong here.
You’ve created a Jon-Rhaegar conspiracy out of whole cloth in order to argue that there was a negotiation between people we don’t even know communicated at all and your primary reasoning for it having happened is that the author might have an ulterior motive for not giving us any evidence that it happened. And still all this reflects on Robert, not Ned, which was the original sticking point.
This is way, way out there.
@459
What evidence anywhere says that Jon Arryn was neck deep in plotting before Aerys called for Ned and Robert’s head?
And what relevance does this allegation have in any case to the bare fact that once Brandon committed highly public outright treason in front of the Red Keep, everything follows from and due to that event, with the ‘event’ of Lyanna’s abduction or otherwise not actually being particularly relevant any more?
Please keep unnecessary sexism politics out of this. The subject under discussion is whether her abduction/elopment was a significant factor in the start of the rebellion. Without Brandon’s treason, we don’t know what may have followed – many options, including negotiation, were still on the table. Indeed, a strong theory suggests that one of the reasons Rhaegar and Lyanna ‘disappeared’ was precisely because that should have removed most of the aggressive or escalating options from the Stark side and left Rickard with few positive alternatives but to talk with Aerys (who would probably have agreed with him on returning Lyanna given his own marital history and distrust of Rhaegar).
But once Brandon shouts out his treason in front of the Red Keep, the question of Lyanna’s fate is shunted into irrelevance. That may not be entirely fair to her, but Public Treason always rates higher than broken betrothal, even more so by a High Lord’s heir toward a paranoid king.
Lyanna being more or less ignored by history is nothing to do with sexism but everything to do with realism.
When a terrorist steals a van then loads it up with explosives and kills dozens of people with it, the theft of the van tends to get lost in the outcry over all the dead people. So it is, on a slightly smaller scale with High Lord’s Heirs committing public Treason vs broken betrothals.
I love how the fact that I have a theory like every other fan of these books that’s based on pure conjecture, but because it besmirches beloved Ned, it must be wrong, never mind the hundreds of more insane and less supported theories that have shown up in these comments.
Yes, Aerys was paranoid. Because his High Lord WERE planning rebellion.I(Is it paranoia if they really are out to get you?) There is no indication that he was wrong about Rhaegar either.
I’m not saying that Brandon’s treason doesn’t outweigh what happened with Lyanna. All I’m pointing out is that just because she’s not talked about, doesn’t mean her actions had no effect on what happened.
Yes, my theory is based on some incidents having happened that we don’t know about yet. SO ARE MOST THEORIES. If the narrative demonstrates that I’m wrong I’ll let it go.
But this theory to me lines up exactly with the cowardly honorless man who never stood up for what’s right so long as it didn’t effect him that Ned’s been revealed to be to me.
@@@@@ 462,
The problem was not your theory (that Rhaegar and the rebelling lords negotiated before the battle of the Trident or whatever), the problem is that you put your theory (based on little actual textual fact) as evidence that Ned went to war because he wanted to deny his sister’s sexual agency, when all the textual evidence says that Ned went to war as a reaction to the actions of Aerys against him, his family and his friends (not to mention the other lords of the North that died when Rickard went south). Ned did not call his banners because Rhaegar and Lyanna had disappeared and were together, and she should marry his BFF Robert. He called his banners because the king wanted his head, the king had killed his family and his vassals, and was threatening to kill his best friend, in that order of importance.
Also, Ned did stood up to his principles in things that didn’t affect him directly.
1) He threatened to resign over Dany’s assassination order. And this didn’t have that much to do with Jon Snow, because nobody (except Ned and Howland Reed) know that he’s a Targaryen. Dany’s death wouldn’t put Jon in greater danger at all.
2) He showed mercy to Cersei and her kids when he discovered they were the fruit of incest, offering them exile because he knew that if Robert knew he’d order their deaths.
What do these actions show? That Ned has one principle (not harming kids), and that he sticks to it. Even when it makes his position weaker (like losing the job of Hand of the King, or being more forgiving to Cersei than he should be). Even when these kids aren’t his own.
It’s interesting to me that ~20 years and thousands of pages in, there are still so many theories about what happened and who did what to precipitate all of the events that led to the current state of affairs in the books. It really feels like reading a history book of a time when no one today is really sure of the actual events, just the results.
P.S. I would like a POV chapter of Howland Reed reminiscing on the events in his life. He seems to be one of the few people still alive who could shed some much-needed light on these mysteries. Can I get that, please?
@462
“I love how the fact that I have a theory like every other fan of these
books that’s based on pure conjecture, but because it besmirches beloved Ned, it must be wrong, never mind the hundreds of more insane and less supported theories that have shown up in these comments.”
I… don’t think that’s an accurate description of the situation. Yeah, there are some insane theories popping up here once in a while. The majority of them are either called out on being insane and unsupported, or completely ignored because they’re so obviously insane nobody can be bothered. I’m also not at all sure Ned is that beloved by many posters here.
I’ve argued against a lot of crazy theories here, of all types. I don’t think the discussion of this one stands out, except in that you’re unusually persistent in replying to people who disagree with you. But for me personally, the sticking point here is that you didn’t come at it saying “Hey, I have a theory.” You started off presenting your view of Ned’s stance on Lyanna as fact, and only when people disagreed did you specify that it was based on a theory, and oh yeah some central aspects of this theory are not backed up by anything in the books. And then comes the “it wouldn’t be shown in the books because it’s going to be a surprise, but I know it’s true anyway so I’ll continue to state it as a fact” defense.
As for Aerys and his paranoia, once again you’re assuming that the Southron Ambitions theory is correct. There’s no evidence in the books that it is, just hints that something may have been going on, which people have put together and come up with a conspiracy theory. And even if it’s true, what makes you so sure it didn’t happen as a reaction to Aerys’s behavior, rather than being the cause of it?
Circular reasoning is going to get people objecting.
@@@@@Aeryl
You are certainly allowed to have this theory about the war. I don’t believe that it was a vast conspiracy in that way, and I haven’t seen the textual support, but it is possible.
Like @@@@@Ryamano said with those examples, I wouldn’t say that Ned was a cowardly, honorless man who never stood up for what was right if it affected him. I will say that your comments about him definitely have changed how I view him, and he is much more complex than I originally viewed him (and very much more flawed). But I still think that (regardless of whether it was pure guilt, or obligation, or honor towards Lyanna) what he did with Jon was an honorable thing that very much affected him, especially when it came to Catelyn. Outside that, yes, he operated rigidly on what he thought was “honorable”, which most of the time meant what offended his sensibilities, and the whole realm suffered for it.
I just don’t think he and the rest of the Stark clan were as sinister as you theorize. Robert and Arryn…perhaps. Doesn’t invalidate your theory, though.
Regarding the original point of contention, whether Ned Stark knew about the Bolton’s actions or not, and if he knew why he didn’t act on it.
In chapter 32 of ADWD, Reek witnesses this dialogue between the Boltons:
Roose: People fear you.
Ramsay: Good.
Roose: You are mistaken. It is not good. No tales were ever told of me. Do you think I would be sitting here if it were otherwise? Your amusements are your own, I will not chide you on that count, but you must be more discreet. A peaceful land, a quiet people. That has always been my rule. Make it yours.
In chapter 35 of ADWD, Jon Snow has these thoughts:
Eddard Stark had never had any reason to complain of the Lord of the Dreadfort, so far as Jon knew, but even so he had never trusted him, with his whispery voice and his pale, pale eyes.
So, from two POVs, we could come with a theory that Ned doesn’t know what happens at Dreadfort because Roose Bolton is discreet and tries to maintain that discretion, because he knows if he didn’t he wouldn’t remain in power.
We could also come with a theory that Ned was aware of what happened in Bolton lands, but didn’t act on it because he doesn’t care. And never told Jon Snow what happened because he doesn’t care about his upbringing.
But what theory has more factual evidence from the text?
As for the “they must’ve been negotiating” claim, I again disagree. This is a medieval-ish, feudal-ish society. A liege lord does not negotiate with rebels, because that makes him look weak and invites others to rebel in hopes of getting their own concessions. (See Tytos Lannister and the Castameres.) It’s their equivalent of not negotiating with terrorists. No, the time to be generous is after they’ve been defeated and/or have submitted. (See Tywin Lannister’s comments to Joffrey after the Red Wedding.)
For most of the Rebellion, Rhaegar wasn’t around. Aerys was in charge, and he certainly wasn’t going to negotiate. Once Rhaegar shows up, the Rebellion is already in full bloom, with four major houses on the side of the rebels, Lannisters and Greyjoys both waiting on the sidelines to see what happens, and the Dornish only reluctantly on the side of the crown. Rhaegar cannot afford to show any weakness in that situation. Keep in mind that he grew up with Tywin as his father’s Hand, and will have been pretty much raised on tales of what happened with the Castameres. (Even more recent, the Defiance of Duskendale.) He knows the score – first you defeat them, then you make them a generous offer if only they’ll bend the knee. And that matches up perfectly with what he told Jaime.
To be clear this
Ned went to war because he wanted to deny his sister’s sexual agency,
Is very much an offhand abbreivated thought because I didn’t want a wall of whited out spoiler text in the thread. No, of course his intention wasn’t to deny Lyanna’s sexual agency, it was just a side effect that didn’t really bother him, and I judge actions by the effect not their intent.
And I’m not taking the Southron Ambitions plot as fact, because I don’t think it’s correct. It seems to me, from the reasoning that Robert had to be king because of Targ relations, that the initial plan was never to overthrow the Targ dynasty, just to ally with one another to overthrow Aerys, not sieze the throne for their handpicked candidate. The fact that the rebellion escalated from “Overthrow the Mad King” to “Kill all the Targs” indicates to me that this shift was totally driven by Robert’s anger that Lyanna didn’t WANT HIM. And Ned, Robert’s closest friend and confidante never apparently tried to talk him down from that, because you’d think that would have been brought up during some of their talks when Robert starts waxing poetic about Lyanna.
@467, You are right that Ned does have a sense of honor. It’s just a very narrow one. My biggest issue with Ned is that he’s not a leader, he’s totally a follower, and that shows in almost everything he does. And part of that is probably related to the fact that he wasn’t raised to be Lord of Winterfell and Warden of the North(of course Brandon was and look at how stupid he was. Hell I’ll even state that Lyanna wasn’t the brightest bulb in the box if she was with Rhaegar consensually, Benjen seems like he’s the only one with sense here).
And so it’s not that Ned’s sinister, it’s that he rarely has any backbone to stand up to those he loves, like how he let Cat mistreat Jon. His moment of defense for Dany is actually quite OOC if you look at his history, instead of only his actions that we see in the books.
@470 Regarding Robert needing to be king because of Targ relations:
This is a pretty common sentiment in history. Once a dynasty is overthrown the new one usually emphasizes whatever ties it had to the old dynasty to cement its own legitimacy. I don’t see how that necessarily shows that the Rebellion was originally intended to simply depose Aerys. I doubt that the original intent of the Rebellion went much beyond the scope of not being executed by Aerys.
To me, the likelier explanation is that they didn’t have much of a plan beyond armed resistance to execution in the beginning. They probably didn’t know that Tywin would sit on the sidelines in the beginning and until Robert killed Rhaegar at the Trident it wasn’t clear which side was going to win. Once the Rebellion was likely successful, they needed to come up with a plan to actually rule the 7 kingdoms; for that, a veneer of legitmacy is very helpful. Hence, the Targ relations get played up and Robert becomes king.
Of course, if you’re basing your kingship on your Targ heritage, it really helps to not have anyone around that clearly has more Targ heritage than you. Even if Robert wasn’t obsessed with murdering Targs for personal reasons, it still makes sense from a dynastic politics sense. And Robert didn’t kill Aegon & Rhaenys, that was Tywin proving his loyalty after arriving late to the party.
@472
To me, the likelier explanation is that they didn’t have much of a plan beyond armed resistance to execution in the beginning.
See, I don’t buy that, because there is too much evidence that there was a plot.
@473 What plot are we talking about? You already stated that you think the Southron Ambitions theory is incorrect so I’m not sure which plot is at question here.
I believe there was a plot. I don’t believe the plot was to overthrow the Targs, it was just to overthrow the Mad King. The Southron Ambitions plot is that the Maesters were manipulating the lords into overthrowing all the Targs, because the Maesters fear magic.
And the reason I think that way, is the story states Aerys believed Rhaegar was plotting against him. And that’s just the kind of thing Martin does to misdirect you, is have an unlikely character believe something that turns out to be true, but you believe to be false because of the character that believed it. So, I can totally see Martin hiding the truth in plain sight, so no one will believe that Aerys belief in Rhaegar’s plotting was anything other than his insanity.
@472: I mostly agree with you, but I think there’s evidence that the rebels settled on Robert well before the Trident. The implicit message of the Battle of the Bells, and JonCon’s remorse over it, is that Robert was considered the key to the rebellion by at least that point in time.
@476, I read JonCon’s remorse as more effected by the fact that Robert is the one who killed Rhaegar. I could swear I remember reading in a Ned chapter that Robert’s ascension wasn’t decided until later, but I may be wrong.
There is also the possibility that Rhaegar changed his mind at some point. In RL history, there is Prince Edward who initially supported the Montfortian rebellion against King Henry when it was brewing but switched to the king’s side once actual fighting broke out. This could be the reason Rhaegar was ‘missing’ for the first part of the rebellion, he wasn’t decided what he was going to do – ultimately felt he had to support his father. And having lost him, then the rebels decided they needed a different king candidate.
@476, 478
I don’t think anyone’s saying that it’s outright impossible. But we have nary a peep of evidence that this was the case. Which makes it a weird guess upon which to hang a theory (and upon that theory, a character judgment) that doesn’t really have any textual support.
@447
We know that Robert was seen as key to the Rebellion before the Battle of the Bells. But there’s also a So Spake Martin that he didn’t declare his intention to take the throne until “around” the time of the Trident. It’s unclear whether they had already decided and held it back until they had a decisive victory, or whether the move from “leader” to “future king” was actually a later development.
@479, I’m not hanging my character judgement on the theory. My judgement about Ned has stood for a long time. The theory happens to align with my judgement on Ned’s character.
@480
Okay, but there’s still no textual support for said theory. Which is fine–I have a few guesses for the books and show alike that I hope come true and have no reason to believe actually will–but I think your posts have been way overselling it.
I’d also be interested in hearing your other reasoning regarding Ned if you’ve got the time. He’s kind of a fascinating character to me in that the short-term effects of his behavior have been disastrous, but we’re starting to learn that something about his behavior did inspire a strangely enduring sort of loyalty.
@475We definitely know that Rhaegar was plotting at some point from Jamie’s recollections. However, I’m not convinced he was involved in a plot to depose Aerys until around the start of the rebellion, if not after it started. I wouldn’t be shocked to discover that the plot went farther back than that but it’s not the way I’m leaning. I would be surprised to learn that Rhaegar was plotting with any of the major houses that ended up in the rebellion. That just doesn’t seem to add up given what we know. And I really doubt that there was much of a plan beyond survival at the beginning of the rebellion. Even if there was a plot to depose Aerys, that cannot be the start that was planned.
I also don’t believe that Ned knew what really happened with Lyanna until far after the rebellion began and possibly not until he arrived at the Tower of Joy. I doubt he would have approved of Lyanna breaking the betrothal to Robert though I think it would be more out of his sense of duty and honor rather than his feelings for Robert. I aslo doubt Ned would have been willing to start a war over it.
@Aeryl
I’ve followed this read from the beginning, including reading all the comment threads.
Many times have your comments been valuable to me. For example, your insights into Ned being willing to sacrifice pretty much the entirety of Westeros for his own children, versus his stated rationale to save all children (a poor summary of your thoughts, I admit). Those insights have definitely had an impact on how I view his character.
More importantly, and personally, your responses to MRA-like arguments have led me to look at my own conversational history to discover many of my own biases, and to hopefully move forward as a better person. For that, I thank you.
In return, I offer you this site, if you’re not aware of it:
https://racefortheironthrone.wordpress.com/
A sample quote, from the site author, at
https://racefortheironthrone.wordpress.com/2015/04/08/chapter-by-chapter-analysis-sansa-iii-acok/#comment-18195:
“As for the rest of it, that’s getting pretty close to some MRA (edit: bs)
that I’m not going to put up with. So let’s just nip that discussion in
the bud.”
I believe you might find a home there, conversation-wise.
@Everyone Else
That site is awesome. (I am unaffiliated, just a fan, and I’ve never before posted there either.) He too is doing a chapter-by-chapter read, but with a *very* different focus from that of our own esteemed Leigh. I suspect that many of you may find it of interest.
One day, perhaps, I’ll take the black and join everyone here in this entertaining community. ‘Til then, best!
Welcome to the commenting community!
Oh good, an eighth literary blog for me to follow (or twefth if I count the four tor.com reads I follow separately). Not that I mind.
@483, You’re Welcome! And Welcome!
And thanks for the link!
Did anyone else find it interesting that in Cersei’s flashback to the witch they did not mention the valonquar? I keep thinking that ommissions like this by the show runner’s give us important clues as to where the overall story is going. Perhaps many of our guess are just wrong, or the show is just going to radically change the storyline as it sees fit.
Kind of stressful to reconcile the two, but no way can I stop watching the TV series as I wait for WOW. Somehow it also cheapens the huge and complex discussions we see on the literary sites where GRRM scholars like so many here parse chapter and verse to discover nuggets from which to predict or discern secrets of this world.
Anyway, would love to hear from some of the experts here with their thoughts on how TWOIAF and the HBO show have possibly affected the remaining books, or provided additonal insights.
Yes! I said as much on the show thread, but I did find it interesting and wonder if they will bring it up again at some point. Regardless as to what the valonqar ACTUALLY is, we know Cersei is convinced it is Tyrion and it has colored her interactions/feelings for him ever since. So I feel like it is leaving out a huge chunk of her motivations, and just leaving the somewhat trope-y fear of a vain/jealous woman who is scared of the more beautiful one who will replace her.
@487 Oh, should I not be posting show stuff here? I wasn’t aware there was a separate show thread, as I’m much more interested in how the show fits in with the books than on it’s own merits. Hope I didn’t screw up the spoiler thread with GOT spoilers!
I am not sure if there are rules about posting show spoilers here or not, but there IS a column that does episode-by-episode reivews of the show (with all book spoilers allowed), so that probably will get more visibility when it comes to show stuff!
@489 do you have a link to that show thread?Do they discuss the differences between the show and the books? That is of great interest to me. Thanks!
@490
http://www.tor.com/blogs/2015/04/game-of-thrones-season-5-espisode-1-the-wars-to-come-review
thanks Aeryl, it’s a great thread! Probably closer to what I’m interested in, although like the re-read as well. I’m just not a scholar of the books like most here who have crafted amazing theories based on exhaustive research.
The valonqar part is important no matter where the story is going, because it explains Cercei’s hatred for Tyrion that developed long before the events of the books took place. That is quite similar to the Tysha revelation that was removed in the previous season – without it Tyrion’s decision to climb to Hand’s chambers seems really weird.
Another question is why they removed that part. For example the Tysha thing was removed because the viewers had already forgotten at this point who she is (unlike book readers who were reminded in Tyrion’s thoughts).
I would say that cutting out the “valonqar” probably means that the popular theory of Jaime = “valonqar” is wrong. Otherwise they could just replace “valonqar” with “brother”, but they removed it entirely, even though it clearly undermines the plot. So it seems that Martin didn’t just use the word “valonqar” for the extra flavour, but it is an important concept (too complicated to be explained in the show), and it can mean more than just “brother” or “sibling”.
This also means that Jaime may die early in TWOW since now he doesn’t need to kill Cercei at some later point.
@493, Or it’s Jaime in the books, but he’s on the chopping block for the show
Are we sure that the Valonqar is out? The witch promised her three answers, and they only showed Cersei asking two questions. I assumed they were saving it up for a dramatic reveal later on.
IndependentGeorge we discussed this in the show thread, she asked three.
@485
Didn’t she get three?
Will I marry the prince, Will I be queen, Will the king and I have children?
So no read this week?
@498, Leigh left a note in the last ADWD read that she’s sick and recovering from JordanCon
These spoiler threads make me rethink my position on sorting by descending order of post date. I think I got carpal tunnel scrollling through this list to get to the new comments.
Is the new site going to allow you to sort either direction? Threaded comments? Anything?
In the beta you can jump to the last comment or the last comment you read.
If you have an ‘End’ key on your keyboard it will usually scroll you to the bottom of a page.
(‘Home’ will take you to the top. In a text editor they will usually move your cursor to the end/begining of a line).
I have to give the show credit for once. They took one of the WORST scenes in the book and made it palatable.
Which one? Are you talking about last night’s episode?
@502.
Yeah, that works great on a desktop. Not so well on mobile or some laptops. Glad to hear they have options in the new site, @birgit
@504, Yes, the brothel scene
For a second I couldn’t figure out which one you meant (because, Game of Thrones), haha. I am assuming you mean not making Tyrion a huge jerk.
@507, And Jorah not creeping on a teenage Dany imposter
anthonypero @505: I always bookmark my last post read. Then, if you’re logged in, you can search the page for “bookmarked” and easily find the last post you read.
@507, 508: Whitewashing Tyrion and Jorah is nothing new for the show, they have consistently done it from the start.
Now, whether that’s a good thing is up for debate… YMMV.
@511:
I think it works for me better with Jorah to have him seem less despicable. But Tyrion’s change I find more troubling, even though I completely get why they did it. In both cases it makes the story more palatable for a larger audience.
HBO Tyrion is the character most like the typical modern viewer; he’s morally flxible without being morally bankrupt, and his primary motivation is to help himself as much as possible while causing as little collateral damage as he can in the process. And he really, really wants to hurt people who hurt him. Taking him too far towards book Tyrion gives the casual viewer no relatable character to attach themselves to that isn’t Too Stupid To Live (see Jon Snow and Daenerys Stormborn).
The new blog is linking the wrong spoiler thread.
@512 – fixed, thanks.
Now, I when she’s done, I just want a WHOLE POST from her about just what she’s thinking in regards to Jon Snow, especially since she obviously caught that capitalization and noted it with Mal.
I suppose it might be spoilery to speculate that the dying horse Jon’s sister rides in Mel’s vision is a Pale Mare.
But that was made in reference to Dany, why would Dany care about a Northern girl escaping a marriage by running to the Wall.
Regarding what worshippers of R’hlor can see, if it’s the future or possible future, there’s this: Quaithe said to Dany that a lot of people would be coming to meet her, and to beware them. One of the people she mentions is Griffon, probably meaning Young Griff or Old Griff. Except that these guys actually set sail to Westeros and not Meereen.
Maybe Quaithe is right, and Aegon and Jon Connington will appear in Meereen sometime in the future, but to me it seems Quaithe was only able to see what was happening then (Griffs going to meet Dany in Meereen), and not what actually happened (Aegon being convinced by Tyrion to steer course to Westeros).
@517, But it seems like what Mel sees is more set in stone, or to guide her to ensuring it happens.
How does Meli come by her interpretations, anyhow? It seems like she just gets video with no audio or context, with the only thing helping her interpret at all being what she asked to see in the first place. So how did she come to conclude Stannis was A.A.? Was this a matter of careless questioning forgotten about; her being shown the answer of how she would find A.A. or something like that? Likewise, how does she come to believe that the woman on the pale horse is Jon’s sister? If she was asking to be shown Arya or Sansa she presumably would have been shown something else entirely…
(Or just pure static, I guess, depending on how literal R’hollor defines things; Jon probably has no living sisters at all by blood. Two female cousins and an Aunt, though, if there’s a ‘nearest blood relative’ default or linguistic quirk in play.)
@519, I think that factors into it, obviously she asked for A.A. and it took her to Stannis because he would lead her to Jon. As far as the Karstark girl it was probably something about show her how Jon would rescue the newly married Stark, and since Jeyne ISN’T a Stark it showed the closest relation involved in a marriage.
“I have seen your sister in my fires, fleeing from this marriage they have made for her. Coming here, to you. A girl in grey on a dying horse, I have seen it plain as day. It has not happened yet, but it will.”
Wide open to interpretation and misinterpretation.
Mel certainly thinks her visions are warnings that can be changed. But remind me, do we actually have any examples of a vision being averted? The big example that comes to mind is her vision of Renly defeating Stannis if they fought in King’s Landing. Except they didn’t avert this, she just got it wrong. Garlan Tyrell in Renly’s armor defeats Stannis in Kings Landing.
Other than that I can’t think of anything.
Haha, Devan is definitely safter at Castle Black than with Stannis’s army at the moment. But we haven’t witnessed the Wolfswood Death March yet, so I can understand thinking otherwise, especially with the super-creepy ‘cold white mist of death’ vision we just got.
“In ancient books of Asshai it is written that there will come a day after a long summer when the stars bleed and the cold breath ofdarkness falls heavy on the world. In this dread hour a warrior shall draw from the fire a burning sword. And that sword shall beLightbringer, the Red Sword of Heroes, and he who clasps it shall be Azor Ahai come again, and the darkness shall flee before him.”
Yes, she looks for Azor Ahai and sees snow, but what was Jon was doing of significance when the red comet passed? Dany “only” gave birth to dragons
Next week: the heartwarming tale of Ramsay’s origins, word that some Freys have gone astray (mwahaha), and a proper introduction to Penny and Flamin’ Mo aboard the “Stinky Steward.”
Is there any reason to think that Mel’s vision isn’t referring to Arya, but to Sansa?
Or it could be two separate visions, and Mel is being unclear. The first bit is Sansa, fleeing from Tyrion and Joff, (which has already happened) and the second is a random “girl” coming to him on a grey horse. One who happens to be pretending to be his sister, which may be why the flames are confusing Mel.
@527: Is there any reason to think that Mel’s vision refers to anyone other than Alys Karstark?
Trying to parse the words and make it accurate. So that Mel can be both right and wrong at the same time, as always, instead of just wrong, or lying.
EDIT: For clarity’s sake, Mel states his sister is coming, and Alys is not his sister. Some of the discussion has been around how Mel’s visions work. Just trying to look at all the possible angles.
@528 The only argument against her that holds any water at all, IMO, is that the description doesn’t match up. Melisandre’s description is of a grey girl on a dying horse. The dying horse part matches, but when we meet Alys Karstark there’s nothing grey about her. Brown hair, pale skin, those who found her said she was blue with cold… but nothing about grey. Give how little Melisandre had to say about her, the argument goes, surely you’d expect at least those few details to be accurate?
I’m not sure I believe it. However… given the WoW preview chapters, it seems possible that Jeyne Poole will be heading towards the Wall. Perhaps the vision was a of her, or a mix of her and Alys? I won’t be holding my breath, but I’m not going to rule it out just yet either.
The “sister” part, however, seems very clearly to have been just interpretation on Mel’s part.
Maybe the grey part of the girl is symbolic. Because she’s travelling with a greyjoy.
@530: How exactly can a girl be “grey”? Jeyne and Arya also have brown hair, Sansa has auburn died dark brown, and no one has grey skin, and if a young girl had grey hair, certainly Mel would have found that unusual and notable and mentioned it as such?
@532 Grey clothes? Haggard face filled with fear and desperation? I don’t know, but something made Melisandre describe the girl in her vision as grey. Nobody describes Alys Karstark as grey. (As I said, this is just an argument I’ve seen made, and I’m not sure I buy it.)
People with greyscale might be described as “grey”, I suppose.
@525, He also plunged the sword into his beloved. I think this whole prophecy has to do with Jon’s “death” and eventual resurrection.
Mel thought “grey girl’ in this chapter, but had previously said she’d seen “a girl in grey on a dying horse, fleeing from this marriage they had made for her.” I always assumed it was Alys — her clothes aren’t described, but she fled a marriage and arrived at Castle Black on a dying horse — especailly as Mel saw her passing Northern landmarks. Prophecies are generally misconstrued here, of course, but in this case I figured the twist was that Jon and Mel had expected Arya.
(I looked it up in the chapter, and was amused by Jon thinking, as he went to “Arya,” that perhaps she could be sent to live safely in Braavos. If only you knew!)
I just re-read the next chapter, and it consists mostly of Roose talking to, or about, Ramsay. Fuuuuun.
Yeah, the next chapter highlights how lovely the Boltons are. There was one bit where I snorted at Roose – “inferior boots” – but then you start to think about how that shows that he has enough experience to know that, and… No.
But at least we see internal fractures.
There are a lot of cool or reaction provoking chapters in the second halve of ADWD. Some summaries of the next 6 chapters:
Next week we get Reek (chapter 32), who hears Roose’s famous speech about “a peacefull land, a quiet people” and the story of Ramsay’s childhood and the original Reek.
In chapter 33 Tyrion befriends Penny.
Chapter 34 is the last Bran POV. A cool chapter with visions and flashbacks (including R+L=J hints), and there is a lot of sick and twisted stuff too: from Bran warging Hodor on purpose to Summer eating wights (as they continue to move while being eaten) and possible Jojen paste.
In chapter 35 Dany visits the refugee camp and begins to plan her wedding with Hizdar. Certain aspects of a ghiscary wedding ceremony, that are discussed in this chapter, will probably get special attention from Leigh. And then of course Dany begins her affair with Daario.
In chapter 36 Ramsay weds Jeyne, we get first hints that Bran is trying to speak to Theon through the heart tree and meet Abel the bard and his washerwoman. There is also more sick and twisted stuff: “Reek bent to his task” and, of course, Frey pies.
Then in chapter 37 we are back in Dorne and witness a cool conversation between Doran, Arianne, the Sand Snakes and Ellaria Sand about vengeance and “when does it end”.
I’m waiting to see if Leigh finally figures out who the Three-Eyed Crow aka dude in the tree is. She didn’t catch on “a thousand eyes and the one”, but there are a few more hints in Bran III. And the coolest and most interesting part for me were the visions – ending with the sickest and most twisted thing in the chapter, the human sacrifice. Just as we were starting to think the Old Gods religion was so cool and not human-sacrificing like the red priestess burning people and the maegi with their blood magic…
Human sacrifices to the old gods were also described in the last Davos chapter by his gaoler, when they talked about the history of White Harbor’s prison.
@@@@@ 532 – A girl could be grey if she is covered in ash. She could be riding a dying horse called the Pale Mare. Or the dying horse could have been roasted alive by a dragon. Sister / First Cousin, whatever, fleeing an unwanted marriage.
The Reek/Roose/Ramsay chapters are some of my favorite in this book.
@539 – at one point, doesn’t he actually identify himself by name as “Brynden”? Not having read the Dunk & Egg stories, that initially meant nothing to me, but now, of course, I know better…
Thought experiment time: suppose that Varys, immediately after his scene with Kevan find his way to Tommen’s room and kills the little prince. What happens next?
At this point Stannis and Mycella both have legal claims to the throne, but neither one has enough support to even make it to King’s Landing alive, let alone hold the kingdom. Stannis’s claim is arguably tainted by his treason, is unpopular, and is likely to kill everyone currently in power given half a chance, and Mycella will likely come with a Dornish Prince Concort who ditto. But what other options do the people in the middle of the seven kingdoms have? Quickly get Margery pregnant and agree to pretend that, biology and probability aside, it’s Tommen’s? Even if anyone were aware Gendry exists and where to find him, nobody is in position to legitimize him. (Maybe the High Sparrow, but I doubt he’d be inclined to do that…)
@544 Elect a new dynasty. Proclaim a theocracy. Throw themselves at fAegon’s feet. Create a Great Council and take their sweet time deciding, until someone makes themselves the strongest candidate (probably by gettting rid of all rivals).
Robert did set a precedent by overthrowing the old monarchy. Yes, he claimed the throne partly due to his Targaryen blood, but mostly it was a matter of conquest, the blood claim was more a sop to conservative minds. It clears the path for someone else to become king just based on the size of their army. (Look at Renly’s claim.)
With Kevan and Pycelle dead the Tyrells will have the most power in King’s Landing and the decisive vote. They might offer Margaery’s hand to fAegon (since Stannis is already married, and Myrcella is controlled by the Dornish). If Myrcella was in King’s Landing, they could proclaim her Queen, break her betrothal with Trystane, and marry her to Willas of Garlan. Whatever they choose, many lords won’t accept the new monarch, that is for sure.
And here’s where we stop, sorry, because I saw that the next chapter is a
Tyrion chapter, and I feel like I should prepare to devote a lot of
space to it, in case it’s the one where he and Dany actually meet.
AWWW, all this time, and she’s still such a trusting lamb.
Heartbreaking really.
To “cite” GRRM when asked about Tyrion and Dany finally meeting in TWOW:
“Yeah, sure, but only at the very end of that book.”
I think the person who asked probably wanted to murder him afterwards. ;)
At least they’ll see each other in this book.
@547 – I laughed out loud at that. And was also kind of irritated that it meant we only got one chapter. Wonder how she’ll react when she realizes she put it off for nothing, haha.
Damn y’all beat me to it. Leigh’s optimism is so cute!!! hehehe.
Of course now every time she sees that the next chapter is either Tyrion or Dany, she’ll stop right there. Grrrr….
One chapter, but what enjoyable commentary. Been waiting for her to Seriously Flip Out over the Boltons.
@546: Myrcella could marry Willas in that scenario, as Garlan is married.
Hey, have you noticed that so far we’ve had a Rickard, a Raymun, and a Martyn, but never a Jurch?
Actually, although Tyrion won’t meet the actual Dany in the next chapter, he will be in the same room with the next best thing. Right, Jorah?
I assumed when I read it that the ‘girl in grey’ refered to a Stark, as grey is their colour. Equally it could just refer to the colour of her coat.
On a different tack, I was introduced to a new theory yesterday, that (f)Aegon is not a true Targaryan as he’s presented, but actually a Blackfyre (a bastard offshoot of the Targs).
This is based on the Golden Company agreeing to support him, when previously they’ve exclusivly supported the Blackfyres against the Targeryans.
I’m not sure I belive it myself, , but it’s interesting to argue about.
@556, I’ve heard that theory before myself. It seems more likely than he’s ACTUALLY Aegon, IMO.
I always thought the grey was smoke and ash.
Maybe I missed this, but have we still not gotten a Leigh guess on who TTEC is?
Urgh, the new commenting engine is really hostile to super long threads like this.
Him being really Aegon is the least likely theory, IMO.
Okay, I can’t comment on the main thread, and when I submitted a comment on the spoiler thread just now I got logged out and my comment got erased. What the hell is going on, Tor? This new system has some SERIOUS issues!
–
@562 – Please stand by while we iron out a few remaining issues with the new site. Thanks for your patience.
Yeah, some pages I’m logged in, some I’m not, now the new post is closed for comments
The main thread should be open for comments again. Thanks for your patience!
Yeah, she’s apparently not that interested in the origins of Tree Corpse Dude. At least she’s attuned to appearances of “mystery meat.” Please, Drowned Deities, let her take note of it at the Pink Wedding.
I’ve just noticed the “skip to newest comment” button at the top of this thread, after I’d clicked the “Load More” button about twenty times…
And after that theory about (f)Aegon being a Blackfyre I noticed the quote in Leigh’s post today from the red priest:
Bright and dark dragons eh? I wonder what that could mean.
That said, If he’s not really Aegon, then really he could be anyone’s kid, I’m not sure where or why Illyrio could have been keeping a Blackfyre “just in case”.
@568, The rumor is that he’s Illyrio’s son, who allegedly married a Blackfyre descendent.
I also, right before your bold “true and false“